Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$3.02 -5.62% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.98

Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 16/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.19B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LCID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Lucid Group Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $3.02 (-5.62% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LCID ranks #1008 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LCID compare to AEBI and PSNY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), LCID carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E 91.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $880.0M) and PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $673.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSS leads on earnings multiple (28.5x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCID?
β–Ό

Per LCID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811210), Lucid Group Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+67.6% YoY), -$2.70B in net income, and -$3.80B in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $2.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.98 (-1.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (16/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510016
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.9% Base Target
$19 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LCID RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LCID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (16/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LCID SCORES 16/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$3.29-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$3.21+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$3.41-11.4% Next Q
Current
16
Grade E$3.02-12.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (24) β†’ E (16)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LCID Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LCID currently carries a cautious 16/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.93) and Max Pain ($3.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.01.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LCIDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLCID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How LCID Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.35BGross Profit $0 (0%)Cost of Sales $1.35BOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $0Net Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $595.3M
FY24
Rev $807.8M
FY25
Rev $1.35B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.35B-92.8%-258.7%-$2.70B-$3.80B-45%
FY 2024$807.8M-114.3%-373.9%-$2.71B-$2.90B-45%
FY 2023$595.3M8%-520.7%-$2.83B-$2.52B-45%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LCID)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LCID's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LCID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.86%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3.20H $3.20L $3.02C $3.02VOL 14.36M
RES: $3.51SUP: $2.93SMA50: $3.93SMA200: $6.76
$15.89$12.23$8.56$4.90$1.23RES $3.51SUP $2.93$3.022026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LCID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +67.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LCID today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LCID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LCID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LCID)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1008 of 1011 βš”οΈ AEBI vs LCID Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LCID vs. AEBI, PSNY, LOT, FSS)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) ranks #1008 by composite RQD confidence (16/100, grade E) and #490 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSS leads on earnings valuation at 28.5x trailing P/E, while FSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 28.9% gross margin. FSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with LCID at 16/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LCID ACTIVE
Lucid Group Inc.
E 16/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -5.62% $1.19B Benchmark Subject
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
E 25/100 91.1x 19.9% 4.6% -0.79% $880.0M /aebi-vs-lcid β†’
PSNY
Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.49% $673.5M /psny-vs-lcid β†’
LOT
Lotus Technology Inc.
E 22/100 β€” 8.7% -35.0% -8.18% $252.3M /lot-vs-lcid β†’
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
C 63/100 28.5x 28.9% 15.5% -2.20% $6.87B /fss-vs-lcid β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001811210

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+67.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $807.8M , and +127.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.70B, operating cash flow of -$2.93B, and free cash flow of -$3.80B (-30.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LCID closed FY2025 with $8.39B in total assets against $2.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.35B -$2.70B -$2.93B -$3.80B $8.39B $2.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $807.8M -$2.71B -$2.02B -$2.90B $9.65B $2.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $595.3M -$2.83B -$2.49B -$2.52B $714.3M $167.2M

3. LCID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LCID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lucid Group Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 16/100 at a spot price of $3.02 (-5.62% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LCID ranks #1008 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LCID compare to AEBI and PSNY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), LCID carries a Roarable E (16/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E 91.1x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $880.0M) and PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $673.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSS leads on earnings multiple (28.5x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LCID?

Per LCID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001811210), Lucid Group Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+67.6% YoY), -$2.70B in net income, and -$3.80B in free cash flow against $8.39B in total assets and $2.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LCID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LCID last traded at $3.02 (-5.62% on volume of 14,360,988 shares), positioning the stock -23.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.93) and -55.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.76). Across its 52-week range of $2.37 to $18.10, LCID sits at the 4.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($2.64 to $3.40).

LCID Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Lucid Group Inc. (LCID)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), LCID converted $1.4B of revenue into a 0% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 16/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LCID β€” Lucid Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LCID scores 16 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -18%); Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 4/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (Beta 1.12; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 3/20 (Altman Z 0.45; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 2.85). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is the cash engine, which shows negative returns on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield, meaning the business is not currently generating cash relative to its capital base. The forensic pillars flag balance-sheet and financial-health stress across multiple measures. The institutional and insider pillars are also scored low, so the rating does not identify smart-money conviction as an offsetting positive. Any upside case rests on a turnaround in cash generation, which the source data does not show as current. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: the stock trades at a forward P/E of 23 while trailing EPS is -6.85, so earnings-based valuation depends entirely on projected recovery. The rating characterizes the stock as high-risk and not suitable as a basis for a buy decision on these inputs alone.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1353.8M$-3501.8M$-2698.1MN/A$-3800.1M$997.8M$2046.6M
FY 2024$807.8M$-3020.8M$-2713.9MN/A$-2903.5M$1606.9M$2002.2M
FY 2023$595.3M$-3099.6M$-2828.4MN/A$-2516.5MN/A$167.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $595.3M in FY 2023 to $1353.8M in FY 2025, while operating income and net income remained deeply negative in every period shown. Per the market data, gross margin is -30%, operating margin -60%, net margin -60%, and ROIC -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.45, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.85. Reported cash declined from $1606.9M to $997.8M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, while debt rose from $2002.2M to $2046.6M over the same span.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalysts and watch items include: a Yahoo Finance report, "Lucid (LCID) Is Selling More Cars Than It Builds, Can the Reset Work?" (MARKET WIRE); a CNBC report, "Lucid's Q3 deliveries fall 6.7% as EV maker cuts production to align with demand" (RISK WATCH); a Barchart.com report, "Lucid Stock Might Have Bottomed, But Only Speculators Should Bet on LCID Here" (MARKET WIRE); an Electric Vehicles report, "Lucid Shares Plunge After PIF Draw as RBC Slashes Price Target by 43%" (MARKET WIRE); a Motley Fool report, "Why Lucid Stock Fell Hard Last Month" (MARKET WIRE); and a Yahoo Finance report, "Lucid (LCID) Stock Gets Fair Value Trim As Analysts Debate Demand And Funding Risk" (RISK WATCH). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are mapped; the supply chain is recorded as NONE.

Open Questions

  • What is the reported EPS for FY 2025 and FY 2024, given that the source lists those values as N/A?
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, which the source marks as unavailable?
  • What is the composition of the reported debt and the source of the funding referenced in the news on the PIF draw?
  • What are the current analyst consensus ratings and price targets, given the analyst data is absent?
  • What 13F, Form 4, and Congressional trade detail supports the institutional and insider pillar scores?

LCID Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LCID Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LCID Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.02?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LCID 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LCID:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.82 (-11.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LCID (E β€’ RQD 16/100) a Buy at $3.20?

Welcome to the LCID (Lucid Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 16/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.40 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $3.20

Pump the brakes on LCID β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LCID, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -30.0% gross margins. Unless Lucid Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.78 (+18.1%)
Spot @ $3.20

LCID cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LCID, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.20 (52-wk range $2.37 - $18.10), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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