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SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$73.73 -1.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.75

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $4.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KRE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE: KRE) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $73.73 (-1.18% 1D, market cap $4.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, KRE ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KRE compare to URA and XLB in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (US Regional Banks Stress Gauge), KRE carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, URA (Global X Uranium ETF) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.90B) and XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KRE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while KRE leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRE?
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For SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), key quantitative strengths include Diversified US Regional Banks Stress Gauge basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.75 (+0.03%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Fund (18)Whales (11)Struct (16)Macro (9)Flow (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$92 Bull$78 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE KRE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KRE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KRE SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (26% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($4.50B AUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.2) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$68.54+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$70.62+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$72.11+2.2% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$73.73+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KRE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, KRE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.85) or 200D SMA ($71.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($77.71) toward Bear Floor ($60.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KRE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KRE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your KRE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $73.73: 135.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $60.46
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $77.71
$10,540
+$540 (+5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $91.70
$12,437
+$2,437 (+24.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$8174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$8669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$6958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KRE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KRE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $74.58H $74.58L $73.73C $73.73VOL 17.68M
RES: $80.77SUP: $65.99SMA50: $71.85SMA200: $71.06
$79.28$75.43$71.58$67.73$63.87RES $80.77SUP $65.99$73.732026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KRE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KRE Butterfly Map → + Track KRE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KRE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRE)

ETF / Index Rank #8 of 40 ⚔️ URA vs KRE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (KRE vs. URA, XLB, ARKK, SQQQ)

Industry: US Regional Banks Stress Gauge (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #35 by equity capitalization ($4.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KRE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while KRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. KRE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KRE ACTIVE
SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF
B- 70/100 — — — -1.18% $4.50B Benchmark Subject
URA
Global X Uranium ETF
E 26/100 — — — -5.90% $3.90B /ura-vs-kre →
XLB
Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund
C+ 67/100 — — — +0.40% $6.00B /xlb-vs-kre →
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
D+ 53/100 — — — -6.46% $6.50B /arkk-vs-kre →
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (3x Bear)
D+ 55/100 — — — +9.56% $3.10B /sqqq-vs-kre →

2. KRE ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates KRE on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $73.73, KRE trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $71.85 and 200-day SMA of $71.06 on daily liquidity of 17,684,565 shares.

50D SMA Level
$71.85
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$71.06
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
77.0%
$58.20 – $78.35
RSI-14 Momentum
63.2
BULLISH MOMENTUM
Volume Liquidity
17,684,565
AUM Cap $4.50B

3. KRE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KRE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE: KRE) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $73.73 (-1.18% 1D, market cap $4.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, KRE ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KRE compare to URA and XLB in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (US Regional Banks Stress Gauge), KRE carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, URA (Global X Uranium ETF) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.90B) and XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KRE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while KRE leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRE?

For SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), key quantitative strengths include Diversified US Regional Banks Stress Gauge basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KRE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KRE last traded at $73.73 (-1.18% on volume of 17,684,565 shares), positioning the stock +2.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.85) and +3.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($71.06). Across its 52-week range of $58.20 to $78.35, KRE sits at the 77.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.6% ($71.08 to $76.38).

Direct Sub-Reports: KRE RQD Cockpit KRE 12M Forecast KRE Earnings & Move KRE Dividends & DRIP KRE Insiders & 13F KRE Whale Options KRE Profit Sankey KRE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KRE — SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 70/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $73.73 (-1.18% 1D, market capitalization $4.50B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) is a liquid institutional exchange-traded fund listed on the NYSE, classified under the ETF / Index sector and the US Regional Banks Stress Gauge industry. It tracks that index and is described as having approximately $4.5B in assets under management. As a fund, its revenue model is not described in the source data beyond its tracking purpose.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 70/100): Diversified US Regional Banks Stress Gauge basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $58.20 – $78.35 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are recorded, so no supply-chain ripple mapping is available from the source data. The source data does reference a KBE-to-KRE structural drift comparison in the news wire, which implies sector-level correlation between the two regional and broader bank exposures, but the magnitude and direction of that correlation are not quantified in the sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can KRE sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against US Regional Banks Stress Gauge peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $78.35 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KRE's equity valuation to ETF / Index capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KRE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KRE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KRE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $73.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KRE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KRE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $92.16 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The RQD rates the balance sheet and insider-flow pillars strongly (16 of 20 each), with a 1.3% dividend yield and the price near the up

Don't sleep on KRE's setup in ETF / Index. The RQD rates the balance sheet and insider-flow pillars strongly (16 of 20 each), with a 1.3% dividend yield and the price near the upper end of its $58.2 - $78.35 range.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (70/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — KRE's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $57.51 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $73.73

The macro-regime pillar scores only 10 of 20 at a Beta of 1.0, leaving the fund exposed to regional bank sector stress with no reported

I respect the product at SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF, but the stock at $73.73 is a different story. The macro-regime pillar scores only 10 of 20 at a Beta of 1.0, leaving the fund exposed to regional bank sector stress with no reported fundamental earnings or valuation metrics to offset it.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 70/100 (B-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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