J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$89.18 +4.44% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.11

J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $1.60B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JJSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, J & J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ: JJSF) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $89.18 (+4.44% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JJSF ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JJSF compare to TR and JBSS in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JJSF carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, TR (Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.77B) and JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $630.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JJSF?
β–Ό

Per JJSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000785956), J & J Snack Foods Corp. generated $1.58B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $65.6M in net income, and $82.3M in free cash flow against $1.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.11 (+1.04%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 5.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510075
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk A-
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (15)Macro (18)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.6% Base Target
$113 Bull$96 Base$73 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE JJSF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JJSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY JJSF SCORES 75/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 68% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$80.75+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$81.82+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$83.19+7.2% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$89.18+7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ B (75)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JJSF Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, JJSF faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 27.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.87) or 200D SMA ($81.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($96.00) toward Bear Floor ($73.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JJSFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œJJSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.68% Total Yield
3.88% Cash ($3.46/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
48% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $27,387

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,556/yr
$11.1K
Yr 1
$12.2K
Yr 2
$13.5K
Yr 3
$15.0K
Yr 4
$16.5K
Yr 5
$18.3K
Yr 6
$20.2K
Yr 7
$22.4K
Yr 8
$24.8K
Yr 9
$27.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in JJSF & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on JJSF and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
JJSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.71%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $83.82H $89.18L $83.82C $89.18VOL 191.9K
RES: $83.54SUP: $78.05SMA50: $81.87SMA200: $81.32
$95.05$87.96$80.86$73.76$66.67RES $83.54SUP $78.05$89.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JJSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JJSF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JJSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JJSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JJSF)

Consumer Staples Rank #8 of 146 βš”οΈ TR vs JJSF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JJSF vs. TR, JBSS, MAMA, MICC)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #61 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JJSF ACTIVE
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B 75/100 23.9x 29.7% 7.9% +4.44% $1.60B Benchmark Subject
TR
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 27.4x 35.3% 9.8% +3.66% $2.77B /tr-vs-jjsf β†’
JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.
C 65/100 10.7x 18.0% 19.2% -0.06% $630.3M /jbss-vs-jjsf β†’
MAMA
Mama's Creations Inc.
D+ 52/100 114.4x 25.1% 17.2% +1.50% $597.8M /mama-vs-jjsf β†’
MICC
The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.
B- 70/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +1.96% $12.17B /micc-vs-jjsf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-09-27 β€’ CIK 0000785956

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.58B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and +416.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $65.6M, operating cash flow of $165.1M, and free cash flow of $82.3M (-17.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JJSF closed FY2025 with $1.31B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $1.58B $65.6M $165.1M $82.3M $1.31B $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $1.57B $86.6M $173.1M $99.5M $1.35B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $306.7M $78.9M $172.3M $172.3M β€” β€”

3. JJSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JJSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, J & J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ: JJSF) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $89.18 (+4.44% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JJSF ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JJSF compare to TR and JBSS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JJSF carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 29.7%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, TR (Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.77B) and JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $630.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JJSF?

Per JJSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000785956), J & J Snack Foods Corp. generated $1.58B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $65.6M in net income, and $82.3M in free cash flow against $1.31B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JJSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JJSF last traded at $89.18 (+4.44% on volume of 235,893 shares), positioning the stock +8.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($81.87) and +9.67% above its 200-day simple moving average ($81.32). Across its 52-week range of $68.87 to $98.63, JJSF sits at the 68.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.4% ($84.36 to $94.00).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 75/100 (B) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JJSF β€” J & J Snack Foods Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:42Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

JJSF scores 74 out of 100 (letter grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 7.9% and FCF yield of 5.25%. For an investor, this indicates the business converts capital into returns at a moderate level, with cash generation that is solid but not exceptional relative to the stock's valuation multiples.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is the second-lowest of the five, signaling that smart-money conviction is present but not strong, so an investor should not read institutional activity as a clear endorsement.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score points to meaningful insider-side signals, which an investor may treat as a supportive, though not decisive, indicator.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 18 / 20. this pillar reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the stock's market sensitivity aligns closely with broad-market exposure and that its sector positioning fits the current regime as scored.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. this pillar reflects Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5. These readings suggest a financially sound balance sheet with low leverage and healthy forensic metrics.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on the strength of the macro-fit and balance-sheet pillars, while valuation tradeoffs are visible in the P/E (TTM) of 23.9 against a cash-engine pillar scored only 13 / 20. Upside drivers would need to lift ROIC and cash conversion to justify the multiple. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Specialty Foods industry,. β€” for product lines, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond the aggregate revenue figures in the SEC financials.

Per the market data, gross margin is 29.7%, operating margin 5.3%, and net margin 4.1%, with ROIC of 7.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported debt was β€” in FY 2025, and operating and net income declined from FY 2024 to FY 2025. FY 2023 revenue is reported as β€”, which appears to be a data gap rather than a true figure.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Macro regime fit (18/20) and a low-leverage balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.5, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy verdict. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 7.9%, FCF yield 5.25%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $68.87 – $98.63 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Operating and net income fell from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while the P/E (TTM) of 23.9 sits against a cash-engine pillar of only 13/20. Investors must weigh 23.9x trailing P/E and 9.7x EV/EBITDA against 5.3% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE and an empty list of butterfly links, so upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the decline in operating and net income from FY 2024 to FY 2025, and what is the trajectory into the Nov. 18 results?
  • Key Question #2: What is the reported FY 2023 cash and debt position, and why is FY 2023 revenue shown as β€”?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is JJSF's 29.7% gross margin and 22.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

JJSF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for J & J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to JJSF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JJSF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $89.18?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JJSF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JJSF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $109.30 (+28.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Macro regime fit (18/20) and a low-leverage balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.5, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy verdict.

Picked up a starter position in JJSF in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $85.39. Macro regime fit (18/20) and a low-leverage balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.5, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy verdict.. Trading inside a $68.87–$98.63 52-week range with 5.25% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Specialty Foods multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” JJSF's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.02 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $85.39

Operating and net income fell from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while the P/E (TTM) of 23.9 sits against a cash-engine pillar of only 13/20.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on JJSF: Operating and net income fell from FY 2024 to FY 2025 while the P/E (TTM) of 23.9 sits against a cash-engine pillar of only 13/20.. At 23.9x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Specialty Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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