Why JCTC Stock dropped -3.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.72 -3.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.70

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $9.6M
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As of 2026-11-03, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (-3.72% 1D, market cap $9.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JCTC compare to SMJF and CAPS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.9M) and CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?
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Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.70 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.7% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE JCTC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JCTC SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (32% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.90+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$2.90-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$2.76-1.4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$2.72-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JCTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JCTC currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.90) and Max Pain ($2.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JCTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why JCTC Stock dropped -3.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) dropped -3.72% to $2.72, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($1.54 – $3.32). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($1.54 – $3.32) with RSI-14 at 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $2.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 15.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live JCTC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JCTC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of JCTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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JCTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.82H $2.82L $2.72C $2.72VOL 3.4K
RES: $2.90SUP: $2.73SMA50: $2.90SMA200: $2.32
$3.43$2.99$2.54$2.10$1.66RES $2.90SUP $2.73$2.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JCTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCTC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #815 of 1011 ⚔️ SMJF vs JCTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JCTC vs. SMJF, CAPS, OLOX, GRWG)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) ranks #815 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #926 by equity capitalization ($9.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JCTC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while JCTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.8% ROIC and 15.1% gross margin. JCTC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JCTC ACTIVE
Jewett-Cameron Trading Company
E 34/100 — 15.1% -18.8% -3.72% $9.6M Benchmark Subject
SMJF
SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 — 34.6% — +0.65% $42.9M /smjf-vs-jctc →
CAPS
Capstone Holding Corp.
E 27/100 — 23.0% -35.0% -18.68% $2.0M /caps-vs-jctc →
OLOX
Olenox Industries Inc.
E 32/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -2.25% $1.3M /olox-vs-jctc →
GRWG
GrowGeneration Corp.
E 28/100 — 26.8% -30.1% 0.00% $88.4M /grwg-vs-jctc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000885307

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) reported GAAP revenue of $41.3M (-12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.1M , and -23.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.1M, operating cash flow of -$6.6M, and free cash flow of -$6.7M (-213.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, JCTC closed FY2025 with $23.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.09, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $41.3M -$4.1M -$6.6M -$6.7M $23.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $47.1M $721.8K $6.0M $5.9M $26.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $54.3M -$20.6K $5.6M $5.6M — —

3. JCTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (-3.72% 1D, market cap $9.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JCTC compare to SMJF and CAPS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.9M) and CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?

Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JCTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JCTC last traded at $2.72 (-3.72% on volume of 3,401 shares), positioning the stock -6.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.90) and +17.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.32). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $3.32, JCTC sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($2.53 to $2.91).

JCTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is JCTC stock moving today?

Why JCTC Stock dropped -3.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JCTC — Jewett-Cameron Trading Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JCTC scores 36 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -18.8%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 3.09; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which together carry the most weight in the low score. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the institutional flow and balance-sheet pillars holding up, while the valuation tradeoff is that the business is currently generating negative returns on invested capital and zero free-cash-flow yield, so any re-rating would depend on a turnaround that the source data does not yet show. The Altman Z of 3.09 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 provide some balance-sheet cushion, but the Piotroski F of 1/9 signals weak fundamental quality.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$41.3M$-3.8M$-4.1MN/A$-6.7M$1.0MN/A
FY 2024$47.1M$-1.8M$0.7MN/A$5.9M$3.0MN/A
FY 2023$54.3M$0.4M$-0.0MN/A$5.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $54.3M (FY 2023) to $47.1M (FY 2024) to $41.3M (FY 2025), and operating income moved from positive to negative across the period. Per the market data, gross margin is 15.1%, operating margin is -9.1%, and net margin is -10%, with ROIC at -18.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.09 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The source data does not provide EPS or total debt figures for any period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items tied to JCTC. Four Form 4 and general coverage items are flagged YELLOW under "MARKET WIRE," including a Form 4 filing by AJB Investment Fund II, LP (10% Owner) for October 16 and another for September 28, plus a MarketBeat home-improvement watchlist item dated October 5. One item, a Q3 2025 earnings report citing a reported loss of $0.18 per share with no analyst estimate available, is flagged RED under "RISK WATCH." The headline and summary for that item are not consistent with a clean earnings summary, so the figures should be verified against primary filings. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary, supply chain is listed as NONE, and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What are the verified Q3 2025 and FY 2025 EPS figures, given that the EPS field is N/A across periods and a news item cites a $0.18 loss per share?
  • What is the total debt balance, since the debt field is N/A for every reported period?
  • What drove the decline in revenue from $54.3M to $41.3M over two years, and is the margin compression tied to specific product or customer segments?
  • What is the identity and holding size of the institutional and 10% owners referenced in the Form 4 filings, and what is the size of those transactions?
  • Does the company's cash position of $1.0M in FY 2025 cover its negative free cash flow of $-6.7M, and what is the funding plan?

JCTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JCTC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JCTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.72?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JCTC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JCTC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.48 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JCTC (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $2.82?

Welcome to the JCTC (Jewett-Cameron Trading Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in RETAIL: Building Materials. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.12 (-24.8%)
Spot @ $2.82

Pump the brakes on JCTC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JCTC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 15.1% gross margins. Unless Jewett-Cameron Trading Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.61 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $2.82

JCTC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JCTC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in RETAIL: Building Materials and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.82 (52-wk range $1.54 - $3.32), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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