What is JCI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for JCI.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / JCI / options

NOC (67) ITW (76) CMI (62) AME (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$146.49 -1.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $145.76

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $90.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JCI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (NYSE: JCI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $146.49 (-1.70% 1D, market cap $90.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, JCI ranks #42 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JCI compare to NOC and ITW in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), JCI carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.1x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, NOC (Northrop Grumman Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $79.21B) and ITW (Illinois Tool Works Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $79.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOC leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while ITW leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCI?

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Per JCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000833444), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share generated $23.60B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $3.29B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $37.98B in total assets and $8.89B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $145.76 (-0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 10.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JCI SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.8% FCF Margin ($2.54B FCF) & 36.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.7) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$152.44-0.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$151.02+4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$157.35-6.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$146.49+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JCI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, JCI faces multiple-compression risk if 29.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($148.14) or 200D SMA ($141.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($153.74) toward Bear Floor ($119.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (JCI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for JCI.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating JCI & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on JCI
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.45%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $158.3H $158.3L $146.5C $146.5VOL 4.65M

RES: $162.0SUP: $135.5SMA50: $148.1SMA200: $141.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JCI Butterfly Map → + Track JCI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCI)

Industrials Rank #42 of 485 ⚔️ NOC vs JCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (JCI vs. NOC, ITW, CMI, AME)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) ranks #42 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #15 by equity capitalization ($90.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOC leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while ITW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 52.9% gross margin. ITW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with JCI at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JCI ACTIVE Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share	C+	69/100	29.1x	36.4%	15.6%	-1.70%	$90.27B	Benchmark Subject
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation	C+	67/100	19.1x	—	13.0%	-0.40%	$79.21B	/noc-vs-jci →
ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc.	B+	76/100	24.3x	52.9%	23.4%	+4.13%	$79.16B	/itw-vs-jci →
CMI Cummins Inc.	C	62/100	22.7x	25.3%	17.5%	+0.10%	$68.84B	/cmi-vs-jci →
AME AMETEK Inc.	C+	69/100	39.0x	36.0%	13.4%	+0.33%	$55.28B	/ame-vs-jci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000833444

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) reported GAAP revenue of $23.60B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.95B , and +5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.29B, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, JCI closed FY2025 with $37.98B in total assets against $8.89B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$23.60B	$3.29B	—	—	$37.98B	$8.89B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$22.95B	$1.71B	—	—	$42.10B	$9.85B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$22.33B	$1.85B	—	—	$52.73B	$12.34B

3. JCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JCI compare to NOC and ITW in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCI?

Where is JCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JCI last traded at $146.49 (-1.70% on volume of 5,569,095 shares), positioning the stock -1.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($148.14) and +3.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($141.73). Across its 52-week range of $108.41 to $160.41, JCI sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($137.11 to $155.87).

Direct Sub-Reports: JCI RQD Cockpit JCI 12M Forecast JCI Earnings & Move JCI Dividends & DRIP JCI Insiders & 13F JCI Whale Options JCI Profit Sankey JCI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JCI — Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:51Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

JCI scores 73 out of 100, grading B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 15.6% and an FCF yield of 2.81%. ROIC indicates the business earns a healthy return on invested capital, while a 2.81% FCF yield is modest relative to the price, suggesting the stock is priced on expectations of continued earnings growth rather than current cash generation.
Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. The strongest pillar, described per the RQD rating as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, with Beta of 0.98 and sector sensitivity as inputs. A beta near 1.0 means the stock has historically moved roughly in line with the broader market, offering neither a defensive cushion nor elevated volatility; this pillar scores lowest, indicating less favorable alignment with the current macro regime per the rating.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, supported by Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.58. These readings point to a financially sound balance sheet with low leverage relative to equity.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests a favorable quality-and-balance-sheet profile with strong institutional signal, offset by a thin cash yield and a macro-fit score that does not add a tailwind. The valuation (P/E TTM 29.1, Forward P/E 27.1) is elevated, so the upside case depends on earnings growth delivering against that multiple. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components. —: product descriptions, customer segments, and revenue model specifics. The profile identifies the business by sector and industry classification only.

Revenue rose from $22.33B in FY 2023 to $23.60B in FY 2025, and net income increased from $1.85B to $3.29B over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 36.4%, operating margin 17%, and net margin 13.9%. ROIC is 15.6%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.13 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.58. Reported debt declined from $12.34B (FY 2023) to $8.89B (FY 2025), while cash moved from $1.24B (FY 2024) to $552.0M (FY 2025).

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong institutional flow (18/20) and a healthy balance sheet (Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 15.6%, FCF yield 2.81%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $108.41 – $160.41 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 29.1) against a thin 2.81% FCF yield leaves limited cushion if earnings growth slows. Investors must weigh 29.1x trailing P/E and 20.9x EV/EBITDA against 17.0% operating margins and a 0.98 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), JCI carries a macro regime beta of 0.98 and gross margin of 36.4%.

Key Question #1: What are reported EPS and free cash flow for the financial periods, which are listed as N/A in the SEC financials?
Key Question #2: What drove the decline in FY 2024 operating income relative to FY 2025, and what is the cash position trajectory?
Key Question #3: What supply-chain dependencies or catalysts could affect the business, given that no links or news are provided?

JCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Johnson Controls International plc Ordinary Share (JCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JCI Debate Forum (3) ↓

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5 revealing analyst questions from Johnson Controls’s Q3 earnings call

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $146.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JCI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $184.80 (+24.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong institutional flow (18/20) and a healthy balance sheet (Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy rating.

Here is why I am bullish on JCI here at $149.03: Strong institutional flow (18/20) and a healthy balance sheet (Altman Z 4.13, Piotroski F 7/9) support the RQD Buy rating.. Compare JCI's 17.0% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $141.58 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 29.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (36.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $128.17 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $149.03

Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 29.1) against a thin 2.81% FCF yield leaves limited cushion if earnings growth slows.

Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 29.1) against a thin 2.81% FCF yield leaves limited cushion if earnings growth slows.. Look at the math on JCI: paying 29.1x trailing P/E for 15.6% ROIC and 17.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Machinery/Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $131.15 before getting long.