Why IVA Stock surged +4.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$3.83 +4.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.86

Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $862.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: IVA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $3.83 (+4.93% 1D, market cap $862.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IVA ranks #305 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IVA compare to PHAR and ALMS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IVA carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PHAR (Pharming Group N.V. ADS each representing 10) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $863.7M) and ALMS (Alumis Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $871.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYRX leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CYRX leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IVA?
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For Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #305 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.86 (+0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$8 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE IVA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IVA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IVA SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.6% FCF Margin ($24.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$2.87+13.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$3.26+12.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$3.68+4.1% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$3.83-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IVA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IVA currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.78) and Max Pain ($4.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IVA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IVA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why IVA Stock surged +4.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA) surged +4.93% to $3.83, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($2.82 – $7.29). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($2.82 – $7.29) with RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $24.1M annual free cash flow.
Live IVA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 35d ago
Inventiva Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Inventiva (NASDAQ:IVA) said it remains on track to report top-line results from its Phase III NATiV3 trial of lanifibranor in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, or MASH, in the fourth quarter of 2026, afte

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 55d ago
Inventiva to Present Multiple Abstracts at Paris MASH 2026

Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical data showed lanifibranor improves metabolic profile and cardiovascular risk factors in patients with MASH with or without type 2 diabetesPreclinical data further characterize lanifibranor’s b

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IVA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IVA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IVA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $3.73H $3.83L $3.65C $3.83VOL 1.73M
RES: $5.47SUP: $2.25SMA50: $3.78SMA200: $4.86
$6.29$5.35$4.41$3.47$2.53RES $5.47SUP $2.25$3.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IVA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IVA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IVA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IVA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IVA)

Health Care Rank #305 of 1016 ⚔️ PHAR vs IVA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (IVA vs. PHAR, ALMS, CYRX, CRVS)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA) ranks #305 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #378 by equity capitalization ($862.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CYRX leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while CYRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.5% ROIC and 47.1% gross margin. PHAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with IVA at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IVA ACTIVE
Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares
D 47/100 — — — +4.93% $862.4M Benchmark Subject
PHAR
Pharming Group N.V. ADS each representing 10
D+ 52/100 — — — +4.09% $863.7M /phar-vs-iva →
ALMS
Alumis Inc.
E 18/100 — — -35.0% -5.20% $871.1M /alms-vs-iva →
CYRX
CryoPort Inc.
D- 39/100 11.8x 47.1% -11.5% -6.13% $875.7M /cyrx-vs-iva →
CRVS
Corvus Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -3.29% $843.7M /crvs-vs-iva →

2. IVA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA) operates in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care) with an equity capitalization of $862.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. IVA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IVA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: IVA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $3.83 (+4.93% 1D, market cap $862.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IVA ranks #305 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IVA compare to PHAR and ALMS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IVA carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PHAR (Pharming Group N.V. ADS each representing 10) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $863.7M) and ALMS (Alumis Inc.) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $871.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CYRX leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CYRX leads on capital efficiency (-11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IVA?

For Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #305 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IVA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IVA last traded at $3.83 (+4.93% on volume of 3,248,998 shares), positioning the stock +1.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($3.78) and -21.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.86). Across its 52-week range of $2.82 to $7.29, IVA sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.35 to $4.31).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IVA — Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:37Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

IVA carries an RQD Score of 49 out of 100, a letter grade of D, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 12 out of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), indicating that the source data shows no return on invested capital and no free cash flow yield. Whale 13F Flow scores 7 out of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 9 out of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak cash-generation evidence and a negative verdict, with the balance-sheet pillar being the relatively stronger component. Upside drivers cannot be assessed from the cash-engine pillar given its 0% readings. The verdict label itself signals distribution risk per the RQD framework.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

.A. American Depository Shares (IVA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.9B.

Gross margin, operating margin, and net margin are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is reported as 0%. The forensic balance-sheet readings are an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $2.82 – $7.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The fundamental cash engine shows ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%, and the overall verdict is Underperform / Distribution Warning. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The butterfly supply-chain graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies and no sector correlations. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers, since the profile does not describe them?
  • Key Question #2: Which institutional holders, insiders, or Congressional traders have transacted in IVA, given that the holders section is empty?
  • Key Question #3: What recent catalysts or news events could affect the stock, given that no news or catalysts are provided?

IVA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Inventiva S.A. American Depository Shares (IVA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IVA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 35d ago
Inventiva Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Inventiva (NASDAQ:IVA) said it remains on track to report top-line results from its Phase III NATiV3 trial of lanifibranor in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, or MASH, in the fourth quarter of 2026, afte

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IVA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IVA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IVA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.34 (+18.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9.

Don't sleep on IVA's setup in Health Care. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (47/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 47/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.65 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.39.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.77 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $3.65

The fundamental cash engine shows ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%, and the overall verdict is Underperform / Distribution Warning.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on IVA: The fundamental cash engine shows ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%, and the overall verdict is Underperform / Distribution Warning.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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