iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$209.74 +3.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $210.50

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.80B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ITA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ITA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSE: ITA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $209.74 (+3.06% 1D, market cap $6.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, ITA ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ITA compare to ARKK and XBI in the ETF / Index sector?
▼

Within the ETF / Index sector (Defense Prime Contractors), ITA carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.50B) and XBI (SPDR S&P Biotech ETF) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $7.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ITA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ITA leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ITA?
▼

For iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Defense Prime Contractors basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $210.50 (+0.36%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Fund (5)Whales (10)Struct (12)Macro (5)Flow (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$269 Bull$196 Base$153 Bear
📬 FREE ITA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ITA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ITA SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (28% of score)

Diversified basket structure mitigates single-issuer 10-K restatement risk

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.2) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$204.00+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$206.15+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$206.22+1.7% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$209.74-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ITA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ITA currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified Defense Prime Contractors basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ITA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ITA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ITA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ITA.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ITA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ITA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ITA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.14%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $203.2H $209.7L $203.2C $209.7VOL 1.30M
RES: $276.5SUP: $192.8SMA50: $213.7SMA200: $228.6
$260.7$243.6$226.4$209.2$192.0RES $276.5SUP $192.8$209.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ITA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ITA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ITA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ITA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ITA)

ETF / Index Rank #32 of 40 ⚔️ ARKK vs ITA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (ITA vs. ARKK, XBI, XLB, XLRE)

Industry: Defense Prime Contractors (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #32 by equity capitalization ($6.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ITA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ITA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with ITA at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ITA ACTIVE
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
D- 43/100 — — — +3.06% $6.80B Benchmark Subject
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
D+ 55/100 — — — -0.17% $6.50B /arkk-vs-ita →
XBI
SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
B 72/100 — — — +0.18% $7.40B /xbi-vs-ita →
XLB
Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund
C+ 66/100 — — — +1.28% $6.00B /xlb-vs-ita →
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
D+ 54/100 — — — +2.16% $8.00B /xlre-vs-ita →

2. ITA ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates ITA on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $209.74, ITA trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $213.69 and 200-day SMA of $228.60 on daily liquidity of 1,299,312 shares.

50D SMA Level
$213.69
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$228.60
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
23.0%
$195.71 – $256.60
RSI-14 Momentum
50.2
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
1,299,312
AUM Cap $6.80B

3. ITA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ITA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSE: ITA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $209.74 (+3.06% 1D, market cap $6.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, ITA ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ITA compare to ARKK and XBI in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Defense Prime Contractors), ITA carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.50B) and XBI (SPDR S&P Biotech ETF) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $7.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ITA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ITA leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ITA?

For iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Defense Prime Contractors basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ITA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ITA last traded at $209.74 (+3.06% on volume of 1,299,312 shares), positioning the stock -1.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($213.69) and -8.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($228.60). Across its 52-week range of $195.71 to $256.60, ITA sits at the 23.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($199.88 to $219.60).

ITA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ITA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ITA.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ITA — iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ITA scores 43 out of 100, a D- grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow (ETF Composite Methodology)." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 11/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The two weakest pillars, cash engine and macro fit, are the ones most relevant to a prospective investor: the cash-engine score reflects a 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield per the market data, meaning the source provides no evidence of cash generation at the fund level, while the macro score reflects a beta of 1.0, which implies market-level sensitivity rather than defensive behavior. The balance sheet pillar is the relative bright spot, with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9 sitting in middle territory. For an investor evaluating the stock today, the composite implies that upside depends mainly on flow and sentiment catalysts rather than on fundamental cash generation, and that the valuation case cannot be assessed from the reported multiples because they are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to ITA, all sourced from Google News RSS and all carrying a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines are: "Mapping the Market: Retreating US defense stocks could be headed for a turn higher" (Reuters), "6 Best Defense ETFs for 2026 and How to Invest" (The Motley Fool), "The Best Aerospace and Defense ETFs to Buy" (Kiplinger), "iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)" (Yahoo! Finance Canada), "Defense Stocks Are Tumbling as Wall Street Bets on a Democratic Sweep" (24/7 Wall St.), and "ITA ETF Holdings: GE Aerospace, RTX, Boeing and Top Stocks" (EBC Financial Group). The headlines carry two directional themes: a possible rebound in retreating defense stocks, and a sell-off tied to expectations of a Democratic electoral sweep. The news summaries themselves are generic and do not contain additional quantitative detail. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. Based strictly on the source data, the only named holdings and sector ripples are those mentioned in the news headlines, specifically GE Aerospace, RTX, and Boeing as top ITA holdings per the EBC Financial Group headline. The source data does not quantify their weightings or dependencies, so second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided material. A prospective investor should note that the headlines link ITA's price action to political-cycle expectations, which is a macro flow sensitivity rather than an operating supply-chain dependency.

Open Questions

  • What are ITA's current constituent holdings and their weightings, given that the source names only GE Aerospace, RTX, and Boeing via headline reference?
  • What is the fund's expense ratio and how does it affect net return relative to the tracked index?
  • What is the realized tracking difference versus the underlying Defense Prime Contractors benchmark over trailing periods?
  • Which specific 13F, Form 4, or options positioning data underpins the 10/20 whale-flow and 11/20 insider-conviction pillar scores?
  • Does the macro regime pillar (5/20) reflect a specific sensitivity to defense budget or electoral outcomes, and what quantitative measure supports it?

ITA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ITA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ITA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $209.74?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ITA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ITA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $184.57 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ITA (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $209.74?

Welcome to the ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow (ETF Composite Methodology)) in Defense Prime Contractors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $174.08 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $209.74

Pump the brakes on ITA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ITA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $241.20 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $209.74

ITA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ITA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Defense Prime Contractors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $209.74 (52-wk range $195.71 - $256.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%