Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$96.97 +1.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.04

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on INGR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE: INGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $96.97 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, INGR ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does INGR compare to CPB and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), INGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, CPB (The Campbell's Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INGR?
▼

Per INGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046257), Ingredion Incorporated generated $7.22B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $729.0M in net income, and $511.0M in free cash flow against $7.90B in total assets and $1.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.04 (+0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$130 Bull$99 Base$77 Bear
📬 FREE INGR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for INGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY INGR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.69 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$97.32-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$95.68-1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$94.25+2.9% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$96.97+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the INGR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, INGR faces multiple-compression risk if 8.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($97.93) or 200D SMA ($105.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($99.15) toward Bear Floor ($77.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $INGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “INGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your INGR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $96.97: 103.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $77.34
$7,976
$-2,024 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $99.15
$10,225
+$225 (+2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $129.66
$13,371
+$3,371 (+33.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$10374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$12269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$8858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (INGR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
INGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.27%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $95.59H $96.97L $95.59C $96.97VOL 761.9K
RES: $110.5SUP: $93.23SMA50: $97.93SMA200: $105.4
$118.8$111.9$105.0$98.07$91.15RES $110.5SUP $93.23$96.972026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

INGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on INGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for INGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for INGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (INGR)

Consumer Staples Rank #39 of 146 ⚔️ CPB vs INGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (INGR vs. CPB, CAG, LW, DAR)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) ranks #39 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #43 by equity capitalization ($6.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while INGR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and 25.3% gross margin. LW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with INGR at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
INGR ACTIVE
Ingredion Incorporated
C 63/100 8.3x 25.3% 16.1% +1.44% $6.12B Benchmark Subject
CPB
The Campbell's Company
C 63/100 10.4x 30.4% 10.8% +2.00% $6.39B /cpb-vs-ingr →
CAG
ConAgra Brands Inc.
D 49/100 — 23.9% -10.0% +3.41% $6.96B /cag-vs-ingr →
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc.
B+ 78/100 25.3x 20.6% 14.8% +1.48% $7.45B /lw-vs-ingr →
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc.
D+ 55/100 138.6x 24.0% 3.1% +1.05% $8.79B /dar-vs-ingr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001046257

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) reported GAAP revenue of $7.22B (-2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.43B , and -11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $729.0M, operating cash flow of $944.0M, and free cash flow of $511.0M (-55.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, INGR closed FY2025 with $7.90B in total assets against $1.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.69, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.22B $729.0M $944.0M $511.0M $7.90B $1.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.43B $647.0M $1.44B $1.14B $7.44B $1.79B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.16B $643.0M $1.06B $689.8M $9.79B $2.29B

3. INGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ingredion Incorporated (NYSE: INGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $96.97 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, INGR ranks #39 in composite RQD confidence.

How does INGR compare to CPB and CAG in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), INGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.3x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, CPB (The Campbell's Company) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.4x, ROIC 10.8%, cap $6.39B) and CAG (ConAgra Brands Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $6.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while INGR leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INGR?

Per INGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001046257), Ingredion Incorporated generated $7.22B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), $729.0M in net income, and $511.0M in free cash flow against $7.90B in total assets and $1.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is INGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

INGR last traded at $96.97 (+1.44% on volume of 761,907 shares), positioning the stock -0.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($97.93) and -7.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($105.37). Across its 52-week range of $93.30 to $123.49, INGR sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($93.38 to $100.56).

INGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is INGR's 12-month stock price target?

Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $99.15 (+2.2% from $96.97), with a bull-case target of $129.66 and a bear-case floor of $77.34.

Is INGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates INGR C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

INGR — Ingredion Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, INGR scores 63 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of C and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 16.1% and FCF yield is 8.48%. These are the strongest economic signals in the rating, pointing to efficient capital use and meaningful cash generation relative to the share price, though the pillar score sits below mid-range.
  • Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the score is low. No holder-level detail is supplied in the holders section, so the basis for this weak reading cannot be verified from the provided inputs.
  • Insider Conviction (18 / 20): The highest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Per the news wire, recent CFO stock grants are reported, but the source does not establish open-market buying versus compensation-related grants, so the investor implication of this strength should be read with that limitation in mind.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.16 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. A beta above 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move somewhat more than the market, which can amplify both gains and drawdowns.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.69, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.41. This is the second-strongest pillar and indicates a financially sound balance sheet.

Taken together, the investor takeaway is a balanced profile: a financially durable company with attractive cash-return metrics and a low headline multiple, offset by weak institutional-flow signals and a beta that adds volatility exposure. Upside drivers are the cash-generation and valuation metrics; the main tradeoff is that the low multiple may reflect factors not captured in the provided data.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
95.59$6.03B8.37.74.911.563.5%1.16$93.3 - $123.4916.1%

Business

Ingredion Incorporated is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Staples sector and the Packaged Foods industry, per the profile section. The provided source data does not detail specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond this classification. Market capitalization is reported at $6.0B. Further business description is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7219.0M$1016.0M$729.0MN/A$511.0M$1030.0M$1742.0M
FY 2024$7430.0M$883.0M$647.0MN/A$1141.0M$997.0M$1787.0M
FY 2023$8160.0M$957.0M$643.0MN/A$689.8MN/A$2291.3M

Per the market data section, gross margin is 25.3%, operating margin 14.1%, and net margin 10.1%, with ROIC at 16.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.69 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, consistent with a financially strong profile. Debt declined from $2291.3M in FY 2023 to $1742.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, and Debt/Equity is 0.41 per the RQD rating. Revenue declined across the reported periods, while net income rose from $643.0M to $729.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are reported, all relating to INGR:

  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada market report (YELLOW signal, MARKET WIRE).
  • A TradingView estimates report (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Seeking Alpha piece titled on undervaluation ahead of a potential transformation (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Yahoo Finance piece on clean-label demand and share gains (GREEN, CATALYST) — the only item flagged as a catalyst.
  • A MarketBeat report referencing a consensus target price (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).
  • A Stock Titan report on two CFO stock grants (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE).

Risk watch items: the news wire is predominantly neutral-to-yellow and does not specify the substance of the potential transformation or the magnitude of share gains. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific "major potential transformation" is referenced in the news wire, and what is its expected timing and scale?
  • What drove the decline in revenue from $8160.0M (FY 2023) to $7219.0M (FY 2025) while net income increased?
  • Which institutional holders and options positions underlie the weak Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 7/20?
  • Are the CFO stock grants open-market purchases or compensation awards, and how do they compare to any Form 4 activity?
  • Why is FY 2025 EPS reported as N/A, and what is the current per-share earnings trajectory?

INGR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to INGR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

INGR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $96.97?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON INGR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on INGR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $103.24 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is INGR (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $95.59?

Welcome to the INGR (Ingredion Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Packaged Foods. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $80.30 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $95.59

Pump the brakes on INGR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on INGR, but look at what you are paying: 8.3x trailing P/E with 25.3% gross margins. Unless Ingredion Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $108.97 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $95.59

INGR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on INGR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Packaged Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $95.59 (52-wk range $93.30 - $123.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%