Why IESC Stock dropped -7.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$205.96 -7.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $202.61

IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.11B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IESC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, IES Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: IESC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $205.96 (-7.97% 1D, market cap $9.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, IESC ranks #151 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IESC compare to EME and FIX in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Engineering & Construction), IESC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.8x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 34.7%. By comparison, EME (EMCOR Group Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 27.5%, cap $30.41B) and FIX (Comfort Systems USA Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 45.4x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $46.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EME leads on earnings multiple (23.9x) while IESC leads on capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IESC?
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Per IESC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001048268), IES Holdings Inc. generated $3.37B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $306.0M in net income, and $134.4M in free cash flow against $1.66B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (26% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $202.62 (-1.62%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (5)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$429 Bull$206 Base$161 Bear
📬 FREE IESC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IESC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IESC SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4% FCF Margin ($134.4M FCF) & 25.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$280.04-13.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$241.33-5.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$227.41-9.4% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$205.96+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IESC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, IESC faces multiple-compression risk if 29.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 23.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($293.03) or 200D SMA ($295.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($205.96) toward Bear Floor ($160.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IESC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IESC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why IESC Stock dropped -7.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) dropped -7.97% to $205.96, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($170.07 – $408.26). Stretched risk/reward at 30x P/E (35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($170.07 – $408.26) with RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.7% around $205.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 25.5% gross margin and $134.4M annual free cash flow.
Live IESC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREZacks Investment Research • 11h ago
Should I buy IES (IESC)

Zacks Investment Research report covering IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 13d ago
10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities. Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner. Traders will

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IESC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IESC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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IESC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $225.5H $225.5L $206.0C $206.0VOL 554.7K
RES: $419.3SUP: $200.4SMA50: $293.0SMA200: $296.0
$422.7$362.8$303.0$243.1$183.2RES $419.3SUP $200.4$206.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IESC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IESC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IESC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IESC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IESC)

Industrials Rank #151 of 485 ⚔️ EME vs IESC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (IESC vs. EME, FIX, PWR, ENGS)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) ranks #151 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #107 by equity capitalization ($9.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EME leads on earnings valuation at 23.9x trailing P/E, while IESC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.7% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. PWR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with IESC at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IESC ACTIVE
IES Holdings Inc.
D+ 58/100 29.8x 25.5% 34.7% -7.97% $9.11B Benchmark Subject
EME
EMCOR Group Inc.
C- 61/100 23.9x 19.3% 27.5% -1.42% $30.41B /eme-vs-iesc →
FIX
Comfort Systems USA Inc.
D+ 56/100 45.4x — 4.5% -7.05% $46.40B /fix-vs-iesc →
PWR
Quanta Services Inc.
C 65/100 89.8x 15.0% 8.4% -2.27% $93.58B /pwr-vs-iesc →
ENGS
Energys Group Limited
D 44/100 — 20.4% — +1.34% $242.2M /engs-vs-iesc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001048268

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) reported GAAP revenue of $3.37B (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.88B , and +41.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $306.0M, operating cash flow of $286.1M, and free cash flow of $134.4M (+28.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, IESC closed FY2025 with $1.66B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.79, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $3.37B $306.0M $286.1M $134.4M $1.66B $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $2.88B $219.1M $234.4M $104.6M $1.27B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $2.38B $108.3M $153.9M $46.9M $5.01B $1.17B

3. IESC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IESC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, IES Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: IESC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $205.96 (-7.97% 1D, market cap $9.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, IESC ranks #151 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IESC compare to EME and FIX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Engineering & Construction), IESC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.8x, gross margin of 25.5%, and ROIC of 34.7%. By comparison, EME (EMCOR Group Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 27.5%, cap $30.41B) and FIX (Comfort Systems USA Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 45.4x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $46.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EME leads on earnings multiple (23.9x) while IESC leads on capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IESC?

Per IESC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001048268), IES Holdings Inc. generated $3.37B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $306.0M in net income, and $134.4M in free cash flow against $1.66B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (26% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IESC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IESC last traded at $205.96 (-7.97% on volume of 475,697 shares), positioning the stock -29.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($293.03) and -30.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($295.96). Across its 52-week range of $170.07 to $408.26, IESC sits at the 15.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($181.86 to $230.06).

IESC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is IESC stock moving today?

Why IESC Stock dropped -7.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 30x P/E (35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IESC — IES Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IESC scores 58 out of 100, grading D+ with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15 / 20 (ROIC 34.7%; FCF yield 1.47%); Whale 13F Flow at 5 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 0.94; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16 / 20 (Altman Z 11.79; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, while whale flow and macro fit are the weakest. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers cited in the data are the high ROIC and the strong forensic readings. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 29.8 and an FCF yield of only 1.47% indicate the stock is priced for growth that the cash-flow pillar does not yet confirm. The weak whale-flow score signals limited institutional conviction in the source data. Taken together, the RQD framework frames IESC as a name where balance-sheet quality is not in question, but where current price and cash yield leave little margin for error.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$223.79$9.11B29.82517.67.520%0.94$170.07 - $408.2634.7%

Business

IES Holdings Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Industrials sector and the Engineering & Construction industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or specific revenue model. Per the company profile, the market capitalization is $9.1B. Per the market data, gross margin is 25.5%, operating margin 11.4%, and net margin 9.1%.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-09-30)$3371.5M$383.5M$306.0MN/A$134.4M$88.8M$0.0M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-09-30)$2884.4M$300.9M$219.1MN/A$104.6M$59.1M$0.0M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-09-30)$2377.2M$159.8M$108.3MN/A$46.9MN/A$1172.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue and net income rose across the three reported periods, and debt moved from $1172.5M in FY 2023 to $0.0M in FY 2024 and FY 2025. Per the market data, ROIC is 34.7%, and the RQD forensic pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 11.79, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. The balance-sheet posture in the source data is therefore characterized as strong on these metrics. The data does not provide EPS for any reported period.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific terms and financial effects of the DBM Global acquisition, and how does it affect reported revenue and debt going forward?
  • Why does FY 2025 EPS show as N/A while trailing EPS is 7.52, and what is the reconciled per-share earnings history?
  • Cash is not reported for FY 2023; what was the year-end cash position that year?
  • Which specific institutional holders and insider transactions drive the whale and insider pillar scores, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What drove the $170.07 to $408.26 52-week range, and does the current $223.79 price reflect a re-rating?

IESC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IESC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Zacks Investment Research • 11h ago
Should I buy IES (IESC)

Zacks Investment Research report covering IES Holdings Inc. (IESC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IESC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $205.96?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IESC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IESC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $241.69 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IESC (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $223.79?

Welcome to the IESC (IES Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Engineering & Construction. Bulls point to capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $187.98 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $223.79

Pump the brakes on IESC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IESC, but look at what you are paying: 29.8x trailing P/E with 25.5% gross margins. Unless IES Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $255.12 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $223.79

IESC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IESC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Engineering & Construction and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $223.79 (52-wk range $170.07 - $408.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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