Ichor Holdings (ICHR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$38.90 -8.32% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.24

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.46B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ: ICHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $38.90 (-8.32% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ICHR ranks #559 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICHR compare to PLAB and SHLS in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICHR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, PLAB (Photronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 24.6%, cap $1.63B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLAB leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while PLAB leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICHR?
β–Ό

Per ICHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001652535), Ichor Holdings generated $947.7M in revenue (+11.6% YoY), -$52.8M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $942.9M in total assets and $117.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.24 (-1.69%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510032
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (4)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$119 Bull$34 Base$27 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ICHR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ICHR SCORES 32/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (44% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.84 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 9.3% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$51.57-18.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$42.23-3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$40.75-4.5% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$38.90-9.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (40) β†’ E (32)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ICHR currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($52.36) and Max Pain ($40.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $119.26.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICHRβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œICHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ICHR)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ICHR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICHR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ICHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ICHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.21%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $42.43H $42.43L $38.90C $38.90VOL 932.5K
RES: $60.72SUP: $33.98SMA50: $52.36SMA200: $60.98
$119.5$95.10$70.73$46.36$22.00RES $60.72SUP $33.98$38.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICHR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICHR)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ICHR vs. PLAB, SHLS, WOLF, AMBQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ichor Holdings (ICHR) ranks #559 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #324 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLAB leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while PLAB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.6% ROIC and 35.3% gross margin. PLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with ICHR at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICHR ACTIVE
Ichor Holdings
E 32/100 β€” 9.3% -4.5% -8.32% $1.46B Benchmark Subject
PLAB
Photronics Inc.
D+ 57/100 12.6x 35.3% 24.6% -5.29% $1.63B /plab-vs-ichr β†’
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 37.8x 35.0% 7.5% -4.64% $1.21B /shls-vs-ichr β†’
WOLF
Wolfspeed Inc.
D- 37/100 β€” β€” 0.7% -11.90% $1.16B /wolf-vs-ichr β†’
AMBQ
Ambiq Micro Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 44.3% -35.0% -11.21% $1.16B /ambq-vs-ichr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-26 β€’ CIK 0001652535

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Ichor Holdings (ICHR) reported GAAP revenue of $947.7M (+11.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $849.0M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.8M, operating cash flow of $29.9M, and free cash flow of -$6.3M (-161.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICHR closed FY2025 with $942.9M in total assets against $117.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-26 $947.7M -$52.8M $29.9M -$6.3M $942.9M $117.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-27 $849.0M -$20.8M $27.9M $10.2M $995.6M $121.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-29 $811.1M -$43.0M $57.6M $57.6M β€” β€”

3. ICHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ: ICHR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $38.90 (-8.32% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ICHR ranks #559 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICHR compare to PLAB and SHLS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICHR carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, PLAB (Photronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 24.6%, cap $1.63B) and SHLS (Shoals Technologies Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $1.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLAB leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while PLAB leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICHR?

Per ICHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001652535), Ichor Holdings generated $947.7M in revenue (+11.6% YoY), -$52.8M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $942.9M in total assets and $117.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICHR last traded at $38.90 (-8.32% on volume of 932,489 shares), positioning the stock -25.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($52.36) and -36.21% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.98). Across its 52-week range of $14.06 to $113.58, ICHR sits at the 25.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($34.04 to $43.76).

ICHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is ICHR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ICHR.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 32/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ICHR β€” Ichor Holdings: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ICHR carries an RQD Score of 32 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and a verdict label of "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 7 / 20. The pillar cites ROIC of -4.5% and FCF yield of -0.4%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital above zero, and free cash flow relative to market value is negative. Valuation support from cash generation is absent on these figures.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. The pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low, which signals weak institutional conviction in the source data. Per the source, no holder-level detail is provided, so the drivers of this score cannot be verified.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. The pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest pillar score, indicating weak insider signal. No underlying transaction records are included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. The pillar cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the market; the low score reflects how the rating model weights this profile against the current regime.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. The pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 4.84, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18. This is the strongest pillar and the only one above a mid-range score. It indicates the balance sheet is comparatively sound even as operating economics are weak.

Investor implications: the rating is driven primarily by weak cash generation, weak institutional and insider signals, and a low macro-fit score. The balance sheet provides some offset but does not lift the overall grade out of the E range. Upside drivers would need to come from improved margins and returns, which the reported figures do not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are unresolved because forward earnings and multiples are not available in source data. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Semiconductors industry, per the company profile. The profile reports a market capitalization of $1.6B. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $947.7M in FY 2025. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or the detailed revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$947.7M$-39.3M$-52.8MN/A$-6.3M$98.3M$117.3M
FY 2024$849.0M$-7.6M$-20.8MN/A$10.2M$108.7M$121.0M
FY 2023$811.1M$-10.9M$-43.0MN/A$57.6MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 9.3%, operating margin is -4.1%, and net margin is -5.6%, with ROIC at -4.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.84 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt/Equity is 0.18 per the same rating. Revenue grew between FY 2023 and FY 2025 while net losses persisted in each reported period, and FY 2025 free cash flow turned negative after a positive FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference ICHR, sourced from Yahoo! Finance Canada, StockInvest.us, GuruFocus, Simply Wall St, Seeking Alpha, and Yahoo Finance. Five are tagged as market wire items with yellow signal lights, and one, from Simply Wall St, is tagged as a catalyst with a green light. Headlines reference a stock price forecast, a reported 9.2% decline, a view that the sell-off looks overdone as margins improve, and a reference to a 111% run. The feed does not include the underlying article text, so the specific claims cannot be confirmed beyond the headlines. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the source offers no basis for assessing ripple effects through suppliers or customers.

Open Questions

  • What are ICHR's specific products, end markets, and customer concentration, given the source provides only sector and industry labels?
  • What drives the gap between FY 2024 and FY 2025 operating losses, and does the margin improvement referenced in the news headlines appear in reported figures?
  • What are current EPS, forward earnings, and valuation multiples, since the source data leaves P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the whale and insider pillar scores, given the holders section is empty?
  • What are the cash and debt figures for FY 2023, which are listed as not available?

ICHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ichor Holdings (ICHR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ICHR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $38.90?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICHR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICHR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.34 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ICHR (E β€’ RQD 32/100) a Buy at $42.43?

Welcome to the ICHR (Ichor Holdings) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 32/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $35.22 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $42.43

Pump the brakes on ICHR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ICHR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 9.3% gross margins. Unless Ichor Holdings expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.04 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $42.43

ICHR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ICHR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $42.43 (52-wk range $14.06 - $113.58), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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