Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.3% Move

$220.44 +3.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $221.34

Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.67B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Installed Building Products Inc. (NYSE: IBP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $220.44 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IBP ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBP compare to ECG and CVCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), IBP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, ECG (Everus Construction Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 30.4%, cap $5.24B) and CVCO (Cavco Industries Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBP?
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Per IBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580905), Installed Building Products Inc. generated $2.97B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $265.4M in net income, and $300.8M in free cash flow against $2.07B in total assets and $850.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $221.34 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 10.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (19)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$366 Bull$229 Base$179 Bear
📬 FREE IBP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IBP SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.1% FCF Margin ($300.8M FCF) & 34% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.66 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.9) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$180.33+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$187.87+6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$199.90+10.3% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$220.44+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, IBP faces multiple-compression risk if 21.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 31.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($204.80) or 200D SMA ($245.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($229.37) toward Bear Floor ($178.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IBP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.3% Swing Band

±$20.50 Expected Swing
$199.94 (-9.3%)Spot $220.44$240.94 (+9.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IBP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 67/100

Trailing EPS: $9.99 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1%

Model Bullish Setup (67/100)Model Risk Weight (33/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.97B$265.4M$300.8M34%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.94B$256.6M$251.4M33.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.78B$243.7M$215.2M34%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IBP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IBP
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IBP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $212.2H $220.4L $212.2C $220.4VOL 279.2K
RES: $290.3SUP: $167.3SMA50: $204.8SMA200: $245.9
$311.8$275.1$238.3$201.5$164.7RES $290.3SUP $167.3$220.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #201 of 1011 ⚔️ ECG vs IBP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IBP vs. ECG, CVCO, SKY, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) ranks #201 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #247 by equity capitalization ($5.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTH leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while ECG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.4% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. SKY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with IBP at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBP ACTIVE
Installed Building Products Inc.
C+ 67/100 21.3x 34.0% 24.7% +3.32% $5.67B Benchmark Subject
ECG
Everus Construction Group Inc.
D 46/100 27.3x 12.1% 30.4% +0.35% $5.24B /ecg-vs-ibp →
CVCO
Cavco Industries Inc.
B+ 80/100 22.0x 23.5% 17.6% +7.09% $4.76B /cvco-vs-ibp →
SKY
Champion Homes Inc.
A- 81/100 21.3x 26.4% 20.8% +4.72% $4.60B /sky-vs-ibp →
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
C- 59/100 9.3x — 8.0% +7.04% $4.20B /mth-vs-ibp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001580905

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) reported GAAP revenue of $2.97B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.94B , and +6.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $265.4M, operating cash flow of $371.4M, and free cash flow of $300.8M (+19.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBP closed FY2025 with $2.07B in total assets against $850.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.97B $265.4M $371.4M $300.8M $2.07B $850.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.94B $256.6M $340.0M $251.4M $2.06B $842.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.78B $243.7M $340.2M $215.2M $3.33B $780.2M

3. IBP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Installed Building Products Inc. (NYSE: IBP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $220.44 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $5.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IBP ranks #201 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBP compare to ECG and CVCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), IBP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of 34.0%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, ECG (Everus Construction Group Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 30.4%, cap $5.24B) and CVCO (Cavco Industries Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 17.6%, cap $4.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTH leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while ECG leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBP?

Per IBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001580905), Installed Building Products Inc. generated $2.97B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $265.4M in net income, and $300.8M in free cash flow against $2.07B in total assets and $850.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBP last traded at $220.44 (+3.32% on volume of 432,788 shares), positioning the stock +7.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($204.80) and -10.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($245.86). Across its 52-week range of $176.15 to $349.00, IBP sits at the 25.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($199.94 to $240.94).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBP — Installed Building Products Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:58Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

IBP scores 67 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 19 of 20, anchored by a 24.7% ROIC and a 5.33% FCF yield; this is the strongest pillar and the core of the bull case. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 5.66, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.2. Insider Conviction scores 16 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Whale/13F Flow scores 9 of 20, indicating weaker institutional accumulation and options positioning. Macro Regime Fit scores 7 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.05 and sector sensitivity, which is the weakest pillar.

For a prospective investor, the profile suggests a financially sturdy business whose stock has been priced at a moderate multiple, with upside tied to a possible re-rating if institutional flow improves, and limited macro-regime support at present. The valuation tradeoff is that a 21.3x trailing P/E and 13.8x EV/EBITDA leave less margin for error if earnings growth slows. The rating's "Watch for Breakout" language signals that the verdict is conditional on confirmation rather than an endorsement of current momentum. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under Consumer Discretionary, in the Homebuilding industry..6B.

Per the market data, gross margin is 34%, operating margin 13%, and net margin 8.9%, with ROIC of 24.7%. The Altman Z-Score is 5.66 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both consistent with a sound balance sheet posture. Debt rose from $780.2M to $850.0M across the reported periods while revenue grew from $2.78B to $2.97B. Cash of $321.9M against $850.0M of debt and a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.2 defines the leverage profile.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Cash engine is top-tier, with 24.7% ROIC and a 5.33% FCF yield supporting the 19/20 fundamental score. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 (ROIC 24.7%, FCF yield 5.33%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $176.15 – $349.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Macro regime fit is weak at 7/20 with beta 1.05, and institutional flow is thin at 9/20. Investors must weigh 21.3x trailing P/E and 13.8x EV/EBITDA against 13.0% operating margins and a 1.05 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no upstream or downstream links and no sector-correlation edges provided. —: specific upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and second-order bottlenecks. The Consumer Discretionary / Homebuilding classification is the only sector context available, and the rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar (7/20, beta 1.05) is the closest available proxy for sector sensitivity.

  • Key Question #1: What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which are recorded as N/A in the financials?
  • Key Question #2: What caused the increase in debt from $780.2M to $850.0M, and what is the associated interest and maturity profile?
  • Key Question #3: What are the identities and sizes of the 13F institutional holders and the Form 4 insider transactions behind the insider conviction score?

IBP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Installed Building Products Inc. (IBP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IBP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $220.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $260.29 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash engine is top-tier, with 24.7% ROIC and a 5.33% FCF yield supporting the 19/20 fundamental score.

Picked up a starter position in IBP in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $213.35. Cash engine is top-tier, with 24.7% ROIC and a 5.33% FCF yield supporting the 19/20 fundamental score.. Trading inside a $176.15–$349.00 52-week range with 5.33% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Homebuilding multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $213.35 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

MU MultipleCompression Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $160.01 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $213.35

Macro regime fit is weak at 7/20 with beta 1.05, and institutional flow is thin at 9/20.

Careful chasing IBP at $213.35. Macro regime fit is weak at 7/20 with beta 1.05, and institutional flow is thin at 9/20.. Gross margin is 34.0%, but operating margin is 13.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $160.01 on multiple compression.

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