Humana Inc. (HUM) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$414.50 -0.73% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $413.17

Humana Inc. (HUM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $50.14B
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $414.50 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $50.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, HUM ranks #131 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HUM compare to ILMN and NTRA in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), HUM carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, ILMN (Illumina Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 18.2%, cap $43.80B) and NTRA (Natera Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.9%, cap $62.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CI leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while ILMN leads on capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUM?
β–Ό

Per HUM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000049071), Humana Inc. generated $129.66B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), $1.19B in net income, and $375.0M in free cash flow against $48.91B in total assets and $12.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $413.17 (-0.32%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (16)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$502 Bull$426 Base$332 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE HUM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HUM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY HUM SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.03 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.3% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$420.38+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$427.38-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$414.85-0.1% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$414.50+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B (72) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HUM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, HUM faces multiple-compression risk if 42.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 42x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($402.42) or 200D SMA ($309.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($425.69) toward Bear Floor ($332.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HUMβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œHUM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How HUM Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$375.0M (0.3% FCF Margin)
Revenue$129.66BGross Profit $67.43B (52%)Cost of Sales $62.24BOp Profit $2.70B (2.1%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $64.72BNet Profit$1.19B (0.9%)Tax/Other $1.52B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $106.37B
FY24
Rev $117.76B
FY25
Rev $129.66B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$129.66B52%2.1%$1.19B$375.0M8.3%
FY 2024$117.76B52%2.2%$1.21B$2.39B8%
FY 2023$106.37B52%3.8%$2.49B-$805.8M4.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HUM)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of HUM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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HUM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +74.19%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $411.9H $417.6L $411.9C $414.5VOL 1.02M
RES: $464.3SUP: $384.7SMA50: $402.4SMA200: $309.7
$475.1$398.0$320.8$243.7$166.5RES $464.3SUP $384.7$414.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HUM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HUM today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HUM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HUM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HUM)

Health Care Rank #131 of 1016 βš”οΈ ILMN vs HUM Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (HUM vs. ILMN, NTRA, CNC, CI)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Humana Inc. (HUM) ranks #131 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #39 by equity capitalization ($50.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CI leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while ILMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.2% ROIC and 66.1% gross margin. ILMN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with HUM at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HUM ACTIVE
Humana Inc.
C 64/100 42.2x β€” 8.3% -0.73% $50.14B Benchmark Subject
ILMN
Illumina Inc.
B+ 77/100 51.5x 66.1% 18.2% -18.64% $43.80B /ilmn-vs-hum β†’
NTRA
Natera Inc.
B- 70/100 β€” β€” -4.9% -4.98% $62.85B /ntra-vs-hum β†’
CNC
Centene Corporation
C 63/100 β€” 8.1% -31.0% -0.25% $33.97B /cnc-vs-hum β†’
CI
The Cigna Group
D+ 53/100 13.2x 21.8% 8.8% -0.06% $78.85B /ci-vs-hum β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000049071

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Humana Inc. (HUM) reported GAAP revenue of $129.66B (+10.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $117.76B , and +21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.19B, operating cash flow of $921.0M, and free cash flow of $375.0M (-84.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, HUM closed FY2025 with $48.91B in total assets against $12.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.03, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $129.66B $1.19B $921.0M $375.0M $48.91B $12.37B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $117.76B $1.21B $2.97B $2.39B $46.48B $11.14B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $106.37B $2.49B $3.98B -$805.8M $127.65B $29.87B

3. HUM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HUM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $414.50 (-0.73% 1D, market cap $50.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, HUM ranks #131 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HUM compare to ILMN and NTRA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), HUM carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.2x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, ILMN (Illumina Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 18.2%, cap $43.80B) and NTRA (Natera Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.9%, cap $62.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CI leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while ILMN leads on capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUM?

Per HUM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000049071), Humana Inc. generated $129.66B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), $1.19B in net income, and $375.0M in free cash flow against $48.91B in total assets and $12.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HUM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HUM last traded at $414.50 (-0.73% on volume of 887,972 shares), positioning the stock +3.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($402.42) and +33.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($309.73). Across its 52-week range of $163.11 to $456.50, HUM sits at the 85.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.3% ($384.24 to $444.76).

HUM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Humana Inc. (HUM)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), HUM converted $129.7B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 2.1% operating margin, and $375.0M in free cash flow (0.3% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HUM β€” Humana Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HUM scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating this reflects ROIC of 8.3% and an FCF yield of 0.75%. Cash generation is the weakest part of the thesis relative to the stock's valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning, and is among the stronger scores.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow and is comparatively weak.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 0.88 and sector sensitivity; the stock's low beta is a defensive attribute, but the pillar score is middling.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 5.03, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.7 make this the strongest pillar.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced setup rather than a clear-cut opportunity. The upside case rests on balance-sheet strength and institutional interest. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 42.2 and the forward P/E is 39.2, while FCF yield is only 0.75%, meaning the price embeds expectations that current free-cash generation does not yet cover. Investors should weigh whether the earnings recovery implied by forward multiples materializes before treating the rating as a constructive signal.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
417.56$50.14B42.239.218.49.890.86%0.88$163.11 - $456.58.3%

Business

Humana Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector and the Medical Specialities industry, per the profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $129664.0M. Per the profile, the source data does not itemize its products, customer segments, or revenue streams beyond sector and industry classification. Not available in source data for detailed business model descriptions.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$129664.0M$2704.0M$1188.0MN/A$375.0M$4200.0M$12369.0M
FY 2024$117761.0M$2562.0M$1207.0MN/A$2391.0M$2221.0M$11144.0M
FY 2023$106374.0M$4013.0M$2489.0MN/A$-805.8MN/A$29869.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $106374.0M in FY 2023 to $129664.0M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $2489.0M to $1188.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 2.1%, the net margin is 0.9%, and the gross margin is listed as 0%. Per the market data, ROIC is 8.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.03 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.7. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 debt of $12369.0M is well below the FY 2023 figure of $29869.8M, and cash rose to $4200.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most recent items are tagged as catalysts or market-wire items. Catalyst-tagged headlines reference the Medicare Advantage star ratings: "Humana Stock Jumps on Raised Medicare Advantage Ratings" (Investopedia, GREEN) and "Humana stock rises 15% after Medicare quality ratings jump" (Quartz, GREEN). Market-wire items include "Humana's Star Ratings Progress Doesn't Erase Valuation Concerns" (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW), which flags valuation as a counterweight to the ratings improvement, and "Humana (HUM) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW). Risk watch: the Seeking Alpha headline explicitly names valuation concerns. Proprietary signals: Not available in source data; the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals.

HUM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Humana Inc. (HUM) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to HUM Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HUM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $414.50?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HUM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HUM:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $450.96 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HUM (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $417.56?

Welcome to the HUM (Humana Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Medical Specialities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (42.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $321.52 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $417.56

Pump the brakes on HUM β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HUM, but look at what you are paying: 42.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Humana Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $484.37 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $417.56

HUM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HUM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical Specialities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $417.56 (52-wk range $163.11 - $456.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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