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Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$0.30 +6.27% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.30

Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $52.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HRTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Heron Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: HRTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.30 (+6.27% 1D, market cap $52.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, HRTX ranks #642 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HRTX compare to XLO and PLRX in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), HRTX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XLO (Xilio Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $52.8M) and PLRX (Pliant Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HRTX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HRTX?
β–Ό

Per HRTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000818033), Heron Therapeutics Inc. generated $154.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), -$20.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $255.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.30 (+0.94%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE HRTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HRTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY HRTX SCORES 34/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$0.42-14.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.36-16.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.30+0% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$0.30-8.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ E (34)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HRTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While HRTX currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.33) and Max Pain ($0.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.66.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HRTXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œHRTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HRTX)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of HRTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HRTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -75.41%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.30H $0.30L $0.28C $0.30VOL 1.43M
RES: $0.47SUP: $0.22SMA50: $0.33SMA200: $0.69
$1.42$1.10$0.79$0.48$0.16RES $0.47SUP $0.22$0.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HRTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HRTX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HRTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HRTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HRTX)

Health Care Rank #642 of 1015 βš”οΈ XLO vs HRTX Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (HRTX vs. XLO, PLRX, TLPH, HYFT)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) ranks #642 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #738 by equity capitalization ($52.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HRTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HRTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 73.3% gross margin. HYFT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with HRTX at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HRTX ACTIVE
Heron Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 73.3% -35.0% +6.27% $52.7M Benchmark Subject
XLO
Xilio Therapeutics Inc.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -0.50% $52.8M /xlo-vs-hrtx β†’
PLRX
Pliant Therapeutics Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.29% $53.2M /plrx-vs-hrtx β†’
TLPH
Talphera Inc.
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.94% $53.5M /tlph-vs-hrtx β†’
HYFT
MindWalk Holdings Corp.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.65% $53.8M /hyft-vs-hrtx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000818033 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) reported GAAP revenue of $154.9M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $144.3M , and -50.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$20.0M, operating cash flow of -$27.6M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HRTX closed FY2025 with $255.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $154.9M -$20.0M -$27.6M -$27.9M $255.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $144.3M -$14.0M -$22.5M -$24.2M $233.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $309.7M -$111.0M -$58.8M -$58.8M β€” β€”

3. HRTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HRTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Heron Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: HRTX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.30 (+6.27% 1D, market cap $52.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, HRTX ranks #642 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HRTX compare to XLO and PLRX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), HRTX carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XLO (Xilio Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $52.8M) and PLRX (Pliant Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HRTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HRTX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HRTX?

Per HRTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000818033), Heron Therapeutics Inc. generated $154.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), -$20.0M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $255.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HRTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HRTX last traded at $0.30 (+6.27% on volume of 1,218,814 shares), positioning the stock -9.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.33) and -56.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.69). Across its 52-week range of $0.26 to $1.58, HRTX sits at the 3.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.34).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 34/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HRTX β€” Heron Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.30 (+6.27% 1D, market capitalization $52.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 73.3%, operating margin of -1.6%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Heron Therapeutics Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry,. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 73.3%, which indicates the economics of its sales are high at the gross level before operating costs.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) reported $154.9M in annual revenue (up from $144.3M in FY2024, +7.4% YoY) and -$20.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($309.7M revenue, -$111.0M net income) through FY2025, HRTX scaled operating cash flow to -$27.6M and free cash flow to -$27.9M, backed by $255.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.26 – $1.58 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded for HRTX. A prospective investor should therefore treat second-order ripple analysis as unsupported by the current dataset.

  • Key Question #1: Can HRTX sustain or expand its -1.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $154.9M and free cash flow of -$27.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HRTX's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HRTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Heron Therapeutics Inc. (HRTX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to HRTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HRTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HRTX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HRTX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.35 (+25.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $144.3M to $154.9M in FY 2025 while operating income improved from -$11.5M to -$2.5M, and institutional and options a

Long HRTX at $0.28 targeting $0.35. Revenue grew from $144.3M to $154.9M in FY 2025 while operating income improved from -$11.5M to -$2.5M, and institutional and options activity registers as the strongest RQD pillar at 11 / 20.. Institutional whale score is 10/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.26 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. If gross margin (73.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.23 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $0.28

Negative free cash flow of -$27.9M in FY 2025, ROIC of -35%, a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9, and an insider conviction pillar at onl

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HRTX above $0.28. Negative free cash flow of -$27.9M in FY 2025, ROIC of -35%, a Piotroski F-Score of 2 out of 9, and an insider conviction pillar at only 3 / 20 weigh on the RQD score of 37.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $1.58.

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