Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$180.57 -2.02% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $179.57

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $17.36B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $180.57 (-2.02% 1D, market cap $17.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, H ranks #592 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does H compare to HTHT and LVS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), H carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HTHT (H World Group Limited) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.9x, ROIC 66.8%, cap $14.42B) and LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 36.2%, cap $23.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for H?
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Per H's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468174), Hyatt Hotels Corporation generated $7.10B in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$52.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $14.04B in total assets and $4.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $179.58 (-0.55%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510048
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (15)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$217 Bull$172 Base$135 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE H RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for H)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY H SCORES 48/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±6.9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.2% FCF Margin ($159.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$162.92+8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$176.15-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$172.97+4.4% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$180.57-5.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (40) β†’ D (48)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a H Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While H currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($165.96) and Max Pain ($189.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $217.20.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $Hβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (H)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for H.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring H)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of H's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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H // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.48%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $173.4H $184.3L $173.4C $180.6VOL 1.67M
RES: $186.4SUP: $144.4SMA50: $166.0SMA200: $169.9
$210.6$195.0$179.3$163.6$148.0RES $186.4SUP $144.4$180.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

H Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on H today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for H. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for H today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (H)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #592 of 1011 βš”οΈ HTHT vs H Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (H vs. HTHT, LVS, IHG, LTH)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) ranks #592 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #108 by equity capitalization ($17.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while HTHT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 66.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. HTHT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with H at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
H ACTIVE
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
D 48/100 β€” β€” -0.7% -2.02% $17.36B Benchmark Subject
HTHT
H World Group Limited
B- 71/100 19.9x β€” 66.8% +1.66% $14.42B /htht-vs-h β†’
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
D+ 56/100 14.3x β€” 36.2% -0.19% $23.22B /lvs-vs-h β†’
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group American
C+ 66/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -1.09% $24.97B /ihg-vs-h β†’
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 27.1x 47.6% 8.6% -0.55% $10.13B /lth-vs-h β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001468174

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) reported GAAP revenue of $7.10B (+6.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.65B , and +6.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.0M, operating cash flow of $379.0M, and free cash flow of $159.0M (-65.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, H closed FY2025 with $14.04B in total assets against $4.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.78, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.10B -$52.0M $379.0M $159.0M $14.04B $4.27B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.65B $1.30B $633.0M $463.0M $13.32B $3.33B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.67B $220.0M $800.0M $500.0M $9.55B $2.23B

3. H Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is H stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $180.57 (-2.02% 1D, market cap $17.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, H ranks #592 in composite RQD confidence.

How does H compare to HTHT and LVS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), H carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -0.7%. By comparison, HTHT (H World Group Limited) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.9x, ROIC 66.8%, cap $14.42B) and LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 36.2%, cap $23.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while HTHT leads on capital efficiency (66.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for H?

Per H's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001468174), Hyatt Hotels Corporation generated $7.10B in revenue (+6.8% YoY), -$52.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $14.04B in total assets and $4.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is H trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

H last traded at $180.57 (-2.02% on volume of 986,546 shares), positioning the stock +8.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($165.96) and +6.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($169.90). Across its 52-week range of $134.18 to $206.86, H sits at the 63.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.9% ($168.11 to $193.03).

H Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is H's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for H.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 48/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

H β€” Hyatt Hotels Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, H scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC -0.7%; FCF yield 0.92%), Whale/13F Flow at 15 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7 of 20 (Beta 1; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8 of 20 (Altman Z 1.78; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 1.28).

For a prospective investor, the pillar mix shows the upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning, the strongest pillar at 15 of 20. The weakest economic signals are the cash engine and insider conviction, and the cash engine is the core concern: negative ROIC paired with a 0.92% FCF yield implies limited current cash generation relative to the share price. The forensic reading (Altman Z 1.78, Piotroski F 5/9) sits in a middling-to-weak zone that warrants caution rather than comfort. The Beta of 1 and the Macro Regime Fit score of 7 of 20 indicate that sector sensitivity is not a source of support in this framework. Forward P/E of 32 is shown in the snapshot; the source does not provide a trailing P/E or EV/EBITDA to test valuation further. This is an analytical summary of the factors in the scoring, not personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7101.0M$-61.4M$-52.0MN/A$159.0M$787.0M$4272.0M
FY 2024$6648.0M$1529.3M$1296.0MN/A$463.0M$1011.0M$3326.0M
FY 2023$6667.0M$259.6M$220.0MN/A$500.0MN/A$2234.4M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $6667.0M in FY 2023 to $7101.0M in FY 2025, while FY 2025 operating income and net income turned negative at $-61.4M and $-52.0M. Per the market data section, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -0.9%, and net margin is -0.7%, with ROIC at -0.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.78 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt rose from $2234.4M in FY 2023 to $4272.0M in FY 2025 against cash of $787.0M, and the RQD rating reports Debt/Equity of 1.28.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items reference H:

  • A Yahoo Finance stock forecast report (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW), published 1h before data timestamp.
  • A Seeking Alpha item titled as a 2026 Q3 results earnings call presentation dated 2026-10-29 (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • A TradingView estimates item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • A Benzinga item asking why the stock is gaining Thursday (CATALYST, GREEN), the only item flagged green.
  • A debelegger.nl stock price and chart item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).
  • A MarketScreener item reporting an insider sale worth $314,072 per a recent SEC filing (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW).

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary and the industry is Hotels/Resorts, with supply_chain marked NONE, no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals. The news items above are headline-level only; their summaries are generic and no operational details are provided. Risk watch items per the source are the insider sale reported by MarketScreener and the negative FY 2025 operating and net income.

Open Questions

  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, given both are unavailable and forward P/E is 32 against negative trailing EPS?
  • What drove the swing from FY 2024 net income of $1296.0M to FY 2025 net loss of $-52.0M, and how much of it is recurring?
  • What is the size and identity of the insider sale referenced in the MarketScreener item, and do other Form 4 filings support or offset it?
  • What are the specific 13F holders and Congressional trades behind the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the Q3 2026 results content referenced by the Seeking Alpha item, and what did it show for revenue, margin, and cash flow?

H Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to H Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

H Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $180.57?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON H 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on H:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $199.04 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is H (D β€’ RQD 48/100) a Buy at $184.30?

Welcome to the H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $140.07 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $184.30

Pump the brakes on H β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on H, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Hyatt Hotels Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $215.63 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $184.30

H cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on H, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $184.30 (52-wk range $134.18 - $206.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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