Yahoo Finance report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GUTS Stock slipped -1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GUTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, Fractyl Health Inc. (NASDAQ: GUTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.98 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $13.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, GUTS ranks #723 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GUTS compare to CNSY and SINT in the Health Care sector?
▼
Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), GUTS carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CNSY (Cerenome Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.2M) and SINT (SiNtx Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GUTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GUTS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GUTS?
▼
Per GUTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572616), Fractyl Health Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$141.0M in net income, and -$90.9M in free cash flow against $121.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GUTS Turnaround Squeeze
While GUTS currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.29) and Max Pain ($1.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.81.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GUTS Stock slipped -1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) slipped -1.51% to $0.98, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.82 – $29.34). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.82 – $29.34) with RSI-14 at 17.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.98 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Benzinga report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Patent milestones build on positive REMAIN-1 six-month pivotal results and patient research supporting interest in a one-time procedure for post-GLP-1 weight maintenanceNew catheter patent provides protection extending t
Fractyl Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:GUTS) (the Company or Fractyl), a clinical-stage metabolic therapeutics company focused on pioneering novel approaches to treat obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D), today announced additions
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GUTS)
- ✓Walkthrough of GUTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GUTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GUTS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GUTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GUTS)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (GUTS vs. CNSY, SINT, CTSO, ICU)
Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) ranks #723 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #869 by equity capitalization ($13.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GUTS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GUTS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GUTS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GUTS
ACTIVE
Fractyl Health Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.51% | $13.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| CNSY Cerenome Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.30% | $13.2M | /cnsy-vs-guts → |
| SINT SiNtx Technologies Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 45.3% | -35.0% | -1.16% | $13.0M | /sint-vs-guts → |
| CTSO Cytosorbents Corporation | E | 22/100 | — | 71.5% | -35.0% | +3.18% | $13.9M | /ctso-vs-guts → |
| ICU SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation | E | 31/100 | — | 95.7% | -35.0% | -3.03% | $12.2M | /icu-vs-guts → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001572616In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $93.0K ) , GAAP net income of -$141.0M, operating cash flow of -$90.3M, and free cash flow of -$90.9M (-35.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GUTS closed FY2025 with $121.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$141.0M | -$90.3M | -$90.9M | $121.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $93.0K | -$68.7M | -$65.5M | -$67.3M | $108.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$77.1M | -$42.8M | -$42.8M | — | — |
3. GUTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GUTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Fractyl Health Inc. (NASDAQ: GUTS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.98 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $13.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, GUTS ranks #723 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GUTS compare to CNSY and SINT in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), GUTS carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CNSY (Cerenome Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.2M) and SINT (SiNtx Technologies Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GUTS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GUTS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GUTS?
Per GUTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572616), Fractyl Health Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$141.0M in net income, and -$90.9M in free cash flow against $121.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GUTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GUTS last traded at $0.98 (-1.51% on volume of 387,020 shares), positioning the stock -81.47% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.29) and -87.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.76). Across its 52-week range of $0.82 to $29.34, GUTS sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.10).
GUTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is GUTS stock moving today?
Why GUTS Stock slipped -1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
GUTS — Fractyl Health Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, GUTS scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 8 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 3 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 5 of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 10 of 20, driven by an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a company that is not currently generating cash from operations; the SEC financials show negative free cash flow in each reported year. The weakest pillars (whale flow and insider conviction) indicate limited sponsorship signals in the source data. The stronger forensic pillar reflects a balance sheet that the rating model considers less stressed than the cash engine, but the Piotroski score of 2 of 9 signals weak fundamental quality. Any upside thesis would depend on developments not captured in these metrics, and the rating itself is framed as a risk-avoidance signal.
Business
Fractyl Health Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $0.0B on a rounded basis, while the market data section lists $13.2M. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue across FY 2023 through FY 2025 is effectively zero ($0.0M to $0.1M), per the SEC financials.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-96.8M | $-141.0M | N/A | $-90.9M | $81.5M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.1M | $-93.5M | $-68.7M | N/A | $-67.3M | $67.5M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-50.8M | $-77.1M | N/A | $-42.8M | N/A | N/A |
Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9. The Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the rating inputs. Reported cash rose from $67.5M in FY 2024 to $81.5M in FY 2025 while free cash flow remained negative in every period shown.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Analyst target cut (RED / RISK WATCH): A report indicates a fair value cut following mixed Revita analyst reactions.
- Price decline (RED / RISK WATCH): A Benzinga report covers the stock falling on a Friday, with the reason described in the headline.
- Price target reduction (RED / RISK WATCH): An Investing.com report states Canaccord cut its price target on capital needs.
- Positive trial readout (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Seeking Alpha report discusses positive top-line 6-month results from the REMAIN-1 study of Revita in post-GLP-1 weight maintenance.
- Trial endpoint with share decline (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A kalkine.ca report describes a 63% share price drop despite the REMAIN-1 primary endpoint being met.
- Litigation (YELLOW / MARKET WIRE): A Timothy Sykes report describes a class action tied to Revita data.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream dependencies and no sector correlations recorded. The source data therefore does not establish 2nd-order bottlenecks. The news wire does reference clinical data and litigation related to Revita, which a prospective investor may view as the primary channel through which regulatory or trial outcomes could ripple into the company's valuation, but the source data does not quantify such effects.
Open Questions
- What specific product or product pipeline generates revenue, given reported revenue of $0.0M to $0.1M across the periods shown?
- What is the debt position, given the financials list debt as N/A for every period?
- What are the capital needs referenced in the Canaccord price target cut, and how would they be funded?
- What is the outcome and scope of the class action referenced in the news wire?
- Why do EPS and several valuation multiples remain unavailable despite reported net losses?
GUTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Fractyl Health Inc. (GUTS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GUTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.98?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GUTS (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $0.99?
Welcome to the GUTS (Fractyl Health Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on GUTS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GUTS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fractyl Health Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
GUTS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GUTS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.99 (52-wk range $0.82 - $29.34), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.