What is GTES's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GTES.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GTES / options

ST (50) ENS (64) JBTM (26) AAON (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$24.01 +0.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.00

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.03B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GTES Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GTES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (NYSE: GTES) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $24.01 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $6.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GTES ranks #150 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GTES compare to ST and ENS in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GTES carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.4x, gross margin of 39.8%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, ST (Sensata Technologies Holding plc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.7%, cap $5.86B) and ENS (EnerSys) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 13.0%, cap $5.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENS leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTES?

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Per GTES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001718512), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. generated $3.44B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $251.4M in net income, and $404.9M in free cash flow against $7.15B in total assets and $2.20B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.00 (-0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 11.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GTES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GTES SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.8% FCF Margin ($404.9M FCF) & 39.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$25.85+3.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$26.71-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$25.92-7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$24.01-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GTES Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GTES faces multiple-compression risk if 26.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.02) or 200D SMA ($25.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.90) toward Bear Floor ($18.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GTES• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GTES Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GTES)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GTES.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GTES)

✓Walkthrough of GTES's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GTES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.56%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $26.25H $26.25L $23.83C $24.01VOL 4.98M

RES: $27.68SUP: $23.19SMA50: $26.02SMA200: $25.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GTES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GTES Butterfly Map → + Track GTES →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

20.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GTES today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GTES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GTES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GTES)

Industrials Rank #150 of 485 ⚔️ ST vs GTES Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GTES vs. ST, ENS, JBTM, AAON)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) ranks #150 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #126 by equity capitalization ($6.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENS leads on earnings valuation at 21.0x trailing P/E, while ENS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and 63.4% gross margin. ENS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with GTES at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GTES ACTIVE Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.	D+	57/100	26.4x	39.8%	7.8%	+0.76%	$6.03B	Benchmark Subject
ST Sensata Technologies Holding plc	D	50/100	—	29.3%	3.7%	+2.38%	$5.86B	/st-vs-gtes →
ENS EnerSys	C	64/100	21.0x	63.4%	13.0%	+0.02%	$5.77B	/ens-vs-gtes →
JBTM JBT Marel Corporation	E	26/100	—	35.1%	2.6%	+5.14%	$5.66B	/jbtm-vs-gtes →
AAON AAON Inc.	D-	36/100	57.7x	26.7%	9.5%	+0.88%	$5.56B	/aaon-vs-gtes →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001718512

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) reported GAAP revenue of $3.44B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.41B , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $251.4M, operating cash flow of $478.1M, and free cash flow of $404.9M (+36.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, GTES closed FY2025 with $7.15B in total assets against $2.20B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.46, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.44B	$251.4M	$478.1M	$404.9M	$7.15B	$2.20B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$3.41B	$194.9M	$379.6M	$296.5M	$6.79B	$2.31B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$3.57B	$232.9M	$481.0M	$320.3M	$4.28B	$1.00B

3. GTES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GTES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GTES compare to ST and ENS in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GTES?

Where is GTES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GTES last traded at $24.01 (+0.76% on volume of 4,082,225 shares), positioning the stock -7.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.02) and -6.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.81). Across its 52-week range of $20.88 to $30.34, GTES sits at the 33.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($22.02 to $26.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: GTES RQD Cockpit GTES 12M Forecast GTES Earnings & Move GTES Dividends & DRIP GTES Insiders & 13F GTES Whale Options GTES Profit Sankey GTES News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GTES — Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $24.01 (+0.76% 1D, market capitalization $6.03B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.8%, gross margin of 39.8%, operating margin of 13.5%, and free cash flow yield of 6.09%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.46, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.66x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry,. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue mix. The source data reports gross margin of 39.8%, operating margin of 13.5%, and net margin of 7.3%, indicating how the company converts sales into profit, but the specific mechanics of its revenue generation are not described in the source.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) reported $3.44B in annual revenue (up from $3.41B in FY2024, +1.0% YoY) and $251.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.57B revenue, $232.9M net income) through FY2025, GTES scaled operating cash flow to $478.1M and free cash flow to $404.9M, backed by $7.15B in total assets against $2.20B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 6.09% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.88 – $30.34 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 26.4x trailing P/E and 15.2x EV/EBITDA against 13.5% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals. Sector correlations, customer concentration, and supplier dependencies cannot be assessed from the source. A prospective investor should note that the broader Industrials and Industrial Machinery/Components exposure is recorded only at the classification level.

Key Question #1: Can GTES sustain or expand its 13.5% operating margin and 7.8% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.44B and free cash flow of $404.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.20B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GTES's 24.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

GTES Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GTES Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

3 Reasons to Avoid GTES and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

Yahoo Finance report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Gates Industrial Corporation earnings: what to look for from GTES

The Globe and Mail report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:GTES) 2026-10-30

Seeking Alpha report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

What Gates Industrial (GTES) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

TradingView report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Earnings Flash (GTES) Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. Posts Q3 Adjusted EPS $0.47 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.44

www.marketscreener.com report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Gates Industrial will discuss quarterly results live at 10 a.m. Oct. 30.

Stock Titan report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Gates Industrial Corporation’s (NYSE:GTES) Q3 2026 earnings results: revenue in line with expectations

Yahoo Finance report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Gates Industrial (GTES) Beat And Raised Guidance, Is It Now A Bargain?

Yahoo Finance report covering Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GTES Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GTES 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.22 (+31.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.46) and a 6.09% FCF yield support downside resilience, with Q3 adjusted EP

Don't sleep on GTES's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet strength (Piotroski F 8/9, Altman Z 2.46) and a 6.09% FCF yield support downside resilience, with Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.47 beating the $0.44 FactSet estimate.. Beta of 0.99 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GTES's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.49 (-14.0%)

Spot @ $23.83

At 26.4x trailing and 24.6x forward earnings against a 7.8% ROIC and 0.99 beta, the valuation appears to price in much of the expected

I respect the product at Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd., but the stock at $23.83 is a different story. At 26.4x trailing and 24.6x forward earnings against a 7.8% ROIC and 0.99 beta, the valuation appears to price in much of the expected improvement, while debt rose from $1.00B to $2.20B between FY 2023 and FY 2025.. FCF yield is 6.09% and RQD sits at 57/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?