GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.6% Move

$11.18 -3.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.09

GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.36B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GPGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GPGI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $11.18 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPGI ranks #1087 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GPGI compare to PFSI and SLM in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GPGI carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B) and SLM (SLM Corporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPGI?
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Per GPGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823144), GPGI Inc. (Class A) generated $59.8M in revenue (-85.8% YoY), -$136.0M in net income, and -$22.9M in free cash flow against $517.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.09 (-0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$28 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE GPGI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GPGI SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$12.68-2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$12.43-14% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$10.69+4.6% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$11.18-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GPGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GPGI currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.53) and Max Pain ($11.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GPGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.6% Swing Band

±$1.30 Expected Swing
$9.88 (-11.6%)Spot $11.18$12.48 (+11.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GPGI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 22/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -65%

Model Bullish Setup (22/100)Model Risk Weight (78/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$59.8M-$136.0M-$22.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$420.6M-$83.2M$122.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$390.6M$112.5M$104.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GPGI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GPGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GPGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $11.14H $11.60L $11.14C $11.18VOL 1.28M
RES: $12.75SUP: $9.98SMA50: $12.53SMA200: $15.78
$20.19$17.54$14.90$12.25$9.61RES $12.75SUP $9.98$11.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPGI)

Financials Rank #1087 of 1096 ⚔️ PFSI vs GPGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GPGI vs. PFSI, SLM, GBDC, PURR)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) ranks #1087 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #339 by equity capitalization ($3.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while PURR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PURR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with GPGI at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GPGI ACTIVE
GPGI Inc. (Class A)
E 22/100 — — -6.5% -3.62% $3.36B Benchmark Subject
PFSI
PennyMac Financial Services Inc.
D- 41/100 6.7x — 11.6% -2.31% $3.35B /pfsi-vs-gpgi →
SLM
SLM Corporation
D- 38/100 4.5x — 7.4% -2.47% $3.34B /slm-vs-gpgi →
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC Inc.
D- 40/100 8.8x — 9.6% -0.47% $3.32B /gbdc-vs-gpgi →
PURR
Hyperliquid Strategies Inc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 33.0% -10.41% $3.42B /purr-vs-gpgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001823144

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) reported GAAP revenue of $59.8M (-85.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.6M , and -84.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$136.0M, operating cash flow of -$22.9M, and free cash flow of -$22.9M (-118.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPGI closed FY2025 with $517.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $59.8M -$136.0M -$22.9M -$22.9M $517.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $420.6M -$83.2M $129.6M $122.1M $473.9M $184.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $390.6M $112.5M $104.3M $104.3M — —

3. GPGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GPGI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $11.18 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $3.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GPGI ranks #1087 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GPGI compare to PFSI and SLM in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GPGI carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $3.35B) and SLM (SLM Corporation) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while PURR leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPGI?

Per GPGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001823144), GPGI Inc. (Class A) generated $59.8M in revenue (-85.8% YoY), -$136.0M in net income, and -$22.9M in free cash flow against $517.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GPGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPGI last traded at $11.18 (-3.62% on volume of 2,523,442 shares), positioning the stock -10.77% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.53) and -29.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.78). Across its 52-week range of $10.43 to $26.78, GPGI sits at the 4.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.6% ($9.88 to $12.48).

GPGI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GPGI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is GPGI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.6% event move for GPGI, spanning a range between $9.88 and $12.48.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GPGI — GPGI Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GPGI scores 22 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Return on invested capital is -6.5% and free cash flow yield is -0.68%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital or positive cash to shareholders, which weakens any valuation case built on cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (5/20): The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the source provides no further detail on holder activity (see the Analyst View section).
  • Insider Conviction (3/20): The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored as weak. For a prospective investor, the absence of insider conviction is a negative signal rather than a neutral one.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20): Beta is 1.0 and the rating reflects sector sensitivity. The stock's moves are therefore tied to broad market swings without a clear macro tailwind identified in the source data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. A weak Piotroski score and modest Altman reading point to limited financial-quality strength.

Upside drivers: The only near-term upside lever visible in the source is a potential reversal in cash generation or institutional accumulation, neither of which the data shows as established.

Valuation tradeoff: With negative ROIC and negative FCF yield, traditional earnings-based valuation is not supported by the reported figures. Price action alone (shares near the low end of the 52-week range) does not indicate value.

Overall implication: The composite rating signals elevated forensic and fundamental risk. This is an educational reading of the data, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$59.8M$-13.7M$-136.0MN/A$-22.9M$114.6MN/A
FY 2024$420.6M$107.6M$-83.2MN/A$122.1M$77.5M$184.4M
FY 2023$390.6M$119.1M$112.5MN/A$104.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue fell from $420.6M in FY 2024 to $59.8M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $107.6M to $-13.7M. The market data reports a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of -23%, and a net margin of -60%, with ROIC at -6.5%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; the balance sheet posture is therefore moderate on leverage but weak on quality signals.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Multiple news items dated within the last 15 hours reference GPGI's market action and institutional positioning, with a 52-week low at 11.16 USD reported by Investing.com.
  • Stock Titan reports that third-quarter results will be published before GPGI's Nov. 5 call.
  • Benzinga lists a Q2 2026 earnings call transcript as available.
  • All news items are tagged with YELLOW signal lights and MARKET WIRE impact labels, with no further proprietary signal detail provided.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Risk watch: The scheduled Q3 results and the Nov. 5 call are the nearest identifiable catalysts in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, services, and customers generate GPGI's revenue, and why did FY 2025 revenue fall to $59.8M from $420.6M?
  • What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-136.0M, and is it operating, impairment, or non-recurring in nature?
  • What are the reported EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which the source data lists as unavailable?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the direction of their recent activity?
  • What do the scheduled Q3 results disclose about cash generation, debt levels, and the drivers of the FY 2025 decline?

GPGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GPGI Inc. (Class A) (GPGI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GPGI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GPGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.18?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GPGI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GPGI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.21 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GPGI (E • RQD 22/100) a Buy at $11.60?

Welcome to the GPGI (GPGI Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 22/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.16 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $11.60

Pump the brakes on GPGI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GPGI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless GPGI Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.38 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $11.60

GPGI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GPGI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.60 (52-wk range $10.43 - $26.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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