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Gogo Inc. (GOGO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.31 -2.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $319.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GOGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ: GOGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $2.31 (-2.12% 1D, market cap $319.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GOGO ranks #597 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GOGO compare to CCOI and SPIR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), GOGO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $345.2M) and SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $360.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GOGO?
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Per GOGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001537054), Gogo Inc. generated $910.5M in revenue (+104.7% YoY), $12.9M in net income, and $65.1M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $833.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30 (-0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.3% Base Target
$9 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE GOGO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GOGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GOGO SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.2% FCF Margin ($65.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.3) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$2.17-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$2.07+14.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$2.37-2.5% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$2.31-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GOGO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GOGO currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.39) and Max Pain ($2.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.46.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GOGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GOGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr
$11.6K
Yr 1
$13.5K
Yr 2
$15.7K
Yr 3
$18.3K
Yr 4
$21.3K
Yr 5
$24.7K
Yr 6
$28.8K
Yr 7
$33.5K
Yr 8
$38.9K
Yr 9
$45.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GOGO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GOGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GOGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.90%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.53H $2.53L $2.31C $2.31VOL 1.24M
RES: $2.59SUP: $1.72SMA50: $2.39SMA200: $3.64
$7.74$6.17$4.61$3.04$1.47RES $2.59SUP $1.72$2.312026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GOGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +104.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GOGO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GOGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GOGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GOGO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #597 of 1009 ⚔️ CCOI vs GOGO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GOGO vs. CCOI, SPIR, NSTR, SAIQ)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gogo Inc. (GOGO) ranks #597 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #635 by equity capitalization ($319.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPIR leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GOGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and — gross margin. NSTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with GOGO at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GOGO ACTIVE
Gogo Inc.
D 48/100 26.5x — 11.1% -2.12% $319.8M Benchmark Subject
CCOI
Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -10.24% $345.2M /ccoi-vs-gogo →
SPIR
Spire Global Inc. (Class A)
E 15/100 7.7x — -35.0% -3.72% $360.3M /spir-vs-gogo →
NSTR
NorthStar Earth & Space Enterprises Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — — +12.95% $213.0M /nstr-vs-gogo →
SAIQ
WISeSat.Space Holdings Corp.
D 49/100 — — — -11.03% $163.5M /saiq-vs-gogo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001537054 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gogo Inc. (GOGO) reported GAAP revenue of $910.5M (+104.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $444.7M , and +129.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.9M, operating cash flow of $124.5M, and free cash flow of $65.1M (+133.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GOGO closed FY2025 with $1.30B in total assets against $833.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $910.5M $12.9M $124.5M $65.1M $1.30B $833.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $444.7M $13.7M $41.4M $27.9M $1.23B $831.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $397.6M $145.7M $79.0M $79.0M — —

3. GOGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GOGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gogo Inc. (NASDAQ: GOGO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $2.31 (-2.12% 1D, market cap $319.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GOGO ranks #597 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GOGO compare to CCOI and SPIR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), GOGO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, CCOI (Cogent Communications Holdings Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $345.2M) and SPIR (Spire Global Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $360.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPIR leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GOGO leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GOGO?

Per GOGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001537054), Gogo Inc. generated $910.5M in revenue (+104.7% YoY), $12.9M in net income, and $65.1M in free cash flow against $1.30B in total assets and $833.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GOGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GOGO last traded at $2.31 (-2.12% on volume of 1,041,482 shares), positioning the stock -3.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.39) and -36.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.64). Across its 52-week range of $1.96 to $9.01, GOGO sits at the 5.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.02 to $2.60).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GOGO — Gogo Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.31 (-2.12% 1D, market capitalization $319.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 12.5%, and free cash flow yield of 18.99%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.24x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gogo Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Telecommunications Equipment industry, . The company carries a market capitalization of $0.3B. The company is associated with satellite connectivity products, including a satellite deal for connecting aircraft and upgrade cycles described as roughly every two years.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gogo Inc. (GOGO) reported $910.5M in annual revenue (up from $444.7M in FY2024, +104.7% YoY) and $12.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($397.6M revenue, $145.7M net income) through FY2025, GOGO scaled operating cash flow to $124.5M and free cash flow to $65.1M, backed by $1.30B in total assets against $833.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 18.99% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.96 – $9.01 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 26.5x trailing P/E and 6.4x EV/EBITDA against 12.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations are recorded, so supplier and customer dependencies are — the spectrum and satellite headlines suggest exposure to spectrum-value and satellite-service dynamics, but no supply-chain linkage is quantified in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GOGO sustain or expand its 12.5% operating margin and 11.1% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $910.5M and free cash flow of $65.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $833.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GOGO's 22.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GOGO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gogo Inc. (GOGO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GOGO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GOGO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.31?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GOGO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GOGO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.12 (+32.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FY 2025 free cash flow of $65.1M and a 18.99% FCF yield show strong cash generation relative to the market value.

Long GOGO at $2.36 targeting $3.12. FY 2025 free cash flow of $65.1M and a 18.99% FCF yield show strong cash generation relative to the market value.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.96 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — GOGO's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.03 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $2.36

An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 8.24 signal severe balance-sheet stress against a $833.6M debt load.

Fading this rally in GOGO at $2.36. An Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Debt/Equity of 8.24 signal severe balance-sheet stress against a $833.6M debt load.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.36 (52-wk range $1.96–$9.01), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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