Yahoo Finance report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GO Stock surged +2.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $13.23 (+2.32% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GO ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), GO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of -12.6%. By comparison, YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.57B) and IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NGVC leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?
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Per GO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001771515), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $4.69B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), -$224.9M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $3.09B in total assets and $477.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.7% realized swing band)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 86% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, GO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.05) or 200D SMA ($9.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.17) toward Bear Floor ($10.27).
Why GO Stock surged +2.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) surged +2.32% to $13.23, trading at 86% of its 52-week range ($5.66 – $14.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 86% of its 52-week range ($5.66 – $14.49) with RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $13.23 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 30.3% gross margin and $23.8M annual free cash flow.
Barchart.com report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall Street report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GO)
- ✓Walkthrough of GO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GO)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (GO vs. YSWY, IMKTA, WMK, NGVC)
Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($1.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NGVC leads on earnings valuation at 14.1x trailing P/E, while NGVC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. NGVC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with GO at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO
ACTIVE
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. | D+ | 57/100 | — | 30.3% | -12.6% | +2.32% | $1.28B | Benchmark Subject |
| YSWY Yesway Inc. (Class A) | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +2.26% | $1.57B | /yswy-vs-go → |
| IMKTA Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | 18.9x | 23.9% | 4.4% | +2.08% | $1.60B | /imkta-vs-go → |
| WMK Weis Markets Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 19.8x | 25.0% | 7.3% | +1.83% | $1.84B | /wmk-vs-go → |
| NGVC Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc. | C | 63/100 | 14.1x | 29.9% | 24.9% | +2.37% | $661.2M | /ngvc-vs-go → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001771515In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.69B (+7.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.37B , and +18.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$224.9M, operating cash flow of $222.1M, and free cash flow of $23.8M (+131.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, GO closed FY2025 with $3.09B in total assets against $477.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.77, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-03 | $4.69B | -$224.9M | $222.1M | $23.8M | $3.09B | $477.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-28 | $4.37B | $39.5M | $112.0M | -$74.6M | $3.17B | $462.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-30 | $3.97B | $79.4M | $303.4M | $303.4M | — | — |
3. GO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: GO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $13.23 (+2.32% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, GO ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GO compare to YSWY and IMKTA in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), GO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.3%, and ROIC of -12.6%. By comparison, YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.57B) and IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NGVC leads on earnings multiple (14.1x) while NGVC leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GO?
Per GO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001771515), Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. generated $4.69B in revenue (+7.3% YoY), -$224.9M in net income, and $23.8M in free cash flow against $3.09B in total assets and $477.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GO last traded at $13.23 (+2.32% on volume of 1,823,495 shares), positioning the stock +9.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.05) and +37.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.59). Across its 52-week range of $5.66 to $14.49, GO sits at the 85.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($12.21 to $14.25).
GO — Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
GO scores 57 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC of -12.6% and FCF yield of 1.86%), Whale 13F Flow at 16/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13/20 (beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z of 1.77, Piotroski F of 7/9, Debt/Equity of 0.49). Taken together, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, while institutional flow is the relative strength. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning and a balance sheet that the forensic metrics describe as moderately sound, while the downside case rests on negative ROIC, a low FCF yield, and thin insider support. The rating is a structured summary of the source data and is not a recommendation to buy or sell.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector and the Food Chains industry,. The profile states a market capitalization of $1.3B. Operationally, the financial data shows FY 2025 revenue of $4.69B.
Revenue grew from $3.97B in FY 2023 to $4.69B in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $125.8M to -$221.7M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 30.3%, operating margin is -4.7%, and net margin is -4.8%, with ROIC at -12.6%. The forensic metrics are an Altman Z-Score of 1.77, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional flow scores 16/20 in the RQD rating and the stock trades 2.47% higher on the day. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC -12.6%, FCF yield 1.86%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $5.66 – $14.49 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -12.6% and operating margin of -4.7% show the business is not currently earning returns on its capital. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source data therefore does not establish upstream supplier dependencies, downstream customer exposure, or sector correlation pathways for GO. A prospective investor should note that the sector classification (Consumer Staples, Food Chains) is the only structural context provided.
- Key Question #1: What is the composition of the store and revenue base behind the FY 2025 revenue of $4.69B, and what drove the swing to operating loss?
- Key Question #2: What is the FY 2025 cash and debt position in detail, given that FY 2023 cash and debt are reported as N/A?
- Key Question #3: What does the Q1 earnings report referenced in the news feed contain, and does it bear on the reported weak store sales?
GO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barchart.com report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall Street report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockStory report covering Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.23?
Institutional flow scores 16/20 in the RQD rating and the stock trades 2.47% higher on the day.
Here is why I am bullish on GO here at $12.93: Institutional flow scores 16/20 in the RQD rating and the stock trades 2.47% higher on the day.. Compare GO's -4.7% operating margin and -12.6% ROIC against the rest of Food Chains. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $12.28 are getting bought.
Both sides have a point here — GO's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
ROIC of -12.6% and operating margin of -4.7% show the business is not currently earning returns on its capital.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short GO above $12.93. ROIC of -12.6% and operating margin of -4.7% show the business is not currently earning returns on its capital.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (1.86%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $14.49.