ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener 🦋 Butterfly 8 Analysts 🏛️ Policy 🎬 Video ★ Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets 📊 RQD Track Record 📅 Next Catalysts 🛡️ Overlap & Crash X-Ray 📰 Live Wire 🐋 13F Whales 🏛️ Congress & CEO Buys 🏆 $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal 📐 Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / ETF / Index / GLD / earnings
RSP (74) XLK (57) IWM (66) SCHD (77) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±2.6% Move

$361.65 -3.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $358.63

SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD) earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $82.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GLD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, SPDR Gold Shares Trust (NYSE: GLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $361.65 (-3.59% 1D, market cap $82.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, GLD ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GLD compare to RSP and XLK in the ETF / Index sector?
▼

Within the ETF / Index sector (Physical Gold Bullion), GLD carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, RSP (Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $74.00B) and XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $74.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GLD leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLD?
▼

For SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Physical Gold Bullion basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $358.61 (-0.84%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Fund (4)Whales (15)Struct (8)Macro (9)Flow (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$535 Bull$337 Base$263 Bear
📬 FREE GLD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GLD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GLD SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±2.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Composite fund yield trails top single-stock cash compounders

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$375.99+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$378.95-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$373.51-3.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$361.65-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GLD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GLD currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified Physical Gold Bullion basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GLD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GLD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±2.6% Swing Band

±$9.40 Expected Swing
$352.25 (-2.6%)Spot $361.65$371.05 (+2.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Index funds and ETFs do not file single-company quarterly EPS releases. The volatility cone reflects 20-day realized OHLCV swing bands.

Model Bullish Setup (43/100)Model Risk Weight (57/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GLD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
GLD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.79%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $374.4H $374.4L $361.7C $361.7VOL 16.20M
RES: $423.9SUP: $354.4SMA50: $386.5SMA200: $411.9
$449.2$423.5$397.9$372.3$346.7RES $423.9SUP $354.4$361.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GLD Butterfly Map → + Track GLD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · Sovereign Reserve Breakout Extension

Trigger: $362.18 • Invalidation: $342.26

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 One Event, Five Markets: 10Y Real Yields vs. SPY, TLT, GLD, USO & IBIT (soren-halewick) 💡 Friday Evidence Audit: What Confirmed, What Stalled & Where Options Overpriced the Move (felix-orven)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GLD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GLD)

ETF / Index Rank #32 of 40 ⚔️ RSP vs GLD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (GLD vs. RSP, XLK, IWM, SCHD)

Industry: Physical Gold Bullion (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #5 by equity capitalization ($82.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GLD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. SCHD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with GLD at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GLD ACTIVE
SPDR Gold Shares Trust
D- 43/100 — — — -3.59% $82.00B Benchmark Subject
RSP
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
B 74/100 — — — -0.79% $74.00B /rsp-vs-gld →
XLK
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund
D+ 57/100 — — — -5.14% $74.00B /xlk-vs-gld →
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 Small-Cap ETF
C+ 66/100 — — — -1.68% $72.00B /iwm-vs-gld →
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
B+ 77/100 — — — +0.48% $65.00B /schd-vs-gld →

2. GLD ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates GLD on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $361.65, GLD trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $386.47 and 200-day SMA of $411.88 on daily liquidity of 16,200,319 shares.

50D SMA Level
$386.47
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$411.88
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
5.0%
$354.67 – $509.70
RSI-14 Momentum
37.9
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
16,200,319
AUM Cap $82.00B

3. GLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SPDR Gold Shares Trust (NYSE: GLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $361.65 (-3.59% 1D, market cap $82.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, GLD ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GLD compare to RSP and XLK in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Physical Gold Bullion), GLD carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, RSP (Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $74.00B) and XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $74.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GLD leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLD?

For SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Physical Gold Bullion basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GLD last traded at $361.65 (-3.59% on volume of 16,200,319 shares), positioning the stock -6.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($386.47) and -12.20% below its 200-day simple moving average ($411.88). Across its 52-week range of $354.67 to $509.70, GLD sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.6% ($352.25 to $371.05).

GLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GLD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution.

How much is GLD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±2.6% event move for GLD, spanning a range between $352.25 and $371.05.

Direct Sub-Reports: GLD RQD Cockpit GLD 12M Forecast GLD Earnings & Move GLD Dividends & DRIP GLD Insiders & 13F GLD Whale Options GLD Profit Sankey GLD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GLD — SPDR Gold Shares Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GLD scores 39 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow (ETF Composite Methodology)." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20. The rating reports ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. Because GLD is a physical gold bullion vehicle rather than an operating business, these cash-generation metrics carry limited meaning, and the low pillar score mainly reflects the absence of earnings-based cash flow.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. The rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as the strongest pillar, indicating relatively supportive large-holder activity per the source.
  • Insider Conviction: 4 / 20. The rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow as weak, a low score for this pillar.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The rating reports a beta of 1.0 and notes sector sensitivity, placing GLD at market-level volatility with limited regime-specific support.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. The rating reports an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the practical reading is that the rating's overall weakness comes from cash-flow and insider-conviction pillars, while institutional flow is comparatively stronger. Whether gold price exposure suits a given portfolio is a question the source data does not resolve.

Open Questions

  • What are the fund's sponsor fees, custody arrangements, and tracking error relative to spot gold?
  • How do the reported 13F institutional holdings and options positioning break down by holder and by timeframe?
  • What is the source of the Congressional PTR cluster flow cited in the insider pillar, and which transactions it comprises?
  • How are the Altman Z, Piotroski F, and Debt/Equity values derived for a bullion trust whose balance sheet is not described in the source data?
  • What is the price performance attribution between gold spot movements and fund-level flows over the 52-week range?

GLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GLD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $361.65?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GLD 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GLD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $313.09 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GLD (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $355.78?

Welcome to the GLD (SPDR Gold Shares Trust) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow (ETF Composite Methodology)) in Physical Gold Bullion. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $270.39 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $355.78

Pump the brakes on GLD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GLD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless SPDR Gold Shares Trust expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $416.26 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $355.78

GLD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GLD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Physical Gold Bullion and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $355.78 (52-wk range $354.67 - $509.70), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%