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Graham Holdings Company (GHC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1,202.87 +2.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,206.95

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.87B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,202.87 (+2.94% 1D, market cap $4.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, GHC ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GHC compare to LAUR and TAL in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), GHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.51B) and TAL (TAL Education Group) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $5.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHC?
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Per GHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000104889), Graham Holdings Company generated $4.91B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $292.3M in net income, and $275.3M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $705.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,206.96 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$1451 Bull$1230 Base$959 Bear
📬 FREE GHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GHC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.05 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$1,173.98+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$1,225.68-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$1,186.71+1.4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$1,202.87+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GHC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, GHC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,161.18) or 200D SMA ($1,136.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,229.93) toward Bear Floor ($959.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How GHC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$275.3M (5.6% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.91BGross Profit $2.55B (52%)Cost of Sales $2.36BOp Profit $234.9M (4.8%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.32BNet Profit$292.3M (6%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $4.41B
FY24
Rev $4.79B
FY25
Rev $4.91B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.91B52%4.8%$292.3M$275.3M3.5%
FY 2024$4.79B52%4.5%$724.6M$324.1M3.6%
FY 2023$4.41B52%1.6%$205.3M$259.9M3.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.41%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1,162.0H $1,202.9L $1,162.0C $1,202.9VOL 32.1K
RES: $1,245.2SUP: $1,147.0SMA50: $1,161.2SMA200: $1,136.8
$1,277.8$1,213.7$1,149.5$1,085.3$1,021.1RES $1,245.2SUP $1,147.0$1,202.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GHC Butterfly Map → + Track GHC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHC)

Real Estate Rank #13 of 51 ⚔️ LAUR vs GHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (GHC vs. LAUR, TAL, CVSA, LOPE)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Graham Holdings Company (GHC) ranks #13 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #5 by equity capitalization ($4.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while LOPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. CVSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with GHC at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GHC ACTIVE
Graham Holdings Company
C 63/100 16.8x — 3.5% +2.94% $4.87B Benchmark Subject
LAUR
Laureate Education Inc.
B- 70/100 17.6x 28.3% 30.6% +4.79% $4.51B /laur-vs-ghc →
TAL
TAL Education Group
C 63/100 10.6x 55.4% 12.4% +2.33% $5.47B /tal-vs-ghc →
CVSA
Covista Inc.
B 74/100 18.4x 56.9% 14.8% -0.24% $4.13B /cvsa-vs-ghc →
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education Inc.
C 62/100 — — 33.1% +1.20% $3.85B /lope-vs-ghc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000104889

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Graham Holdings Company (GHC) reported GAAP revenue of $4.91B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.79B , and +11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $292.3M, operating cash flow of $347.2M, and free cash flow of $275.3M (-15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHC closed FY2025 with $8.40B in total assets against $705.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.05, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.91B $292.3M $347.2M $275.3M $8.40B $705.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.79B $724.6M $407.0M $324.1M $7.68B $721.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.41B $205.3M $259.9M $259.9M — —

3. GHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Graham Holdings Company (NYSE: GHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $1,202.87 (+2.94% 1D, market cap $4.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, GHC ranks #13 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHC compare to LAUR and TAL in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), GHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, LAUR (Laureate Education Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 30.6%, cap $4.51B) and TAL (TAL Education Group) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $5.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHC?

Per GHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000104889), Graham Holdings Company generated $4.91B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $292.3M in net income, and $275.3M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $705.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHC last traded at $1,202.87 (+2.94% on volume of 31,366 shares), positioning the stock +3.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1,161.18) and +5.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1,136.75). Across its 52-week range of $990.09 to $1,262.35, GHC sits at the 78.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($1,148.74 to $1,257.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: GHC RQD Cockpit GHC 12M Forecast GHC Earnings & Move GHC Dividends & DRIP GHC Insiders & 13F GHC Whale Options GHC Profit Sankey GHC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GHC — Graham Holdings Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Graham Holdings Company (GHC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $1,202.87 (+2.94% 1D, market capitalization $4.87B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 4.8%, and free cash flow yield of 5.59%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.05, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

GHC is classified in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry, profile and market data. It trades on the NYSE. — for additional business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Graham Holdings Company (GHC) reported $4.91B in annual revenue (up from $4.79B in FY2024, +2.5% YoY) and $292.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.41B revenue, $205.3M net income) through FY2025, GHC scaled operating cash flow to $347.2M and free cash flow to $275.3M, backed by $8.40B in total assets against $705.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 5.59% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $990.09 – $1,262.35 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.8x trailing P/E and 18.1x EV/EBITDA against 4.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Other Consumer Services (Real Estate), GHC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can GHC sustain or expand its 4.8% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.91B and free cash flow of $275.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $705.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GHC's 15.6x forward P/E multiple to Real Estate capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Graham Holdings Company (GHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1,202.87?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1,437.27 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider Conviction (15/20) and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 3.05, Debt/Equity 0.15) point to financial soundness and suppo

The street is overcomplicating Graham Holdings Company (GHC). Insider Conviction (15/20) and a strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 3.05, Debt/Equity 0.15) point to financial soundness and supportive insider activity.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1261.99.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 16.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Other Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1,004.92 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $1,168.51

Whale 13F Flow scores only 10/20 with ROIC of 3.5%, signaling weak institutional accumulation and thin returns on invested capital.

Whale 13F Flow scores only 10/20 with ROIC of 3.5%, signaling weak institutional accumulation and thin returns on invested capital.. Look at the math on GHC: paying 16.8x trailing P/E for 3.5% ROIC and 4.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Other Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1028.29 before getting long.

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