Why GH Stock dropped -4.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$170.73 -4.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $169.02

Guardant Health Inc. (GH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $23.99B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Guardant Health Inc. (NASDAQ: GH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $170.73 (-4.51% 1D, market cap $23.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, GH ranks #224 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GH compare to DGX and LH in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), GH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.5%, and ROIC of -17.4%. By comparison, DGX (Quest Diagnostics Incorporated) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 28.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $27.71B) and LH (Labcorp Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.0x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $29.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DGX leads on earnings multiple (28.1x) while ILMN leads on capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GH?
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Per GH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576280), Guardant Health Inc. generated $982.0M in revenue (+32.9% YoY), -$416.3M in net income, and -$233.1M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $950.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $169.02 (-1.00%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (18)SEC (11)Macro (9)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$201 Bull$167 Base$130 Bear
📬 FREE GH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GH SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.44 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$162.99+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$166.66+9.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$182.59-6.5% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$170.73-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GH currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($170.72) and Max Pain ($179.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $200.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GH Stock dropped -4.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Guardant Health Inc. (GH) dropped -4.51% to $170.73, trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($74.55 – $191.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($74.55 – $191.05) with RSI-14 at 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10% around $170.73 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 64.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GH Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +87.27%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $185.3H $185.3L $170.7C $170.7VOL 1.50M
RES: $204.5SUP: $155.0SMA50: $170.7SMA200: $131.6
$198.6$167.5$136.3$105.2$74.14RES $204.5SUP $155.0$170.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GH)

Health Care Rank #224 of 1016 ⚔️ DGX vs GH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (GH vs. DGX, LH, CNC, ILMN)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Guardant Health Inc. (GH) ranks #224 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #66 by equity capitalization ($23.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DGX leads on earnings valuation at 28.1x trailing P/E, while ILMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.2% ROIC and 66.1% gross margin. DGX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with GH at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GH ACTIVE
Guardant Health Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 64.5% -17.4% -4.51% $23.99B Benchmark Subject
DGX
Quest Diagnostics Incorporated
B+ 78/100 28.1x 33.2% 10.3% -0.40% $27.71B /dgx-vs-gh →
LH
Labcorp Holdings Inc.
B 74/100 34.0x 28.8% 8.3% -1.60% $29.31B /lh-vs-gh →
CNC
Centene Corporation
C 63/100 — 8.1% -31.0% -2.80% $33.89B /cnc-vs-gh →
ILMN
Illumina Inc.
B- 70/100 51.5x 66.1% 18.2% -3.99% $35.63B /ilmn-vs-gh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001576280

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Guardant Health Inc. (GH) reported GAAP revenue of $982.0M (+32.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $739.0M , and +74.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$416.3M, operating cash flow of -$184.8M, and free cash flow of -$233.1M (+15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, GH closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $950.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.44, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $982.0M -$416.3M -$184.8M -$233.1M $2.01B $950.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $739.0M -$436.4M -$239.9M -$274.9M $1.49B $731.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $563.9M -$479.4M -$325.0M -$350.4M $13.68B $3.20B

3. GH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Guardant Health Inc. (NASDAQ: GH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $170.73 (-4.51% 1D, market cap $23.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, GH ranks #224 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GH compare to DGX and LH in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), GH carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.5%, and ROIC of -17.4%. By comparison, DGX (Quest Diagnostics Incorporated) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 28.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $27.71B) and LH (Labcorp Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.0x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $29.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DGX leads on earnings multiple (28.1x) while ILMN leads on capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GH?

Per GH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001576280), Guardant Health Inc. generated $982.0M in revenue (+32.9% YoY), -$416.3M in net income, and -$233.1M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $950.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GH last traded at $170.73 (-4.51% on volume of 2,390,124 shares), positioning the stock +0.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($170.72) and +29.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($131.55). Across its 52-week range of $74.55 to $191.05, GH sits at the 82.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($153.66 to $187.80).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GH — Guardant Health Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:56Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

GH scores 53 out of 100 with a letter grade of D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -17.4%; FCF yield -0.94%), Whale 13F Flow at 18/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 6/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 0.87; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20 (Altman Z 5.44; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.85). The score is therefore carried mainly by institutional positioning, while the cash-generation and insider pillars are weak. For a prospective investor, the upside driver cited in the data is the institutional flow pillar; the principal valuation tradeoff is that the cash-engine pillar is weak against a forward P/E of 19 and a price of 185.31 near the top of its 52-week range. The forensic pillar indicates a balance sheet the source data characterizes as moderately leveraged with a passing Piotroski profile, but this does not offset negative operating economics. This brief is analytical and educational, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Guardant Health Inc. (GH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, Medical Specialities industry. The company has a market capitalization of $24.9B. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details are —

Revenue rose from $563.9M (FY 2023) to $982.0M (FY 2025) while operating losses persisted in each period. Market data reports a gross margin of 64.5%, an operating margin of -44.5%, and a net margin of -42.4%. ROIC is -17.4% and FCF yield is -0.94%. Forensic pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 5.44 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 18/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -17.4%, FCF yield -0.94%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $74.55 – $191.05 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -17.4% and FCF yield of -0.94% leave the fundamental cash engine at 9/20 despite $982.0M revenue. Investors must weigh current valuation against -44.5% operating margins and a 0.87 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Medical Specialities (Health Care), GH carries a macro regime beta of 0.87 and gross margin of 64.5%.

  • Key Question #1: What specific drivers account for the FY 2023 debt of $3.20B falling to $950.8M by FY 2025, and what is the company's debt maturity profile?
  • Key Question #2: What is the path to positive operating income given reported operating margin of -44.5%?
  • Key Question #3: What is the EPS for FY 2025, since the financials list EPS as N/A across all periods?

GH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Guardant Health Inc. (GH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $170.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $225.29 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 18/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar.

Long GH at $178.80 targeting $225.29. Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 18/20 in the RQD rating, the strongest pillar.. Institutional whale score is 18/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $74.55 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 18/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $178.80 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $150.19 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $178.80

ROIC of -17.4% and FCF yield of -0.94% leave the fundamental cash engine at 9/20 despite $982.0M revenue.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short GH above $178.80. ROIC of -17.4% and FCF yield of -0.94% leave the fundamental cash engine at 9/20 despite $982.0M revenue.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (-0.94%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $191.05.

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