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Gap Inc. (GAP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$22.22 -0.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.16

Gap Inc. (GAP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.84B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Gap Inc. (NYSE: GAP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $22.22 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $7.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GAP ranks #199 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GAP compare to URBN and VSXY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), GAP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 32.9%. By comparison, URBN (Urban Outfitters Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $7.77B) and VSXY (Victorias Secret & Co.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 49.1x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $7.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while ANF leads on capital efficiency (40.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAP?
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Per GAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000039911), Gap Inc. generated $15.37B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $816.0M in net income, and $823.0M in free cash flow against $12.63B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.16 (-0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 5.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$31 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE GAP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GAP SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.4% FCF Margin ($823.0M FCF) & 40.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$22.67+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$22.69-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$22.00+1% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$22.22+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GAP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, GAP faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.28) or 200D SMA ($23.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.12) toward Bear Floor ($18.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GAP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

GAP Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (GAP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on GAP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GAP Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
GAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.13%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $22.89H $22.89L $22.22C $22.22VOL 5.16M
RES: $28.86SUP: $20.98SMA50: $22.28SMA200: $23.06
$26.34$24.11$21.88$19.65$17.42RES $28.86SUP $20.98$22.222026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GAP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #199 of 1011 ⚔️ URBN vs GAP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GAP vs. URBN, VSXY, ANF, BOOT)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gap Inc. (GAP) ranks #199 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #198 by equity capitalization ($7.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GAP leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while ANF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ANF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with GAP at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GAP ACTIVE
Gap Inc.
C+ 67/100 9.9x 40.8% 32.9% -0.45% $7.84B Benchmark Subject
URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc.
B+ 79/100 17.0x 36.0% 14.2% -1.96% $7.77B /urbn-vs-gap →
VSXY
Victorias Secret & Co.
B- 71/100 49.1x 36.4% 16.4% +2.00% $7.71B /vsxy-vs-gap →
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Company
A- 84/100 13.9x — 40.7% -0.16% $6.98B /anf-vs-gap →
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 17.3x 38.1% 15.2% +3.84% $3.95B /boot-vs-gap →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000039911

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Gap Inc. (GAP) reported GAAP revenue of $15.37B (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.09B , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $816.0M, operating cash flow of $1.29B, and free cash flow of $823.0M (-20.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAP closed FY2025 with $12.63B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.94, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $15.37B $816.0M $1.29B $823.0M $12.63B $1.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $15.09B $844.0M $1.49B $1.04B $11.88B $1.49B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $14.89B $502.0M $1.53B $862.0M $17.87B $4.18B

3. GAP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gap Inc. (NYSE: GAP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $22.22 (-0.45% 1D, market cap $7.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GAP ranks #199 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GAP compare to URBN and VSXY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), GAP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 32.9%. By comparison, URBN (Urban Outfitters Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $7.77B) and VSXY (Victorias Secret & Co.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 49.1x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $7.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while ANF leads on capital efficiency (40.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAP?

Per GAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000039911), Gap Inc. generated $15.37B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $816.0M in net income, and $823.0M in free cash flow against $12.63B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GAP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GAP last traded at $22.22 (-0.45% on volume of 6,258,064 shares), positioning the stock -0.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.28) and -3.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.06). Across its 52-week range of $18.11 to $29.36, GAP sits at the 36.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($20.78 to $23.66).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GAP — Gap Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gap Inc. (GAP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $22.22 (-0.45% 1D, market capitalization $7.84B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 32.9%, gross margin of 40.8%, operating margin of 7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 10.24%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.94, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gap Inc. (The) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores industry, and profile.. Revenue generation is reflected in reported revenue of $15.37B for FY 2025 (), with gross margin of 40.8% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Gap Inc. (GAP) reported $15.37B in annual revenue (up from $15.09B in FY2024, +1.9% YoY) and $816.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.89B revenue, $502.0M net income) through FY2025, GAP scaled operating cash flow to $1.29B and free cash flow to $823.0M, backed by $12.63B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.11 – $29.36 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 9.9x trailing P/E and 4.6x EV/EBITDA against 7.3% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (Consumer Discretionary), GAP carries a macro regime beta of 1.08 and gross margin of 40.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can GAP sustain or expand its 7.3% operating margin and 32.9% ROIC against Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.37B and free cash flow of $823.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.49B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GAP's 9.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

GAP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gap Inc. (GAP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GAP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GAP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GAP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GAP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.24 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 9.9 trailing P/E paired with 32.9% ROIC and a 10.24% FCF yield suggests the market is pricing in limited growth relative to the cash

Don't sleep on GAP's setup in Consumer Discretionary. A 9.9 trailing P/E paired with 32.9% ROIC and a 10.24% FCF yield suggests the market is pricing in limited growth relative to the cash the business generates.. Beta of 1.08 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (67/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 67/100 quality, though with 1.08 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $22.32 and keeping dry powder in case we test $20.76.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.63 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $22.32

Operating margin of 7.3% and an RQD institutional-flow pillar of only 10/20, alongside a RED risk-watch downgrade on Old Navy, point to

Fading this rally in GAP at $22.32. Operating margin of 7.3% and an RQD institutional-flow pillar of only 10/20, alongside a RED risk-watch downgrade on Old Navy, point to weakening conviction in the growth story.. With a beta of 1.08 and the stock sitting at $22.32 (52-wk range $18.11–$29.36), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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