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Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$86.75 +1.90% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.88

Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $21.34B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FWONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Formula One Group (Series A) (NASDAQ: FWONA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $86.75 (+1.90% 1D, market cap $21.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, FWONA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FWONA compare to FWONK and FOX in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), FWONA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, FWONK (Formula One Group (Series C)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $23.18B) and FOX (Fox Corporation (Class B)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $23.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOX leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FWONA?
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Per FWONA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560385), Formula One Group (Series A) generated $4.48B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $555.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.40B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.88 (+0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$105 Bull$89 Base$69 Bear
📬 FREE FWONA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FWONA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FWONA SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 52% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$83.06+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$83.65+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$83.88+3.4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$86.75+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FWONA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, FWONA faces multiple-compression risk if 41.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.48) or 200D SMA ($84.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($88.70) toward Bear Floor ($69.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FWONA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FWONA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FWONA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FWONA.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FWONA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FWONA
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FWONA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.83%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $85.62H $86.75L $85.13C $86.75VOL 329.8K
RES: $106.7SUP: $80.25SMA50: $86.48SMA200: $84.41
$100.2$94.26$88.30$82.33$76.37RES $106.7SUP $80.25$86.752026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FWONA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
31.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FWONA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FWONA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FWONA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FWONA)

Communication Services Rank #22 of 132 ⚔️ FWONK vs FWONA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (FWONA vs. FWONK, FOX, FOXA, TME)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #21 by equity capitalization ($21.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOX leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while FOX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FOX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with FWONA at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FWONA ACTIVE
Formula One Group (Series A)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% +1.90% $21.34B Benchmark Subject
FWONK
Formula One Group (Series C)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% +2.14% $23.18B /fwonk-vs-fwona →
FOX
Fox Corporation (Class B)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -0.43% $23.70B /fox-vs-fwona →
FOXA
Fox Corporation (Class A)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -0.76% $26.67B /foxa-vs-fwona →
TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group American
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% +5.95% $13.24B /tme-vs-fwona →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001560385

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) reported GAAP revenue of $4.48B (+22.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.65B , and +25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $555.0M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, FWONA closed FY2025 with $15.40B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.16, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.48B $555.0M — — $15.40B $5.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.65B -$2.06B — — $13.00B $2.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.57B $761.0M $2.46B $2.30B $11.81B $2.76B

3. FWONA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FWONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Formula One Group (Series A) (NASDAQ: FWONA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $86.75 (+1.90% 1D, market cap $21.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, FWONA ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FWONA compare to FWONK and FOX in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), FWONA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, FWONK (Formula One Group (Series C)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $23.18B) and FOX (Fox Corporation (Class B)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $23.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOX leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FWONA?

Per FWONA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560385), Formula One Group (Series A) generated $4.48B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $555.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.40B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FWONA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FWONA last traded at $86.75 (+1.90% on volume of 145,801 shares), positioning the stock +0.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($86.48) and +2.77% above its 200-day simple moving average ($84.41). Across its 52-week range of $73.70 to $98.79, FWONA sits at the 52.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($82.33 to $91.17).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FWONA — Formula One Group (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $86.75 (+1.90% 1D, market capitalization $21.34B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 12.9%, and free cash flow yield of 1.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.93x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.16, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.65x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Broadcasting industry. Per the financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $4.48B. — for the specific products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) reported $4.48B in annual revenue (up from $3.65B in FY2024, +22.7% YoY) and $555.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.57B revenue, $761.0M net income) through FY2025, FWONA scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $15.40B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.86% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $73.70 – $98.79 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 41.8x trailing P/E and 36.4x EV/EBITDA against 12.9% operating margins and a 0.93x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

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  • Key Question #1: Can FWONA sustain or expand its 12.9% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.48B and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.05B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FWONA's 35.1x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.93x)?

FWONA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FWONA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FWONA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $86.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FWONA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FWONA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $109.82 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.16, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.65, and beta of 0.93 suggests lower volatili

The street is overcomplicating Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA). Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 3.16, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.65, and beta of 0.93 suggests lower volatility than the broader market.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $91.94.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 41.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Broadcasting. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $73.21 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $85.13

Valuation is stretched at P/E (TTM) 41.8 and EV/EBITDA 36.4 while ROIC is only 3.9% and FCF yield is 1.86%, with weak institutional and

Careful chasing FWONA at $85.13. Valuation is stretched at P/E (TTM) 41.8 and EV/EBITDA 36.4 while ROIC is only 3.9% and FCF yield is 1.86%, with weak institutional and insider pillar scores.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 12.9%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $73.21 on multiple compression.

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