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Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$89.30 +1.92% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.82

Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) earns a Roarable Rating of A (Strong Buy) with 86/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A • STRONG BUY Cap $6.04B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FTDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Frontdoor Inc. (NASDAQ: FTDR) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 86/100 at a spot price of $89.30 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $6.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FTDR ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FTDR compare to ADT and EQPT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), FTDR carries a Roarable A (86/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of 55.3%, and ROIC of 51.1%. By comparison, ADT (ADT Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 12.1x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $7.20B) and EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 115.2x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADT leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTDR?
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Per FTDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001727263), Frontdoor Inc. generated $2.09B in revenue (+13.6% YoY), $255.0M in net income, and $390.0M in free cash flow against $2.14B in total assets and $501.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $89.83 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 18.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 86/100 (A) historically ranked in the Top 5% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 73.2% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A
025507510086
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A+ · Rk B
Cash (20)Whales (17)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+12.6% Base Target
$119 Bull$101 Base$73 Bear
📬 FREE FTDR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (86/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FTDR SCORES 86/100 (A) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.6% FCF Margin ($390.0M FCF) & 55.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.4) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$76.40+5.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
81
Grade A-$80.85+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
83
Grade A$84.20+6.1% Next Q
Current
86
Grade A$89.30+9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → A (86)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FTDR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 86/100 (A) score, FTDR faces multiple-compression risk if 23.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.20) or 200D SMA ($69.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($100.55) toward Bear Floor ($73.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTDR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FTDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $24,333

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $438/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$13.1K
Yr 3
$14.3K
Yr 4
$15.6K
Yr 5
$17.0K
Yr 6
$18.6K
Yr 7
$20.4K
Yr 8
$22.3K
Yr 9
$24.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in FTDR & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on FTDR and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FTDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.90%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $87.35H $89.30L $87.35C $89.30VOL 524.0K
RES: $81.07SUP: $70.44SMA50: $80.20SMA200: $69.81
$95.80$85.98$76.15$66.33$56.50RES $81.07SUP $70.44$89.302026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTDR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #5 of 1011 ⚔️ ADT vs FTDR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FTDR vs. ADT, EQPT, KFY, ABM)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) ranks #5 by composite RQD confidence (86/100, grade A) and #238 by equity capitalization ($6.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADT leads on earnings valuation at 12.1x trailing P/E, while FTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.1% ROIC and 55.3% gross margin. FTDR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 86/100 (A).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FTDR ACTIVE
Frontdoor Inc.
A 86/100 23.6x 55.3% 51.1% +1.92% $6.04B Benchmark Subject
ADT
ADT Inc.
B- 70/100 12.1x — 9.3% -0.30% $7.20B /adt-vs-ftdr →
EQPT
EquipmentShare.com Inc
D- 37/100 115.2x 60.7% 6.7% -6.64% $4.35B /eqpt-vs-ftdr →
KFY
Korn Ferry
B+ 78/100 14.8x — 20.2% +1.86% $4.18B /kfy-vs-ftdr →
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
C 64/100 19.5x 12.3% 7.6% +0.97% $3.13B /abm-vs-ftdr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001727263

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.09B (+13.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.84B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $255.0M, operating cash flow of $416.0M, and free cash flow of $390.0M (+68.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTDR closed FY2025 with $2.14B in total assets against $501.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.61, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.09B $255.0M $416.0M $390.0M $2.14B $501.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.84B $235.0M $270.0M $231.0M $2.11B $493.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.78B $171.0M $202.0M $121.9M $3.31B $774.5M

3. FTDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FTDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Frontdoor Inc. (NASDAQ: FTDR) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 86/100 at a spot price of $89.30 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $6.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FTDR ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FTDR compare to ADT and EQPT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), FTDR carries a Roarable A (86/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of 55.3%, and ROIC of 51.1%. By comparison, ADT (ADT Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 12.1x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $7.20B) and EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 115.2x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $4.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADT leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTDR?

Per FTDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001727263), Frontdoor Inc. generated $2.09B in revenue (+13.6% YoY), $255.0M in net income, and $390.0M in free cash flow against $2.14B in total assets and $501.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FTDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FTDR last traded at $89.30 (+1.92% on volume of 796,296 shares), positioning the stock +11.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($80.20) and +27.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($69.81). Across its 52-week range of $48.47 to $93.43, FTDR sits at the 90.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($83.58 to $95.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 86/100 (A) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FTDR — Frontdoor Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 86/100, corresponding to a A letter grade (Roarable Strong Buy) at a spot price of $89.30 (+1.92% 1D, market capitalization $6.04B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 51.1%, gross margin of 55.3%, operating margin of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 6.48%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (19/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.61, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.78x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in Diversified Commercial Services..0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) reported $2.09B in annual revenue (up from $1.84B in FY2024, +13.6% YoY) and $255.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.78B revenue, $171.0M net income) through FY2025, FTDR scaled operating cash flow to $416.0M and free cash flow to $390.0M, backed by $2.14B in total assets against $501.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (A • RQD 86/100): Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $48.47 – $93.43 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 23.6x trailing P/E and 17.7x EV/EBITDA against 14.9% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Diversified Commercial Services (Consumer Discretionary), FTDR carries a macro regime beta of 0.98 and gross margin of 55.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can FTDR sustain or expand its 14.9% operating margin and 51.1% ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.09B and free cash flow of $390.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $501.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FTDR's 19.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

FTDR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FTDR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FTDR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $89.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FTDR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FTDR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $102.52 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 51.1% ROIC and 6.48% FCF yield earn a perfect 20-of-20 fundamental cash engine score.

The street is overcomplicating Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR). Per the RQD rating, a 51.1% ROIC and 6.48% FCF yield earn a perfect 20-of-20 fundamental cash engine score.. With an RQD score of 86/100 (A) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $94.63.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 23.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Commercial Services. If gross margin (55.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.47 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $87.62

Debt/Equity of 1.78 and a Macro Regime Fit score of only 12 of 20 temper the otherwise strong rating.

I respect the product at Frontdoor Inc., but the stock at $87.62 is a different story. Debt/Equity of 1.78 and a Macro Regime Fit score of only 12 of 20 temper the otherwise strong rating.. FCF yield is 6.48% and RQD sits at 86/100 (A) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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