Does FPH pay a dividend and is it safe?

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Stock Ratings / Financials / FPH / dividends

AGNT (40) HPP (37) REAX (43) CRESY (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.26 +1.91% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $618.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FPH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (NYSE: FPH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $4.26 (+1.91% 1D, market cap $618.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FPH ranks #693 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FPH compare to AGNT and HPP in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FPH carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, AGNT (AGNT Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $648.4M) and HPP (Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $572.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPH leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FPH leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

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Per FPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001574197), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) generated $108.2M in revenue (-54.2% YoY), $183.5M in net income, and $105.0M in free cash flow against $3.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27 (+0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 97.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FPH SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.38+1.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.44-8.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.08+4.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.26-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FPH currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.67) and Max Pain ($4.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.79.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPH)

✓Walkthrough of FPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $4.20H $4.26L $4.18C $4.26VOL 146.6K

RES: $4.66SUP: $3.96SMA50: $4.67SMA200: $5.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FPH Butterfly Map → + Track FPH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -54.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPH)

Financials Rank #693 of 1097 ⚔️ AGNT vs FPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FPH vs. AGNT, HPP, REAX, CRESY)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) ranks #693 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #657 by equity capitalization ($618.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPH leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. FPH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FPH ACTIVE Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A)	D	48/100	—	—	7.7%	+1.91%	$618.7M	Benchmark Subject
AGNT AGNT Inc.	D-	40/100	—	—	-14.3%	+7.22%	$648.4M	/agnt-vs-fph →
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-19.9%	-6.36%	$572.0M	/hpp-vs-fph →
REAX Real REMAX Group Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	+5.50%	$512.3M	/reax-vs-fph →
CRESY Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.	D	44/100	—	—	—	+1.88%	$763.9M	/cresy-vs-fph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001574197 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) reported GAAP revenue of $108.2M (-54.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $236.0M , and -48.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.5M, operating cash flow of $105.2M, and free cash flow of $105.0M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FPH closed FY2025 with $3.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$108.2M	$183.5M	$105.2M	$105.0M	$3.25B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$236.0M	$177.6M	$116.0M	$115.2M	$3.08B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$209.9M	$113.7M	$154.1M	$154.1M	—	—

3. FPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FPH compare to AGNT and HPP in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

Where is FPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPH last traded at $4.26 (+1.91% on volume of 263,093 shares), positioning the stock -8.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.67) and -15.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.03). Across its 52-week range of $4.02 to $6.47, FPH sits at the 9.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($3.96 to $4.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: FPH RQD Cockpit FPH 12M Forecast FPH Earnings & Move FPH Dividends & DRIP FPH Insiders & 13F FPH Whale Options FPH Profit Sankey FPH News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FPH — Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.26 (+1.91% 1D, market capitalization $618.7M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 16.89%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) is classified in the Financials sector and Real Estate industry and trades on the NYSE under the ticker FPH. Its market capitalization is $0.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) reported $108.2M in annual revenue (up from $236.0M in FY2024, -54.2% YoY) and $183.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($209.9M revenue, $113.7M net income) through FY2025, FPH scaled operating cash flow to $105.2M and free cash flow to $105.0M, backed by $3.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 16.89% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.02 – $6.47 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate (Financials), FPH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: Can FPH sustain or expand its — operating margin and 7.7% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $108.2M and free cash flow of $105.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is FPH's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FPH Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

Howard Hughes' MPC Business Grows: Can Land Sales Stay Strong?

HHH's MPC earnings surge 32% in Q2 2026, fueled by robust residential land sales and rising homebuyer demand. Can the momentum continue?

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 8d ago

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 10d ago

Five Point Holdings (FPH) Stock Price Drops As Q3 Results Deepen Loss Concerns

Five Point Holdings just reported Q3 2026, and the headline is not flattering. The real estate developer swung to a small loss on US$14.6m of revenue, and the stock quickly dropped 6.7% to US$4.20. That looks like an emo

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 11d ago

Five Point Holdings, LLC Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby summary of Five Point Holdings, LLC's Q3 2026 earnings call

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 11d ago

Deckers Outdoor Posts Mixed Q2 Results, Joins BayCom, Five Point Holdings And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Friday’s Pre-Market Session

U.S. stock futures fell, led by Deckers down 9% after mixed results and reduced FY27 guidance. BayCom, ROLR, Trulieve and others also slid premarket.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 11d ago

Five Point Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Five Point (NYSE:FPH) reported a third-quarter consolidated net loss of $4.4 million as it closed no land sales at its active communities and faced softer housing demand tied to higher mortgage rates and weaker consumer

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 11d ago

Five Point Holdings, LLC Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 11d ago

Five Point: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

(AP) — Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) on Thursday reported a loss of $2.The Irvine, California-based company said it had a loss of 4 cents per share.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.26?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FPH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.27 (+26.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Reported FCF yield of 16.89% and FY 2025 FCF of $105.0M on a $621.7M market cap indicate substantial cash generation relative to price.

Long FPH at $4.18 targeting $5.27. Reported FCF yield of 16.89% and FY 2025 FCF of $105.0M on a $621.7M market cap indicate substantial cash generation relative to price.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.02 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $4.18 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.89.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.18 (-23.9%)

Spot @ $4.18

Whale 13F Flow scores 3 of 20 and the composite RQD is 48 (D, Roarable Sell), signaling weak institutional support and underperformance

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FPH: Whale 13F Flow scores 3 of 20 and the composite RQD is 48 (D, Roarable Sell), signaling weak institutional support and underperformance risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Real Estate triggers a 12-15% air pocket.