What is FOXF's 12-month stock price target?

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14.72 (-9.5% from $16.26), with a bull-case target of $24.22 and a bear-case floor of $11.48.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FOXF / forecast

HOG (74) LVWR (20) LKQ (57) INEO (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOXF last traded at $16.26 (+1.69% on volume of 2,035,436 shares), positioning the stock -11.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.32) and -10.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.10). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 31.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($14.44 to $18.08).

Q: Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FOXF D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 37/100.

$16.26 +1.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.28

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $672.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $16.26 (+1.69% 1D, market cap $672.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #767 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FOXF compare to HOG and LVWR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.25B) and LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $135.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?

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Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.28 (+0.11%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 1.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FOXF SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.88 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($27.0M FCF) & 30.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$17.97-15.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$15.19+1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$15.44+5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$16.26-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FOXF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FOXF currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.32) and Max Pain ($17.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FOXF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FOXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FOXF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $16.26: 615.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.48

$7,060

$-2,940 (-29.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.72

$9,053

$-947 (-9.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $24.22

$14,895

+$4,895 (+49.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$15	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$23	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$13	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOXF)

✓Walkthrough of FOXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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FOXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $16.33H $16.33L $15.99C $16.26VOL 1.31M

RES: $23.05SUP: $14.32SMA50: $18.32SMA200: $18.10

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FOXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FOXF Butterfly Map → + Track FOXF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #767 of 1011 ⚔️ HOG vs FOXF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FOXF vs. HOG, LVWR, LKQ, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #767 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #558 by equity capitalization ($672.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FOXF ACTIVE Fox Factory Holding Corp.	D-	37/100	—	30.2%	-35.0%	+1.69%	$672.1M	Benchmark Subject
HOG Harley-Davidson Inc.	B	74/100	9.3x	23.9%	18.0%	+5.93%	$3.25B	/hog-vs-foxf →
LVWR LiveWire Group Inc.	E	20/100	—	-17.3%	-35.0%	-7.32%	$135.6M	/lvwr-vs-foxf →
LKQ LKQ Corporation	D+	57/100	7.5x	38.6%	8.5%	+7.38%	$4.68B	/lkq-vs-foxf →
INEO INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)	D	44/100	—	19.2%	-1.0%	+1.87%	$8.6M	/ineo-vs-foxf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-02 • CIK 0001424929

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-02	$1.47B	-$544.6M	$60.9M	$27.0M	$1.67B	$496.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-03	$1.39B	$6.5M	$131.8M	$87.8M	$2.23B	$527.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-12-29	$1.46B	$120.8M	$178.7M	$178.7M	—	—

3. FOXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FOXF compare to HOG and LVWR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?

Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOXF last traded at $16.26 (+1.69% on volume of 2,035,436 shares), positioning the stock -11.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.32) and -10.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.10). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 31.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($14.44 to $18.08).

Direct Sub-Reports: FOXF RQD Cockpit FOXF 12M Forecast FOXF Earnings & Move FOXF Dividends & DRIP FOXF Insiders & 13F FOXF Whale Options FOXF Profit Sankey FOXF News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FOXF — Fox Factory Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-02

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.26 (+1.69% 1D, market capitalization $672.1M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 30.2%, operating margin of -35.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.93%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.88, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.74x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Motor Vehicles industry. The company's gross margin is reported at 30.2% per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported $1.47B in annual revenue (up from $1.39B in FY2024, +5.3% YoY) and -$544.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.46B revenue, $120.8M net income) through FY2025, FOXF scaled operating cash flow to $60.9M and free cash flow to $27.0M, backed by $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.93% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.08 – $23.07 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -35.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary / Motor Vehicles classification: — The Globe and Mail headline pairs FOXF with EVgo under consumer cyclical sentiment, which is the only peer reference in the source data. Second-order bottlenecks an investor should watch are not identifiable from the supplied sources; the guidance cut and leadership change in the news wire are the most relevant near-term operational signals.

Key Question #1: Can FOXF sustain or expand its -35.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Motor Vehicles peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.47B and free cash flow of $27.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $496.7M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is FOXF's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FOXF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FOXF Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 20h ago

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 23h ago

Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) Stock Drops Over 18% After Full-Year Guidance Cut and CEO Departure

GuruFocus report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

Fox Factory Holding Corp. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $19.33, Implies 21% Upside

TradingView report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Analysts Have Conflicting Sentiments on These Consumer Cyclical Companies: Fox Factory Holding (FOXF) and EVgo (EVGO)

The Globe and Mail report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Fox Factory (NASDAQ:FOXF) Shares Gap Down - Time to Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Should Value Investors Buy Fox Factory Holdings (FOXF) Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 1d ago

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Securities Investigation Notice - Levi & Korsinsky

PR Newswire report covering Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FOXF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.26?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FOXF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.15 (+26.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

FCF yield of 3.93% and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 show cash generation and fundamentals that are not uniformly weak.

Long FOXF at $15.99 targeting $20.15. FCF yield of 3.93% and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 show cash generation and fundamentals that are not uniformly weak.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $13.08 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Motor Vehicles. If gross margin (30.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.59 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $15.99

An Altman Z-Score of 0.88 combined with a -35.6% operating margin and a guidance cut signals balance-sheet and earnings stress.

Fading this rally in FOXF at $15.99. An Altman Z-Score of 0.88 combined with a -35.6% operating margin and a guidance cut signals balance-sheet and earnings stress.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $15.99 (52-wk range $13.08–$23.07), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.