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Stock Ratings / Materials / FNV / insiders
AU (54) WPM (55) GFI (54) B (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$224.95 -2.87% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $223.36

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $44.67B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FNV Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Franco-Nevada Corporation (NYSE: FNV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $224.95 (-2.87% 1D, market cap $44.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FNV ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNV compare to AU and WPM in the Materials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), FNV carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $43.03B) and WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $55.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FNV leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while FNV leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNV?
β–Ό

For Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #59 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $223.35 (-0.71%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$300 Bull$222 Base$173 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FNV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FNV SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$243.85-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$241.12-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$236.40-4.8% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$224.95-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FNV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, FNV faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($250.17) or 200D SMA ($239.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($221.91) toward Bear Floor ($173.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNVβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFNV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FNV Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FNV)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FNV. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNV)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FNV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FNV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.45%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $238.8H $238.8L $225.0C $225.0VOL 532.4K
RES: $292.8SUP: $222.0SMA50: $250.2SMA200: $239.9
$279.5$256.7$233.8$211.0$188.2RES $292.8SUP $222.0$225.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ FNV Butterfly Map β†’ + Track FNV β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNV today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNV)

Materials Rank #59 of 270 βš”οΈ AU vs FNV Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (FNV vs. AU, WPM, GFI, B)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #13 by equity capitalization ($44.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FNV leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while FNV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. B currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with FNV at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FNV ACTIVE
Franco-Nevada Corporation
D+ 55/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -2.87% $44.67B Benchmark Subject
AU
AngloGold Ashanti PLC
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.22% $43.03B /au-vs-fnv β†’
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (Canada)
D+ 55/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -5.42% $55.98B /wpm-vs-fnv β†’
GFI
Gold Fields Limited
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.26% $31.43B /gfi-vs-fnv β†’
B
Barrick Mining Corporation
D+ 56/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -4.29% $63.65B /b-vs-fnv β†’

2. FNV Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $44.67B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. FNV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Franco-Nevada Corporation (NYSE: FNV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $224.95 (-2.87% 1D, market cap $44.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FNV ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FNV compare to AU and WPM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), FNV carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $43.03B) and WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (Canada)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $55.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FNV leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while FNV leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNV?

For Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #59 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FNV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNV last traded at $224.95 (-2.87% on volume of 607,949 shares), positioning the stock -10.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($250.17) and -6.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($239.87). Across its 52-week range of $181.95 to $285.67, FNV sits at the 41.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.5% ($212.58 to $237.32).

FNV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are FNV insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FNV leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: FNV RQD Cockpit FNV 12M Forecast FNV Earnings & Move FNV Dividends & DRIP FNV Insiders & 13F FNV Whale Options FNV Profit Sankey FNV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FNV β€” Franco-Nevada Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FNV scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine β€” 11 / 20. The RQD rating cites ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. A 2.21% FCF yield is a thin cash return relative to the $231.6 price, which implies that much of the current valuation rests on expected future cash generation rather than present cash output.
  • Whale / 13F Flow β€” 7 / 20. The rating records institutional accumulation and options positioning as a weak point. Per the source, this pillar carries limited support for the stock at present.
  • Insider Conviction β€” 12 / 20. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow earns a middling score. The source does not provide the underlying transaction detail in the holders section, so the direction and size of this flow cannot be verified here.
  • Macro Regime Fit β€” 9 / 20. The rating references a Beta of 1.1 and sector sensitivity, which indicates the stock tends to move somewhat more than the broader market and is exposed to sector-level swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet β€” 16 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, citing Altman Z of 3.74, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. These figures indicate a comparatively sound balance sheet.

Taken together, the pillars show a company with a relatively healthy balance sheet but weak cash-return and flow signals. For a prospective investor, the rating's central tradeoff is valuation: the market data show a P/E (TTM) of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21, paired with a 2.21% FCF yield. Upside depends on earnings and cash growth sufficient to justify these multiples; the rating's weak flow and cash-return scores suggest that case is not yet strongly supported by the current data. The rating's "Trim" verdict reflects this assessment.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
231.6$44.67B32.830.5217.050%1.1$181.95 - $285.679.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items are listed, all tagged to FNV:

  • A Seeking Alpha report, "Franco-Nevada: I Tried To Break The Bull Case, And It Held (NYSE:FNV)," carries a GREEN light and a CATALYST impact label, the only item in the set so flagged.
  • Stock Titan reports a $22.2 million deal bringing Franco-Nevada into Kenorland and a CEO sale of 2.05 million shares. This is the most specific insider-related item in the news set and is noteworthy as a risk watch item, though the source does not establish the sale's context.
  • Several Yahoo Finance and Google-aggregated items, plus a Simply Wall St forecast piece, are tagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE and contain generic descriptions without specific fundamental content.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow trajectory across reported periods? The financials section is empty.
  • What is the composition of the company's revenue and its primary customers and products? The business description is not in the source.
  • What explains the 0% gross margin and 0% dividend yield in the market data, and does the company pay a dividend?
  • What analyst consensus, price targets, and institutional ownership levels exist, and how do they compare to the current $231.6 price?
  • What are the terms and significance of the $22.2 million Kenorland deal and the 2.05 million share CEO sale referenced in the news?

FNV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FNV Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FNV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $224.95?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FNV 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FNV:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $250.13 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FNV (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $231.60?

Welcome to the FNV (Franco-Nevada Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $192.23 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $231.60

Pump the brakes on FNV β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FNV, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Franco-Nevada Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $289.50 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $231.60

FNV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FNV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $231.60 (52-wk range $181.95 - $285.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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