TradingView report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why FLD Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.53 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FLD ranks #984 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FLD compare to GRAN and RAND in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), FLD carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.6M) and RAND (Rand Capital Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $28.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLD?
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Per FLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001889123), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$69.6M in net income, and -$16.1M in free cash flow against $153.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLD Turnaround Squeeze
While FLD currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.53) and Max Pain ($0.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.78.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why FLD Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) advanced +1.14% to $0.53, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.35 – $3.6). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.35 – $3.6) with RSI-14 at 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Investing.com report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CoinMarketCap report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com India report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seoul Economic Daily report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
West Bancorp (WTBA) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and +1.45%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLD)
- ✓Walkthrough of FLD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
FLD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLD)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FLD vs. GRAN, RAND, AMTD, JFU)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) ranks #984 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #1038 by equity capitalization ($29.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AMTD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AMTD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with FLD at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLD
ACTIVE
Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.14% | $29.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| GRAN Grande Group Limited (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | — | +4.39% | $29.6M | /gran-vs-fld → |
| RAND Rand Capital Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -15.4% | -0.88% | $28.2M | /rand-vs-fld → |
| AMTD AMTD IDEA Group each representing three hundred sixty (360) (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | 4.9% | -5.01% | $31.3M | /amtd-vs-fld → |
| JFU 9F Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | 0.3% | -11.86% | $27.0M | /jfu-vs-fld → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001889123In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$69.6M, operating cash flow of -$16.1M, and free cash flow of -$16.1M (-386.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLD closed FY2025 with $153.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$69.6M | -$16.1M | -$16.1M | $153.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$65.1M | -$3.3M | -$3.3M | $125.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $4.4M | -$5.1M | -$5.1M | — | — |
3. FLD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FLD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FLD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.53 (+1.14% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FLD ranks #984 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FLD compare to GRAN and RAND in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), FLD carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRAN (Grande Group Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.6M) and RAND (Rand Capital Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $28.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AMTD leads on capital efficiency (4.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLD?
Per FLD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001889123), Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$69.6M in net income, and -$16.1M in free cash flow against $153.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FLD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FLD last traded at $0.53 (+1.14% on volume of 80,422 shares), positioning the stock 0.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.53) and -43.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.94). Across its 52-week range of $0.35 to $3.60, FLD sits at the 5.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.60).
FLD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FLD stock moving today?
Why FLD Stock advanced +1.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
FLD — Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, FLD scores 36 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 3 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and a 0% FCF yield, which indicates the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash for shareholders. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 9 of 20 and the insider conviction pillar scores 5 of 20, signaling limited evidence of supportive institutional or insider accumulation in the source data. The macro regime fit pillar scores 9 of 20, with beta at 1.0. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak operating economics and a fragile balance sheet as the dominant considerations; any upside case would depend on a sustained change in cash generation that the source data does not currently show.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $0.0M | $-69.6M | N/A | $-16.1M | $7.7M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-2.9M | $-65.1M | N/A | $-3.3M | $18.3M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-3.7M | $4.4M | N/A | $-5.1M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M across the displayed periods, with net losses of $-69.6M in FY 2025 and $-65.1M in FY 2024. Operating income was $0.0M in FY 2025 and $-2.9M in FY 2024. Per the Roarable RQD rating, margins are recorded at 0% for gross, operating, and net, and ROIC stands at -35%. Per the RQD forensic balance sheet pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 1 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash declined from $18.3M in FY 2024 to $7.7M in FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
- Per the news wire, TradingView published an estimates-related report on FLD, flagged YELLOW.
- Per the news wire, Investing.com reported a CFO sale of $652 in common stock, flagged YELLOW.
- Per the news wire, Stock Titan reports that third-quarter results are due before the company's Nov. 10 call, flagged YELLOW.
- Per the news wire, CoinMarketCap covered a bitcoin bonus product targeting hourly workers, flagged YELLOW.
- Per the news wire, Stock Titan covered a proposed 2,347-share sale that includes funds for vesting taxes, flagged YELLOW.
- Per the news wire, Investing.com India published a Form 4 filing dated 26 October, flagged YELLOW.
- Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Analyst consensus, price targets, and holder data are not available in source data. The analyst data and holders sections are both empty, so no 13F institutional positions, SEC Form 4 insider trade aggregates, or Congressional trades can be reported from the provided sources. The news wire references a CFO common stock sale and a Form 4 filing, but these are headline-level references only and are not quantified in the holders section.
Open Questions
- What is the company's revenue base, given that reported revenue is $0.0M across all displayed periods?
- What is the debt balance, since debt is recorded as N/A for every period?
- What drove the swing from net income of $4.4M in FY 2023 to net losses in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
- What are the Q3 results due before the Nov. 10 call, and how do they compare with the reported annual trend?
- What is the scale and purpose of the CFO's common stock sale and the 2,347-share proposed sale relative to total shares outstanding?
FLD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CoinMarketCap report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com India report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seoul Economic Daily report covering Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) (FLD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
FLD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.53?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FLD (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $0.53?
Welcome to the FLD (Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on FLD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FLD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fold Holdings Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
FLD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FLD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.53 (52-wk range $0.35 - $3.70), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.