FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (NYSE: FDXF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $126.04 (+14.91% 1D, market cap $16.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDXF ranks #658 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDXF carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $12.62B) and LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $21.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per FDXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0002082247), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. generated $8.79B in revenue (-1.1% YoY), $655.0M in net income, and -$228.8M in free cash flow against $10.55B in total assets and $2.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 4.19 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
While FDXF currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($117.84) and Max Pain ($132.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $210.00.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) surged +14.91% to $126.04, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($103.48 – $200). Stretched risk/reward at 25x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Sales soared at XPO, Saia, Old Dominion and FedEx Freight, with XPO crediting spillover from truckload carriers and Saia posting record tonnage growth.
Intel lost nearly 29% and dragged chip stocks lower as the Nasdaq had its worst day since June. Oil rose about 15% in October, Treasury yields fell, and Regeneron, FedEx Freight and the oil majors went the other way.
FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) just posted third quarter results that combined higher sales with sharply lower earnings, giving investors fresh numbers to reassess the recently spun off freight operator. The fresh
Intel stock plummets after the chip maker issues underwhelming earnings guidance.
S&P 500 top percentage movers in today's US session, led by FDXF gainer and INTC decliner, with gainers and losers ranked by latest prices.
JP Morgan analyst Brian Ossenbeck maintains FedEx Freight Hldg Co (NYSE:FDXF) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $149 to $151.
AutoNation stock is really cheap -- or so its management believes.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDXF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) ranks #658 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #117 by equity capitalization ($16.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FDXF leads on earnings valuation at 25.0x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. LUV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with FDXF at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDXF
ACTIVE
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. | D | 45/100 | 25.0x | — | 8.3% | +14.91% | $16.40B | Benchmark Subject |
| LTM LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American | D | 49/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -3.59% | $12.62B | /ltm-vs-fdxf → |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Company | D+ | 56/100 | 48.5x | — | 3.2% | -2.86% | $21.39B | /luv-vs-fdxf → |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings plc | D+ | 54/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.62% | $28.10B | /ryaay-vs-fdxf → |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 76.3x | — | 85.0% | -1.41% | $8.47B | /aal-vs-fdxf → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) reported GAAP revenue of $8.79B (-1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.89B , and -6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $655.0M, operating cash flow of $167.0M, and free cash flow of -$228.8M (-120.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDXF closed FY2025 with $10.55B in total assets against $2.47B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.19, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-05-31 | $8.79B | $655.0M | $167.0M | -$228.8M | $10.55B | $2.47B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-05-31 | $8.89B | $1.35B | $1.53B | $1.13B | $10.67B | $2.50B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-05-31 | $9.42B | $1.57B | $1.54B | $1.12B | $11.31B | $2.65B |
As of 2026-11-02, FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (NYSE: FDXF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $126.04 (+14.91% 1D, market cap $16.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDXF ranks #658 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDXF carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $12.62B) and LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $21.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
Per FDXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0002082247), FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. generated $8.79B in revenue (-1.1% YoY), $655.0M in net income, and -$228.8M in free cash flow against $10.55B in total assets and $2.47B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
FDXF last traded at $126.04 (+14.91% on volume of 3,597,983 shares), positioning the stock +6.96% above its 50-day simple moving average ($117.84) and -8.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($137.20). Across its 52-week range of $103.48 to $200.00, FDXF sits at the 23.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($115.45 to $136.63).
Why FDXF Stock surged +14.91% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 25x P/E (8% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, FDXF scores 45 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 (ROIC 8.3%; FCF yield -1.39%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 4.19; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.39).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and the flow-based signals, each scoring 8 or lower on 20. The negative free cash flow yield means the company's reported cash generation does not currently cover its valuation, which is the central tradeoff: per the market data, trailing P/E is 25 and EV/EBITDA is 19.5, which the rating's cash-engine pillar does not support. The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet at 14/20, which points to a comparatively sound balance sheet and reduces solvency concerns, though it does not offset weak cash generation or flow signals. Upside would depend on cash flow recovery; the data does not establish a catalyst timeline for that recovery.
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Air Freight/Delivery Services industry, per the company profile. Not available in source data for products, customer base, or specific revenue model descriptions beyond the sector and industry classification.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $8795.0M | $540.0M | $655.0M | N/A | $-228.8M | N/A | $2469.6M |
| FY 2024 | $8892.0M | $1404.0M | $1346.0M | N/A | $1130.9M | N/A | $2496.9M |
| FY 2023 | $9424.0M | $1753.0M | $1574.0M | N/A | $1116.9M | N/A | $2646.3M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $9424.0M (FY 2023) to $8795.0M (FY 2025), and operating income fell from $1753.0M to $540.0M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 6.1%, net margin is 7.4%, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is 8.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 4.19 and Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.39. FY 2025 free cash flow was negative at $-228.8M. Cash balances are not available in source data.
Per the recent news wire, three MarketBeat items reference FDXF: one headline reports a JPMorgan Chase & Co. pessimistic forecast for the stock price, a second reports the stock setting a new 1-year low, and a third reports a JPMorgan Chase & Co. positive forecast. All three are flagged YELLOW under the market wire impact label. Per the market data, the 52-week range runs from $103.48 to $200, and the price of $109.69 sits near the low end of that range. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are present.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the beta of 0.92, or second-order bottlenecks.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. (FDXF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Sales soared at XPO, Saia, Old Dominion and FedEx Freight, with XPO crediting spillover from truckload carriers and Saia posting record tonnage growth.
Intel lost nearly 29% and dragged chip stocks lower as the Nasdaq had its worst day since June. Oil rose about 15% in October, Treasury yields fell, and Regeneron, FedEx Freight and the oil majors went the other way.
FedEx Freight Holding Company (FDXF) just posted third quarter results that combined higher sales with sharply lower earnings, giving investors fresh numbers to reassess the recently spun off freight operator. The fresh
Intel stock plummets after the chip maker issues underwhelming earnings guidance.
S&P 500 top percentage movers in today's US session, led by FDXF gainer and INTC decliner, with gainers and losers ranked by latest prices.
Welcome to the FDXF (FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FDXF, but look at what you are paying: 25.0x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FDXF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $109.69 (52-wk range $103.48 - $200.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).