FedEx Corporation (FDX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.7% Move

$313.28 +1.77% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $315.03

FedEx Corporation (FDX) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $72.09B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FDX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $313.28 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $72.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDX ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDX compare to DAL and UAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, DAL (Delta Air Lines Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 16.2%, cap $53.71B) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $34.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDX?
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Per FDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001048911), FedEx Corporation generated $94.72B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $4.4K in net income, and $4.66B in free cash flow against $89.18B in total assets and $20.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $315.03 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 4.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (16)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$395 Bull$334 Base$257 Bear
📬 FREE FDX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FDX SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($4.66B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.9) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$290.59+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$298.76+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$307.10+2% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$313.28+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FDX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, FDX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($303.43) or 200D SMA ($305.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($334.43) toward Bear Floor ($256.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FDX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 29, 2026 (~26 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.7% Swing Band

±$14.72 Expected Swing
$298.56 (-4.7%)Spot $313.28$328.00 (+4.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FDX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.7%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-05-31$94.72B$4.4K$4.66B52%
FY 20242025-05-31$87.93B$4.1K$3.08B52%
FY 20232024-05-31$87.69B$4.3K$4.37B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FDX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FDX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.66%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $304.6H $313.3L $304.6C $313.3VOL 1.97M
RES: $336.8SUP: $268.1SMA50: $303.4SMA200: $305.3
$353.0$321.4$289.7$258.1$226.4RES $336.8SUP $268.1$313.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #86 of 1011 ⚔️ DAL vs FDX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FDX vs. DAL, UAL, RYAAY, LUV)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FedEx Corporation (FDX) ranks #86 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #34 by equity capitalization ($72.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while DAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. FDX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FDX ACTIVE
FedEx Corporation
B 73/100 — — 10.9% +1.77% $72.09B Benchmark Subject
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc.
B- 70/100 10.7x — 16.2% -1.82% $53.71B /dal-vs-fdx →
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 10.2x — 14.0% -0.92% $34.18B /ual-vs-fdx →
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.62% $28.10B /ryaay-vs-fdx →
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D+ 56/100 48.5x — 3.2% -2.86% $21.39B /luv-vs-fdx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0001048911

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), FedEx Corporation (FDX) reported GAAP revenue of $94.72B (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $87.93B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.4K, operating cash flow of $8.93B, and free cash flow of $4.66B (+51.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDX closed FY2025 with $89.18B in total assets against $20.87B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $94.72B $4.4K $8.93B $4.66B $89.18B $20.87B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $87.93B $4.1K $7.04B $3.08B $85.48B $20.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-31 $87.69B $4.3K $8.31B $4.37B $105.23B $24.62B

3. FDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $313.28 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $72.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDX ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FDX compare to DAL and UAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, DAL (Delta Air Lines Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 16.2%, cap $53.71B) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $34.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDX?

Per FDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001048911), FedEx Corporation generated $94.72B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $4.4K in net income, and $4.66B in free cash flow against $89.18B in total assets and $20.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDX last traded at $313.28 (+1.77% on volume of 2,656,192 shares), positioning the stock +3.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($303.43) and +2.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($305.32). Across its 52-week range of $201.31 to $345.37, FDX sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($298.56 to $328.00).

FDX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FDX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, FedEx Corporation (FDX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 29, 2026.

How much is FDX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.7% event move for FDX, spanning a range between $298.56 and $328.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FDX — FedEx Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FDX scores 73 out of 100 (letter grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 10.9% and an FCF yield of 6.47%. These are the strongest cash-generation signals in the rating and support the case that the business earns returns above its cost of capital on the figures provided.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The rating characterizes this pillar as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder-level detail is not present in the source data, so this score cannot be traced to specific filings.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. The lowest pillar, reflecting a beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this implies the stock is expected to move slightly more than the market and may be exposed to cyclical sector conditions.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 3, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.64. Taken together these point to a financially sound balance sheet on the reported measures.

Investor implications: the rating's upside case rests mainly on cash generation and balance-sheet strength. Its valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.2 with a 1.91% dividend yield, while the thin 5.8% operating margin leaves limited cushion against cyclical softness, consistent with the lower macro-fit score. Pillar scores are the rating's own assessment and are not independently verified here.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$94720.0M$5463.0M$0.0MN/A$4662.6M$6570.0M$20868.4M
FY 2024$87926.0M$5217.0M$0.0MN/A$3079.3M$5029.0M$20002.6M
FY 2023$87693.0M$5559.0M$0.0MN/A$4365.8MN/A$24624.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $87693.0M (FY 2023) to $94720.0M (FY 2025), while operating income moved from $5559.0M to $5463.0M over the same span. Net income is reported as $0.0M in each period and EPS as N/A, so profitability at the bottom line cannot be assessed from the source data. Per the market data, the operating margin is 5.8%, gross and net margins are listed as 0%, and ROIC is 10.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9; the balance sheet shows Debt/Equity of 0.64, with reported debt declining from $24624.2M (FY 2023) to $20868.4M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Catalyst (GREEN): A headline reports that FedEx hikes profit guidance ahead of the holiday quarter (Seeking Alpha). A separate headline (Benzinga) reports a double beat in Q3 with the stock falling on updated guidance.
  • Risk Watch (RED): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $360.32, implying 25% upside.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Multiple items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance, StockInvest.us) are general market and institutional-positioning coverage with no specific fundamental detail.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Because the headlines conflict (a guidance raise alongside a stock decline on guidance, and a target cut), the signal set is mixed. The news items do not disclose the underlying figures.

Open Questions

  • What are FY 2025 and FY 2024 net income and EPS, given that the source reports $0.0M net income and N/A EPS?
  • What are the trailing and forward P/E ratios, which the source marks as unavailable?
  • What specific guidance changes underlie the reported profit guidance raise and the post-guidance stock decline?
  • Which institutions and insiders drive the whale and insider pillar scores, and at what sizes and dates?
  • How does FedEx's revenue and margin structure break down across its service lines and customer segments?

FDX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FedEx Corporation (FDX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FDX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $313.28?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FDX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $363.23 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FDX (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $307.82?

Welcome to the FDX (FedEx Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $243.18 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $307.82

Pump the brakes on FDX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FDX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless FedEx Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $350.91 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $307.82

FDX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FDX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $307.82 (52-wk range $201.31 - $345.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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