Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$6.91 -9.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.77

Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $930.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FBYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FBYD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $6.91 (-9.91% 1D, market cap $930.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FBYD ranks #906 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FBYD compare to ACEL and BUUU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FBYD carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -22.8%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and BUUU (BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBYD?
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Per FBYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001937987), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) generated $14.9M in revenue (+120.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$24.8M in free cash flow against $66.7M in total assets and $12.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.77 (-1.97%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$30 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE FBYD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FBYD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FBYD SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.32 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (18% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$8.40-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$8.25-5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$7.81-11.5% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$6.91-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FBYD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FBYD currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.08) and Max Pain ($7.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FBYD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FBYD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FBYD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.91: 1447.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.66
$6,744
$-3,256 (-32.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.98
$8,654
$-1,346 (-13.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.47
$44,096
+$34,096 (+341.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FBYD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FBYD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FBYD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.08%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $7.70H $7.70L $6.91C $6.91VOL 102.6K
RES: $8.25SUP: $2.61SMA50: $8.08SMA200: $10.26
$22.98$18.38$13.79$9.19$4.59RES $8.25SUP $2.61$6.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FBYD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +120.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FBYD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FBYD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FBYD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FBYD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #906 of 1011 ⚔️ ACEL vs FBYD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FBYD vs. ACEL, BUUU, FUN, RSVR)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) ranks #906 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #518 by equity capitalization ($930.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. BUUU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with FBYD at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FBYD ACTIVE
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — — -22.8% -9.91% $930.1M Benchmark Subject
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
D+ 57/100 17.8x — 15.7% +0.53% $917.5M /acel-vs-fbyd →
BUUU
BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share
C- 61/100 — 31.0% — +4.62% $1.10B /buuu-vs-fbyd →
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 — 91.3% -19.3% -2.60% $785.8M /fun-vs-fbyd →
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
D+ 54/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% -0.73% $632.3M /rsvr-vs-fbyd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001937987

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) reported GAAP revenue of $14.9M (+120.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.7M , and -18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$24.6M, and free cash flow of -$24.8M (-97.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FBYD closed FY2025 with $66.7M in total assets against $12.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.32, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.9M $0 -$24.6M -$24.8M $66.7M $12.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.7M $0 -$12.6M -$12.6M $61.2M $31.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $18.2M $0 -$23.4M -$23.4M — —

3. FBYD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FBYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FBYD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $6.91 (-9.91% 1D, market cap $930.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FBYD ranks #906 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FBYD compare to ACEL and BUUU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FBYD carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -22.8%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and BUUU (BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBYD?

Per FBYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001937987), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) generated $14.9M in revenue (+120.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$24.8M in free cash flow against $66.7M in total assets and $12.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FBYD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FBYD last traded at $6.91 (-9.91% on volume of 101,440 shares), positioning the stock -14.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.08) and -32.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.26). Across its 52-week range of $3.71 to $29.02, FBYD sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.05 to $7.77).

FBYD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FBYD's 12-month stock price target?

Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.98 (-13.5% from $6.91), with a bull-case target of $30.47 and a bear-case floor of $4.66.

Is FBYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FBYD E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 28/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FBYD — Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FBYD scores 28 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted at 20 points:

  • Fundamental cash engine (5 / 20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -22.8% and FCF yield is -2.66%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating returns on capital or positive free cash flow, so any valuation case must rest on future improvement rather than current cash output.
  • Whale / 13F flow (5 / 20): The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak in this pillar. Investors should not assume large institutional sponsorship is supporting the price.
  • Insider conviction (3 / 20): The lowest-scoring pillar, referencing SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Weak insider signal means management and insiders are not providing a strong confidence cue.
  • Macro regime fit (5 / 20): Beta is 1.0 per the market data, and the RQD rating flags sector sensitivity. The stock moves with the broad market, so macro shifts pass through directly rather than being cushioned.
  • Forensic balance sheet (10 / 20): The strongest pillar, citing Altman Z 11.32, Piotroski F 2/9, and Debt/Equity 1.05 per the RQD rating. The Altman Z reading is elevated, but the Piotroski score is weak. Investors should read the Z-score as a solvency indicator rather than a quality endorsement, since the low Piotroski score points to deteriorating fundamentals.

Net implication: the upside case depends on a turnaround in operating economics, which the current cash metrics do not yet show. Valuation is not supported by reported earnings, since P/E and EPS are not available in source data. The 52-week range of $3.71 to $29.02, against a price of $7.67, shows a very large drawdown already realized, which illustrates volatility rather than a valuation anchor.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$14.9M$-13.4M$0.0MN/A$-24.8M$1.9M$12.5M
FY 2024$6.7M$-15.9M$0.0MN/A$-12.6M$0.8M$31.0M
FY 2023$18.2M$-57.2M$0.0MN/A$-23.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income was negative in every reported period, and free cash flow was negative throughout. Per the market data, operating margin is -60%, while gross margin and net margin are each shown as 0%. The RQD rating reports ROIC of -22.8% and an Altman Z-Score of 11.32 alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. Debt declined from $31.0M in FY 2024 to $12.5M in FY 2025, while cash stayed small at $1.9M.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and services generate the $14.9M FY 2025 revenue, and what is the path to positive operating income given -$13.4M in FY 2025?
  • What explains the FY 2023 operating loss of $-57.2M, and why is cash and debt for FY 2023 not reported?
  • Why is net income reported as $0.0M in every period, and what is the EPS trajectory given EPS is N/A?
  • What drove the holder share distributions and trust sales referenced in the news wire, and do they reflect insider or institutional conviction?
  • What is the source of the 52-week decline from $29.02 to $3.71, and how does current valuation compare to the price range?

FBYD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FBYD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FBYD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.91?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FBYD 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FBYD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.75 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FBYD (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $7.67?

Welcome to the FBYD (Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.75 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $7.67

Pump the brakes on FBYD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FBYD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.05 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $7.67

FBYD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FBYD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.67 (52-wk range $3.71 - $29.02), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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