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Stock Ratings / Financials / EXR / earnings
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Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.6% Move

$151.32 +0.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $151.94

Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $31.97B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EXR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Extra Space Storage Inc (NYSE: EXR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $151.32 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $31.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, EXR ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXR compare to IRM and CCI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), EXR carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $34.70B) and CCI (Crown Castle Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 85.1x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $37.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VICI leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CCI leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXR?
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Per EXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289490), Extra Space Storage Inc generated $129.5M in revenue (+7.1% YoY), $974.0M in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $29.26B in total assets and $6.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $151.94 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 1424.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$188 Bull$159 Base$124 Bear
📬 FREE EXR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXR SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (73.4) create a -7 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$134.08+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$139.87+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$144.75+4.5% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$151.32+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EXR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, EXR faces multiple-compression risk if 32.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($138.80) or 200D SMA ($142.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($159.49) toward Bear Floor ($124.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.6% Swing Band

±$6.96 Expected Swing
$144.36 (-4.6%)Spot $151.32$158.28 (+4.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EXR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $4.61 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.1%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$129.5M$974.0M$1.84B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$120.9M$854.7M$1.88B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$102.0M$803.2M$1.40B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EXR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EXR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EXR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.61%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $149.9H $151.3L $149.9C $151.3VOL 1.71M
RES: $153.1SUP: $129.4SMA50: $138.8SMA200: $142.4
$160.9$152.6$144.4$136.2$128.0RES $153.1SUP $129.4$151.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EXR Butterfly Map → + Track EXR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXR)

Financials Rank #95 of 1097 ⚔️ IRM vs EXR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (EXR vs. IRM, CCI, VICI, VTR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) ranks #95 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #87 by equity capitalization ($31.97B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VICI leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while CCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.9% ROIC and — gross margin. EXR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EXR ACTIVE
Extra Space Storage Inc
B- 70/100 32.5x — 5.7% +0.95% $31.97B Benchmark Subject
IRM
Iron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware)
D 44/100 38.8x — 6.1% -1.55% $34.70B /irm-vs-exr →
CCI
Crown Castle Inc.
B- 70/100 85.1x — 11.9% -0.16% $37.73B /cci-vs-exr →
VICI
VICI Properties Inc.
C+ 66/100 9.7x — 7.6% -0.24% $26.93B /vici-vs-exr →
VTR
Ventas Inc.
C- 59/100 69.8x — 3.6% +1.30% $44.84B /vtr-vs-exr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001289490 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) reported GAAP revenue of $129.5M (+7.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $120.9M , and +27.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $974.0M, operating cash flow of $1.85B, and free cash flow of $1.84B (-2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXR closed FY2025 with $29.26B in total assets against $6.72B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $129.5M $974.0M $1.85B $1.84B $29.26B $6.72B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $120.9M $854.7M $1.89B $1.88B $28.85B $6.29B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $102.0M $803.2M $1.40B $1.40B $17.42B $4.08B

3. EXR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Extra Space Storage Inc (NYSE: EXR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $151.32 (+0.95% 1D, market cap $31.97B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, EXR ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EXR compare to IRM and CCI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), EXR carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Delaware)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 38.8x, ROIC 6.1%, cap $34.70B) and CCI (Crown Castle Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 85.1x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $37.73B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VICI leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CCI leads on capital efficiency (11.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXR?

Per EXR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289490), Extra Space Storage Inc generated $129.5M in revenue (+7.1% YoY), $974.0M in net income, and $1.84B in free cash flow against $29.26B in total assets and $6.72B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EXR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXR last traded at $151.32 (+0.95% on volume of 1,713,518 shares), positioning the stock +9.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($138.80) and +6.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($142.37). Across its 52-week range of $125.71 to $158.88, EXR sits at the 77.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($144.36 to $158.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: EXR RQD Cockpit EXR 12M Forecast EXR Earnings & Move EXR Dividends & DRIP EXR Insiders & 13F EXR Whale Options EXR Profit Sankey EXR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EXR — Extra Space Storage Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 70/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $151.32 (+0.95% 1D, market capitalization $31.97B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of 5.82%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.89x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Reported revenue figures appear in the SEC financials section below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) reported $129.5M in annual revenue (up from $120.9M in FY2024, +7.1% YoY) and $974.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($102.0M revenue, $803.2M net income) through FY2025, EXR scaled operating cash flow to $1.85B and free cash flow to $1.84B, backed by $29.26B in total assets against $6.72B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 70/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $125.71 – $158.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.5x trailing P/E and 26.7x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 0.89x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), EXR carries a macro regime beta of 0.89 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can EXR sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 5.7% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $129.5M and free cash flow of $1.84B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.72B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EXR's 30.2x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.89x)?

EXR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Extra Space Storage Inc (EXR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $151.32?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EXR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $196.72 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 8/9) combined with institutional and insider accumulation signals supports the

Here is why I am bullish on EXR here at $151.32: Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 8/9) combined with institutional and insider accumulation signals supports the RQD rating of 70.. Compare EXR's 75.0% operating margin and 5.7% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $143.75 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EXR's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $118.03 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $151.32

Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 32.5; EV/EBITDA 26.7) against a 5.7% ROIC leaves limited margin for error if sector conditions weaken.

Careful chasing EXR at $151.32. Elevated valuation (P/E TTM 32.5; EV/EBITDA 26.7) against a 5.7% ROIC leaves limited margin for error if sector conditions weaken.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 75.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $118.03 on multiple compression.

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