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eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$22.57 +0.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.54

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ETOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ETOR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $22.57 (+0.27% 1D, market cap $1.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ETOR ranks #818 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ETOR compare to MIY and MUJ in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ETOR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MIY (Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.81B) and MUJ (Blackrock MuniHoldings New Jersey Quality Fund Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETOR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ETOR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETOR?
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For eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #818 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.54 (-0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$46 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE ETOR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ETOR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ETOR SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.3% FCF Margin ($50.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$24.86-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$24.40-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$23.69-4.7% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$22.57-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ETOR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ETOR currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.03) and Max Pain ($23.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ETOR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ETOR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ETOR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ETOR.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ETOR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ETOR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ETOR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.09%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $23.37H $23.37L $22.51C $22.57VOL 2.88M
RES: $24.51SUP: $21.84SMA50: $27.03SMA200: $32.67
$44.80$38.63$32.47$26.30$20.14RES $24.51SUP $21.84$22.572026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ETOR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ETOR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ETOR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ETOR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ETOR)

Financials Rank #818 of 1097 ⚔️ MIY vs ETOR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ETOR vs. MIY, MUJ, MHD, ETV)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) ranks #818 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #442 by equity capitalization ($1.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ETOR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ETOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. MIY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with ETOR at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ETOR ACTIVE
eToro Group Ltd. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — — +0.27% $1.81B Benchmark Subject
MIY
Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — — +1.97% $1.81B /miy-vs-etor →
MUJ
Blackrock MuniHoldings New Jersey Quality Fund Inc.
D 45/100 — — — 0.00% $1.70B /muj-vs-etor →
MHD
Blackrock MuniHoldings Fund Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -0.74% $1.62B /mhd-vs-etor →
ETV
Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Buy-Write Opportunities Fund of
D- 43/100 — — — -0.90% $1.58B /etv-vs-etor →

2. ETOR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) operates in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.81B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ETOR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ETOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ETOR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $22.57 (+0.27% 1D, market cap $1.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ETOR ranks #818 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ETOR compare to MIY and MUJ in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ETOR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MIY (Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.81B) and MUJ (Blackrock MuniHoldings New Jersey Quality Fund Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETOR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ETOR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETOR?

For eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #818 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ETOR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ETOR last traded at $22.57 (+0.27% on volume of 1,512,615 shares), positioning the stock -16.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.03) and -30.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.67). Across its 52-week range of $22.05 to $44.21, ETOR sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($21.10 to $24.04).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ETOR — eToro Group Ltd. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $22.57 (+0.27% 1D, market capitalization $1.81B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry, with a market capitalization of $1.9B..

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.05 – $44.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the Financials / Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service classification and beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can ETOR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $44.21 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ETOR's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ETOR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ETOR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ETOR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.57?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ETOR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ETOR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.71 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (13/20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9) is the strongest component of the rating, and a recent Q4 earn

Long ETOR at $22.51 targeting $29.71. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar (13/20, Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9) is the strongest component of the rating, and a recent Q4 earnings beat was reported as crypto-driven.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $22.05 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $22.51 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.01 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $22.51

The rating shows 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield with weak 13F flow (4/20), and two RED risk-watch items cite price-target cuts.

Fading this rally in ETOR at $22.51. The rating shows 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield with weak 13F flow (4/20), and two RED risk-watch items cite price-target cuts.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $22.51 (52-wk range $22.05–$44.21), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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