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Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$69.55 +1.46% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.60

Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $25.82B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (NYSE: ES) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $69.55 (+1.46% 1D, market cap $25.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, ES ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ES compare to PPL and FE in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ES carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, PPL (PPL Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $26.83B) and FE (FirstEnergy Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $27.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ES leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DTE leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ES?
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Per ES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000072741), Eversource Energy (D/B/A) generated $13.55B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$45.1M in free cash flow against $63.79B in total assets and $26.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.60 (+0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$80 Bull$66 Base$52 Bear
📬 FREE ES RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ES SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$66.67-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$65.60+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$66.90+4% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$69.55-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ES Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ES currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($67.28) and Max Pain ($73.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $80.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ES• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ES Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
4.87% Total Yield
4.27% Cash ($2.97/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $32,473

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,581/yr
$11.3K
Yr 1
$12.7K
Yr 2
$14.2K
Yr 3
$16.0K
Yr 4
$18.0K
Yr 5
$20.3K
Yr 6
$22.8K
Yr 7
$25.7K
Yr 8
$28.9K
Yr 9
$32.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ES)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ES's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.16%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $67.90H $69.55L $67.90C $69.55VOL 6.26M
RES: $67.49SUP: $61.72SMA50: $67.28SMA200: $70.00
$77.54$73.52$69.51$65.49$61.47RES $67.49SUP $61.72$69.552026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ES Butterfly Map → + Track ES →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ES today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ES)

Utilities Rank #65 of 116 ⚔️ PPL vs ES Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (ES vs. PPL, FE, CNP, DTE)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) ranks #65 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #27 by equity capitalization ($25.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ES leads on earnings valuation at 11.0x trailing P/E, while DTE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. DTE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ES at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ES ACTIVE
Eversource Energy (D/B/A)
D 47/100 11.0x — 5.5% +1.46% $25.82B Benchmark Subject
PPL
PPL Corporation
D 45/100 22.7x — 4.2% +1.37% $26.83B /ppl-vs-es →
FE
FirstEnergy Corp.
C- 60/100 26.6x — 5.8% +1.54% $27.16B /fe-vs-es →
CNP
CenterPoint Energy Inc (Holding Co)
D- 42/100 26.6x 96.0% 5.3% +0.50% $28.13B /cnp-vs-es →
DTE
DTE Energy Company
C 63/100 19.1x — 8.2% +0.27% $28.19B /dte-vs-es →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000072741 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) reported GAAP revenue of $13.55B (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.90B , and +13.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $4.11B, and free cash flow of -$45.1M (+98.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ES closed FY2025 with $63.79B in total assets against $26.87B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.92, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $13.55B $0 $4.11B -$45.1M $63.79B $26.87B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.90B $0 $2.16B -$2.32B $59.59B $25.70B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.91B -$434.7M $1.65B $1.11B $14.29B $3.34B

3. ES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (NYSE: ES) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $69.55 (+1.46% 1D, market cap $25.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, ES ranks #65 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ES compare to PPL and FE in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ES carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.5%. By comparison, PPL (PPL Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $26.83B) and FE (FirstEnergy Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $27.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ES leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DTE leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ES?

Per ES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000072741), Eversource Energy (D/B/A) generated $13.55B in revenue (+13.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$45.1M in free cash flow against $63.79B in total assets and $26.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ES last traded at $69.55 (+1.46% on volume of 2,276,611 shares), positioning the stock +3.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($67.28) and -0.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($70.00). Across its 52-week range of $62.72 to $76.57, ES sits at the 49.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($66.91 to $72.19).

Direct Sub-Reports: ES RQD Cockpit ES 12M Forecast ES Earnings & Move ES Dividends & DRIP ES Insiders & 13F ES Whale Options ES Profit Sankey ES News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ES — Eversource Energy (D/B/A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $69.55 (+1.46% 1D, market capitalization $25.82B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 22.1%, and free cash flow yield of -0.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 0.74x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.92, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.66x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Eversource Energy (D/B/A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, specifically the Electric Utilities: Central industry, . Reported annual revenue was $13.55B for FY 2025. The company's market capitalization is $25.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) reported $13.55B in annual revenue (up from $11.90B in FY2024, +13.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.91B revenue, -$434.7M net income) through FY2025, ES scaled operating cash flow to $4.11B and free cash flow to -$45.1M, backed by $63.79B in total assets against $26.87B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.18% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $62.72 – $76.57 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 11.0x trailing P/E and 8.0x EV/EBITDA against 22.1% operating margins and a 0.74x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities), ES carries a macro regime beta of 0.74 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ES sustain or expand its 22.1% operating margin and 5.5% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $13.55B and free cash flow of -$45.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $26.87B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ES's 9.2x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.74x)?

ES Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ES Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ES Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $69.55?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ES 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ES:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $79.52 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low trailing and forward earnings multiples (P/E 11, Forward P/E 9.2) with a 4.27% dividend yield and a low beta of 0.74 offer a valuat

Picked up a starter position in ES in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $68.55. Low trailing and forward earnings multiples (P/E 11, Forward P/E 9.2) with a 4.27% dividend yield and a low beta of 0.74 offer a valuation and income profile.. Trading inside a $62.72–$76.57 52-week range with -0.18% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Electric Utilities: Central multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 47/100 quality, though with 0.74 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $68.55 and keeping dry powder in case we test $63.75.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $54.84 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $68.55

The RQD score of 46 is driven by a negative FCF yield of -0.18%, a 0.92 Altman Z-Score, and debt rising to $26.87B against a 5.5% ROI

The RQD score of 46 is driven by a negative FCF yield of -0.18%, a 0.92 Altman Z-Score, and debt rising to $26.87B against a 5.5% ROIC.. Look at the math on ES: paying 11.0x trailing P/E for 5.5% ROIC and 22.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Electric Utilities: Central demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $60.32 before getting long.

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