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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / EQPT / news
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Why EQPT Stock dropped -6.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$16.04 -6.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.82

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.35B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EQPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, EquipmentShare.com Inc (NASDAQ: EQPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $16.04 (-6.64% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EQPT ranks #762 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EQPT compare to KFY and FTDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), EQPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 115.2x, gross margin of 60.7%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, KFY (Korn Ferry) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 20.2%, cap $4.18B) and FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) posts a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 23.6x, ROIC 51.1%, cap $6.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EQPT?
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Per EQPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001693736), EquipmentShare.com Inc generated $2.04B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $172.2M in free cash flow against $5.99B in total assets and $3.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.82 (-1.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (7)Macro (4)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
$37 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE EQPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EQPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EQPT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.4% FCF Margin ($172.2M FCF) & 60.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$13.71+22.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$16.85+6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$17.93-10.5% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$16.04-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EQPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EQPT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.27) and Max Pain ($16.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EQPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EQPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why EQPT Stock dropped -6.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) dropped -6.64% to $16.04, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($13 – $35.5). Stretched risk/reward at 115x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($13 – $35.5) with RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $16.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 60.7% gross margin and $172.2M annual free cash flow.
Live EQPT Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EQPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EQPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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EQPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.83%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.18H $18.18L $16.04C $16.04VOL 3.81M
RES: $18.89SUP: $11.34SMA50: $17.27SMA200: $21.56
$28.25$24.12$19.98$15.85$11.72RES $18.89SUP $11.34$16.042026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EQPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EQPT Butterfly Map → + Track EQPT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EQPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EQPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EQPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EQPT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #762 of 1009 ⚔️ KFY vs EQPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EQPT vs. KFY, FTDR, ABM, MGRC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) ranks #762 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #293 by equity capitalization ($4.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KFY leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while FTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.1% ROIC and 55.3% gross margin. FTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with EQPT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EQPT ACTIVE
EquipmentShare.com Inc
D- 37/100 115.2x 60.7% 6.7% -6.64% $4.35B Benchmark Subject
KFY
Korn Ferry
B+ 78/100 14.8x — 20.2% +1.86% $4.18B /kfy-vs-eqpt →
FTDR
Frontdoor Inc.
A 86/100 23.6x 55.3% 51.1% +1.92% $6.04B /ftdr-vs-eqpt →
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
C 64/100 19.5x 12.3% 7.6% +0.97% $3.13B /abm-vs-eqpt →
MGRC
McGrath RentCorp
C+ 67/100 18.6x 48.2% 15.6% +9.44% $2.88B /mgrc-vs-eqpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001693736 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.04B (+3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.98B , and +83.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $40.0M, operating cash flow of $264.0M, and free cash flow of $172.2M (-10.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, EQPT closed FY2025 with $5.99B in total assets against $3.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.22, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.04B $40.0M $264.0M $172.2M $5.99B $3.27B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.98B $3.0M $282.0M $193.0M $4.82B $2.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.11B $17.0M $279.0M $229.1M $2.53B $592.8M

3. EQPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EQPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, EquipmentShare.com Inc (NASDAQ: EQPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $16.04 (-6.64% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EQPT ranks #762 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EQPT compare to KFY and FTDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), EQPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 115.2x, gross margin of 60.7%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, KFY (Korn Ferry) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 20.2%, cap $4.18B) and FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) posts a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 23.6x, ROIC 51.1%, cap $6.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EQPT?

Per EQPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001693736), EquipmentShare.com Inc generated $2.04B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $172.2M in free cash flow against $5.99B in total assets and $3.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EQPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EQPT last traded at $16.04 (-6.64% on volume of 2,370,312 shares), positioning the stock -7.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.27) and -25.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.56). Across its 52-week range of $13.00 to $35.50, EQPT sits at the 13.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.04 to $18.04).

Direct Sub-Reports: EQPT RQD Cockpit EQPT 12M Forecast EQPT Earnings & Move EQPT Dividends & DRIP EQPT Insiders & 13F EQPT Whale Options EQPT Profit Sankey EQPT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EQPT — EquipmentShare.com Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.04 (-6.64% 1D, market capitalization $4.35B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.7%, gross margin of 60.7%, operating margin of 14.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.74%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.12x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.22, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 6.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Diversified Commercial Services industry..6B. —: specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue monetization model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) reported $2.04B in annual revenue (up from $1.98B in FY2024, +3.2% YoY) and $40.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.11B revenue, $17.0M net income) through FY2025, EQPT scaled operating cash flow to $264.0M and free cash flow to $172.2M, backed by $5.99B in total assets against $3.27B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.74% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.00 – $35.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 115.2x trailing P/E and 20.2x EV/EBITDA against 14.6% operating margins and a 1.12x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Investors should watch whether the rental network performance cited in the news flow translates into reported revenue, given the debt load.

  • Key Question #1: Can EQPT sustain or expand its 14.6% operating margin and 6.7% ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.04B and free cash flow of $172.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.27B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EQPT's 107.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.12x)?

EQPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EQPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EQPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EQPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EQPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.16 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Recent news flow includes a raised outlook and a rental-network-driven 2026 forecast boost, with FY 2025 operating income of $297.0M ab

The street is overcomplicating EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT). Recent news flow includes a raised outlook and a rental-network-driven 2026 forecast boost, with FY 2025 operating income of $297.0M above FY 2024's $218.0M.. With an RQD score of 37/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $18.55.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $17.18 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.43 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $17.18

Debt of $3.27B against cash of $306.0M, an Altman Z of 1.22, and a Debt/Equity of 6.19 leave a fragile balance sheet with a net margi

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short EQPT above $17.18. Debt of $3.27B against cash of $306.0M, an Altman Z of 1.22, and a Debt/Equity of 6.19 leave a fragile balance sheet with a net margin of only 2%.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (3.74%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $35.50.

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