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Why EMBJ Stock surged +2.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$75.32 +2.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.53

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.26B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EMBJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Embraer S.A. (NYSE: EMBJ) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $75.32 (+2.62% 1D, market cap $13.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, EMBJ ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EMBJ compare to TXT and SARO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EMBJ carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TXT (Textron Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $14.52B) and SARO (StandardAero Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $7.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TXT leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while SARO leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBJ?
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For Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #87 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.53 (+0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$91 Bull$77 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE EMBJ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EMBJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EMBJ SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 7.3% FCF Margin ($293.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$71.49+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$72.90-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$72.11+4.5% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$75.32+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EMBJ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, EMBJ faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($73.86) or 200D SMA ($67.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($77.01) toward Bear Floor ($60.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EMBJ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EMBJ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why EMBJ Stock surged +2.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) surged +2.62% to $75.32, trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($53.56 – $80.75). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($53.56 – $80.75) with RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.4% around $75.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $293.1M annual free cash flow.
Live EMBJ Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EMBJ Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EMBJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $75.91H $75.91L $73.40C $75.32VOL 1.32M
RES: $78.41SUP: $65.33SMA50: $73.86SMA200: $67.66
$81.59$74.00$66.40$58.80$51.20RES $78.41SUP $65.33$75.322026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EMBJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EMBJ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EMBJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EMBJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EMBJ)

Industrials Rank #87 of 486 ⚔️ TXT vs EMBJ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EMBJ vs. TXT, SARO, AVAV, JOBY)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #84 by equity capitalization ($13.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TXT leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while SARO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 14.8% gross margin. EMBJ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EMBJ ACTIVE
Embraer S.A.
C 63/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.62% $13.26B Benchmark Subject
TXT
Textron Inc.
C 63/100 16.3x — 8.9% +3.30% $14.52B /txt-vs-embj →
SARO
StandardAero Inc.
D+ 57/100 18.3x 14.8% 10.7% +7.49% $7.74B /saro-vs-embj →
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc.
E 27/100 — 25.3% -7.6% -2.40% $6.41B /avav-vs-embj →
JOBY
Joby Aviation Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -1.84% $4.87B /joby-vs-embj →

2. EMBJ Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) operates in Aerospace (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $13.26B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. EMBJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EMBJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Embraer S.A. (NYSE: EMBJ) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $75.32 (+2.62% 1D, market cap $13.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, EMBJ ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EMBJ compare to TXT and SARO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EMBJ carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TXT (Textron Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $14.52B) and SARO (StandardAero Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $7.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TXT leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while SARO leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBJ?

For Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs and sector rank #87 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EMBJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EMBJ last traded at $75.32 (+2.62% on volume of 1,213,952 shares), positioning the stock +1.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($73.86) and +11.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($67.66). Across its 52-week range of $53.56 to $80.75, EMBJ sits at the 80.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($69.75 to $80.89).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EMBJ — Embraer S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $75.32 (+2.62% 1D, market capitalization $13.26B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Aerospace industry,. Revenue lines, customers, and revenue model are — Gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data, which is not sufficient to describe the business model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.21% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $53.56 – $80.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Aerospace (Industrials), EMBJ carries a macro regime beta of 0.96 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can EMBJ sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $80.75 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EMBJ's 27.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

EMBJ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EMBJ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EMBJ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $75.32?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EMBJ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EMBJ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $90.28 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong institutional accumulation (16/20 whale flow) and a forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) su

The street is overcomplicating Embraer S.A. (EMBJ). Strong institutional accumulation (16/20 whale flow) and a forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) support the rating.. With an RQD score of 63/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $79.27.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $73.40 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $60.92 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $73.40

Trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 sit well above a 2.21% FCF yield, leaving limited cash cushion against the valuation.

Trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 sit well above a 2.21% FCF yield, leaving limited cash cushion against the valuation.. Look at the math on EMBJ: paying 32.8x trailing P/E for 9.9% ROIC and 13.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Aerospace demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $64.59 before getting long.

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