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Embecta Corp. (EMBC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.19 -0.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.17

Embecta Corp. (EMBC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $354.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EMBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ: EMBC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $6.19 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $354.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, EMBC ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EMBC compare to MOBI and CLPT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), EMBC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.9x, gross margin of 62.6%, and ROIC of 35.5%. By comparison, MOBI (Mobia Medical Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $352.2M) and CLPT (ClearPoint Neuro Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $342.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMBC leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while EMBC leads on capital efficiency (35.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBC?
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Per EMBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001872789), Embecta Corp. generated $1.08B in revenue (-3.8% YoY), $95.4M in net income, and $182.4M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (62.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.17 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 16.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C-
Cash (19)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$16 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE EMBC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EMBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EMBC SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.9% FCF Margin ($182.4M FCF) & 62.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$6.20+3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$6.42+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$6.55-5.5% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$6.19+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EMBC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, EMBC faces multiple-compression risk if 3.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 60.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.79) or 200D SMA ($6.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.47) toward Bear Floor ($5.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EMBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EMBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (EMBC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for EMBC.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EMBC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EMBC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EMBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.08%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $6.56H $6.56L $6.19C $6.19VOL 831.1K
RES: $7.14SUP: $3.73SMA50: $5.79SMA200: $6.38
$12.52$9.88$7.23$4.59$1.95RES $7.14SUP $3.73$6.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EMBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EMBC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EMBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EMBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EMBC)

Health Care Rank #95 of 1015 ⚔️ MOBI vs EMBC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (EMBC vs. MOBI, CLPT, OFIX, SI)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Embecta Corp. (EMBC) ranks #95 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #493 by equity capitalization ($354.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EMBC leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while EMBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.5% ROIC and 62.6% gross margin. EMBC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EMBC ACTIVE
Embecta Corp.
C+ 68/100 3.9x 62.6% 35.5% -0.96% $354.1M Benchmark Subject
MOBI
Mobia Medical Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -4.82% $352.2M /mobi-vs-embc →
CLPT
ClearPoint Neuro Inc.
E 19/100 — 61.4% -35.0% -6.75% $342.0M /clpt-vs-embc →
OFIX
Orthofix Medical Inc.
D- 42/100 — 68.8% -12.2% -3.53% $369.4M /ofix-vs-embc →
SI
Shoulder Innovations Inc.
D 44/100 — 76.5% -16.1% +0.99% $398.3M /si-vs-embc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001872789 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Embecta Corp. (EMBC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (-3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $95.4M, operating cash flow of $191.7M, and free cash flow of $182.4M (+816.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, EMBC closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $1.35B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.08B $95.4M $191.7M $182.4M $1.06B $1.35B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.12B $78.3M $35.7M $19.9M $1.15B $1.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.12B $70.4M $67.7M $67.7M — —

3. EMBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EMBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Embecta Corp. (NASDAQ: EMBC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $6.19 (-0.96% 1D, market cap $354.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, EMBC ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EMBC compare to MOBI and CLPT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), EMBC carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.9x, gross margin of 62.6%, and ROIC of 35.5%. By comparison, MOBI (Mobia Medical Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $352.2M) and CLPT (ClearPoint Neuro Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $342.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMBC leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while EMBC leads on capital efficiency (35.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBC?

Per EMBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001872789), Embecta Corp. generated $1.08B in revenue (-3.8% YoY), $95.4M in net income, and $182.4M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $1.35B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (62.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EMBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EMBC last traded at $6.19 (-0.96% on volume of 658,267 shares), positioning the stock +6.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.79) and -2.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.38). Across its 52-week range of $2.77 to $14.91, EMBC sits at the 28.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($5.60 to $6.78).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EMBC — Embecta Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Embecta Corp. (EMBC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $6.19 (-0.96% 1D, market capitalization $354.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (19/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 35.5%, gross margin of 62.6%, operating margin of 22.4%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Embecta Corp. (EMBC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Its market capitalization is $0.4B. Per the market data, its gross margin is 62.6%, operating margin 22.4%, and net margin 8.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Embecta Corp. (EMBC) reported $1.08B in annual revenue (up from $1.12B in FY2024, -3.8% YoY) and $95.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.12B revenue, $70.4M net income) through FY2025, EMBC scaled operating cash flow to $191.7M and free cash flow to $182.4M, backed by $1.06B in total assets against $1.35B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Strong cash generator (62.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.77 – $14.91 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 3.9x trailing P/E and 6.1x EV/EBITDA against 22.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain: NONE; butterfly links: none; proprietary signals: none.

  • Key Question #1: Can EMBC sustain or expand its 22.4% operating margin and 35.5% ROIC against Medical/Dental Instruments peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.08B and free cash flow of $182.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.35B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EMBC's 3.6x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

EMBC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Embecta Corp. (EMBC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EMBC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EMBC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EMBC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EMBC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.56 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 35.5% and FY 2025 operating income up to $242.1M from $166.8M point to strong cash-generation economics.

ROIC of 35.5% and FY 2025 operating income up to $242.1M from $166.8M point to strong cash-generation economics.. When you look under the hood at EMBC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 19/20 with 62.6% gross margins and 35.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $14.91. My 12M target is $7.56.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $6.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.75 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $6.25

A law-firm investigation notice and a 52–55% decline in the news wire, alongside $1.35B of debt and a 0% FCF yield, raise open questi

A law-firm investigation notice and a 52–55% decline in the news wire, alongside $1.35B of debt and a 0% FCF yield, raise open questions about the stock's risk profile.. Look at the math on EMBC: paying 3.9x trailing P/E for 35.5% ROIC and 22.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Medical/Dental Instruments demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $5.50 before getting long.

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