Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.55 -2.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.49

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.04B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ELPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (NYSE: ELPC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.55 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $8.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, ELPC ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ELPC compare to IDA and ENLT in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELPC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDA (IDACORP Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $8.31B) and ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OGE leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while OGE leads on capital efficiency (6.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELPC?
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For Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #77 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.49 (-0.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$15 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE ELPC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELPC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.6% FCF Margin ($225.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$14.18-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$13.95-19.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$11.19-5.7% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$10.55-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ELPC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ELPC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.55) and Max Pain ($11.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ELPC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.55: 947.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.78
$7,374
$-2,626 (-26.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.98
$9,460
$-540 (-5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.24
$14,445
+$4,445 (+44.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ELPC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ELPC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ELPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $10.96H $10.96L $10.55C $10.55VOL 785.2K
RES: $15.28SUP: $9.88SMA50: $12.55SMA200: $11.81
$14.83$13.51$12.18$10.86$9.54RES $15.28SUP $9.88$10.552026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELPC)

Utilities Rank #77 of 117 ⚔️ IDA vs ELPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (ELPC vs. IDA, ENLT, TXNM, OGE)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) ranks #77 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #49 by equity capitalization ($8.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OGE leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while OGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.1% ROIC and 60.5% gross margin. OGE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ELPC at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ELPC ACTIVE
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) )
D 46/100 — — — -2.13% $8.04B Benchmark Subject
IDA
IDACORP Inc.
D 44/100 25.7x — 4.2% +1.23% $8.31B /ida-vs-elpc →
ENLT
Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.
D+ 52/100 — — — -3.74% $9.61B /enlt-vs-elpc →
TXNM
TXNM Energy Inc.
C- 59/100 38.0x — 4.1% -0.46% $6.46B /txnm-vs-elpc →
OGE
OGE Energy Corp
C+ 69/100 21.7x 60.5% 6.1% +0.20% $10.21B /oge-vs-elpc →

2. ELPC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) operates in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $8.04B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ELPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (NYSE: ELPC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.55 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $8.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, ELPC ranks #77 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ELPC compare to IDA and ENLT in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELPC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDA (IDACORP Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $8.31B) and ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OGE leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while OGE leads on capital efficiency (6.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELPC?

For Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #77 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ELPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELPC last traded at $10.55 (-2.13% on volume of 575,949 shares), positioning the stock -15.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.55) and -10.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.81). Across its 52-week range of $8.86 to $14.51, ELPC sits at the 29.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($9.85 to $11.25).

ELPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ELPC's 12-month stock price target?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.98 (-5.4% from $10.55), with a bull-case target of $15.24 and a bear-case floor of $7.78.

Is ELPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ELPC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 46/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ELPC — Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ELPC scores 46 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 12 of 20, with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, indicating the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital or free-cash-flow yield. Whale 13F Flow scores 4 of 20, the weakest pillar, reflecting the institutional accumulation and options positioning signal. Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 8 of 20, with Beta at 1.0 and the sector sensitivity reading provided. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the composite profile points to weak cash-generation signals and weak institutional and insider conviction, partially offset by a moderate balance-sheet reading. The source data does not provide the earnings, valuation multiples, or analyst inputs needed to test whether the current price of $10.78 reflects any discount to fundamentals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures, given that the financials section is empty?
  • Why do ROIC, FCF yield, and all margin figures read 0%, and is this a data gap or an actual absence of profitability?
  • What is the trailing and forward earnings base, since P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all unavailable?
  • What are the institutional 13F, insider Form 4, and Congressional PTR holdings behind the weak Whale and Insider pillar scores?
  • What specific catalysts or risk events are in view, given the empty news and catalyst section?

ELPC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ELPC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Copel Unsponsored ADR (ELPC): Can Its 8.2% Jump Turn into More Strength? • 27d ago
Strength Seen in Companhia Paranaense de Energia

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - Copel Unsponsored ADR (ELPC) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might not help the stock continue moving

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ELPC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.55?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ELPC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ELPC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.64 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ELPC (D • RQD 46/100) a Buy at $10.78?

Welcome to the ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) )) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 46/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.06 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $10.78

Pump the brakes on ELPC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ELPC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.83 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $10.78

ELPC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ELPC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.78 (52-wk range $8.86 - $14.51), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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