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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$48.68 -0.83% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.51

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EDU Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EDU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (NYSE: EDU) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $48.68 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $7.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, EDU ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EDU compare to TAL and GHC in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), EDU carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of 54.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, TAL (TAL Education Group) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $5.47B) and GHC (Graham Holdings Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $4.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LAUR leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDU?
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Per EDU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001372920), New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) generated $5.66B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $475.2M in net income, and $780.2M in free cash flow against $6.79B in total assets and $1.59B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.51 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 13.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (4)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
$68 Bull$51 Base$40 Bear
📬 FREE EDU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EDU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EDU SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.92 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$57.58+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$59.50-14.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$50.72-4% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$48.68+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EDU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, EDU faces multiple-compression risk if 16.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($56.40) or 200D SMA ($54.11) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.09) toward Bear Floor ($39.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EDU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EDU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 29, 2026 (~25 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$3.12 Expected Swing
$45.56 (-6.4%)Spot $48.68$51.80 (+6.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

EDU Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $3.07 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.5%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-05-31$5.66B$475.2M$780.2M54.6%
FY 20242025-05-31$4.90B$371.7M$654.7M55.4%
FY 20232024-05-31$4.31B$309.6M$928.5M54.6%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EDU & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EDU
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EDU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.39%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $49.09H $49.09L $48.68C $48.68VOL 780.1K
RES: $62.10SUP: $47.61SMA50: $56.40SMA200: $54.11
$62.85$57.81$52.77$47.73$42.69RES $62.10SUP $47.61$48.682026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EDU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EDU Butterfly Map → + Track EDU →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EDU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EDU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EDU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EDU)

Real Estate Rank #7 of 51 ⚔️ TAL vs EDU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (EDU vs. TAL, GHC, LAUR, CVSA)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) ranks #7 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #3 by equity capitalization ($7.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while LAUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and 28.3% gross margin. CVSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with EDU at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EDU ACTIVE
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands)
C+ 69/100 16.0x 54.6% 21.3% -0.83% $7.55B Benchmark Subject
TAL
TAL Education Group
C 63/100 10.6x 55.4% 12.4% -2.66% $5.47B /tal-vs-edu →
GHC
Graham Holdings Company
C 63/100 16.8x — 3.5% +0.56% $4.87B /ghc-vs-edu →
LAUR
Laureate Education Inc.
B- 70/100 17.6x 28.3% 30.6% -7.75% $4.51B /laur-vs-edu →
CVSA
Covista Inc.
B 74/100 18.4x 56.9% 14.8% -3.44% $4.13B /cvsa-vs-edu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0001372920 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) reported GAAP revenue of $5.66B (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.90B , and +31.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $475.2M, operating cash flow of $1.03B, and free cash flow of $780.2M (+19.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, EDU closed FY2025 with $6.79B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.92, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $5.66B $475.2M $1.03B $780.2M $6.79B $1.59B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $4.90B $371.7M $896.6M $654.7M $5.88B $1.38B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-31 $4.31B $309.6M $1.12B $928.5M $5.18B $1.21B

3. EDU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EDU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (NYSE: EDU) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $48.68 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $7.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, EDU ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EDU compare to TAL and GHC in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), EDU carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of 54.6%, and ROIC of 21.3%. By comparison, TAL (TAL Education Group) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $5.47B) and GHC (Graham Holdings Company) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $4.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAL leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while LAUR leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDU?

Per EDU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001372920), New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) generated $5.66B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $475.2M in net income, and $780.2M in free cash flow against $6.79B in total assets and $1.59B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EDU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EDU last traded at $48.68 (-0.83% on volume of 780,125 shares), positioning the stock -13.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.40) and -10.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($54.11). Across its 52-week range of $44.25 to $64.97, EDU sits at the 21.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($45.56 to $51.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: EDU RQD Cockpit EDU 12M Forecast EDU Earnings & Move EDU Dividends & DRIP EDU Insiders & 13F EDU Whale Options EDU Profit Sankey EDU News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EDU — New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $48.68 (-0.83% 1D, market capitalization $7.55B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 21.3%, gross margin of 54.6%, operating margin of 11.4%, and free cash flow yield of 10.25%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.96x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.92, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) trades on the NYSE under ticker EDU. The sector is listed as Real Estate and the industry as Other Consumer Services. Gross margin is 54.6%, operating margin 11.4%, and net margin 8.4% per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) reported $5.66B in annual revenue (up from $4.90B in FY2024, +15.5% YoY) and $475.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.31B revenue, $309.6M net income) through FY2025, EDU scaled operating cash flow to $1.03B and free cash flow to $780.2M, backed by $6.79B in total assets against $1.59B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (54.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $44.25 – $64.97 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.0x trailing P/E and 9.3x EV/EBITDA against 11.4% operating margins and a 0.96x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector is Real Estate and industry is Other Consumer Services. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be determined from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can EDU sustain or expand its 11.4% operating margin and 21.3% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.66B and free cash flow of $780.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.59B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EDU's 13.4x forward P/E multiple to Real Estate capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.96x)?

EDU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. Sponsored ADR representing 10 Ordinary Share (Cayman Islands) (EDU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EDU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EDU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $48.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EDU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EDU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.26 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20, ROIC 21.3%, FCF yield 10.25%) and Insider Conviction (19/20) pillars are the st

Long EDU at $48.68 targeting $64.26. Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20, ROIC 21.3%, FCF yield 10.25%) and Insider Conviction (19/20) pillars are the strongest contributors to the score.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $44.25 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EDU's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.43 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $48.68

Per the RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 5/20 and Macro Regime Fit scores 11/20, while reported debt rose from $1211.3

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short EDU above $48.68. Per the RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 5/20 and Macro Regime Fit scores 11/20, while reported debt rose from $1.21B to $1.59B across the three periods shown.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20) and FCF yield (10.25%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $64.97.

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