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Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.05 -0.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.02

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.11B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ECVT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $10.05 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ECVT ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ECVT compare to GPRE and FMC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ECVT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $988.3M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $964.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?
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Per ECVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001708035), Ecovyst Inc. generated $723.5M in revenue (+20.9% YoY), -$71.1M in net income, and $69.9M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $392.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.02 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$16 Bull$10 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE ECVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ECVT SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($69.9M FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$10.08-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$10.07-1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$9.97+0.8% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$10.05-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ECVT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ECVT currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.16) and Max Pain ($10.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ECVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ECVT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.05: 995.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.49
$7,453
$-2,547 (-25.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.60
$9,552
$-448 (-4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.84
$15,761
+$5,761 (+57.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ECVT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ECVT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ECVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.82%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $10.24H $10.24L $10.05C $10.05VOL 1.34M
RES: $10.26SUP: $9.33SMA50: $10.16SMA200: $11.81
$15.48$13.87$12.27$10.67$9.06RES $10.26SUP $9.33$10.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ECVT Butterfly Map → + Track ECVT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECVT)

Materials Rank #100 of 270 ⚔️ GPRE vs ECVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ECVT vs. GPRE, FMC, REX, FTK)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) ranks #100 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #130 by equity capitalization ($1.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REX leads on earnings valuation at 15.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. FTK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ECVT at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ECVT ACTIVE
Ecovyst Inc.
D 48/100 — 21.8% 6.4% -0.69% $1.11B Benchmark Subject
GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
D 44/100 — 72.5% -5.6% -2.20% $988.3M /gpre-vs-ecvt →
FMC
FMC Corporation
E 30/100 — 37.0% -30.2% +4.84% $964.4M /fmc-vs-ecvt →
REX
REX American Resources Corporation
D+ 57/100 15.5x 19.3% 13.6% -1.32% $1.30B /rex-vs-ecvt →
FTK
Flotek Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 30.5x 25.2% 17.1% -7.42% $918.2M /ftk-vs-ecvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001708035 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) reported GAAP revenue of $723.5M (+20.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $598.3M , and +23.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.1M, operating cash flow of $140.3M, and free cash flow of $69.9M (-25.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECVT closed FY2025 with $1.26B in total assets against $392.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.68, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $723.5M -$71.1M $140.3M $69.9M $1.26B $392.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $598.3M -$6.7M $149.9M $94.3M $1.80B $852.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $584.8M $71.2M $137.6M $137.6M — —

3. ECVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $10.05 (-0.69% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ECVT ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ECVT compare to GPRE and FMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ECVT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $988.3M) and FMC (FMC Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.2%, cap $964.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?

Per ECVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001708035), Ecovyst Inc. generated $723.5M in revenue (+20.9% YoY), -$71.1M in net income, and $69.9M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $392.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ECVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECVT last traded at $10.05 (-0.69% on volume of 1,296,559 shares), positioning the stock -1.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.16) and -14.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.81). Across its 52-week range of $7.41 to $15.09, ECVT sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($9.56 to $10.54).

Direct Sub-Reports: ECVT RQD Cockpit ECVT 12M Forecast ECVT Earnings & Move ECVT Dividends & DRIP ECVT Insiders & 13F ECVT Whale Options ECVT Profit Sankey ECVT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ECVT — Ecovyst Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.05 (-0.69% 1D, market capitalization $1.11B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of 21.8%, operating margin of 9.0%, and free cash flow yield of 6.24%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.68, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.65x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ecovyst Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Major Chemicals industry. What the source data does show is scale: FY 2025 revenue of $723.5M and a gross margin of 21.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) reported $723.5M in annual revenue (up from $598.3M in FY2024, +20.9% YoY) and -$71.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($584.8M revenue, $71.2M net income) through FY2025, ECVT scaled operating cash flow to $140.3M and free cash flow to $69.9M, backed by $1.26B in total assets against $392.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.24% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.41 – $15.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 10.6x EV/EBITDA against 9.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are — The only sector context available is the classification as Materials / Major Chemicals and the Beta of 1.0.

  • Key Question #1: Can ECVT sustain or expand its 9.0% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $723.5M and free cash flow of $69.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $392.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ECVT's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ECVT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ECVT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ECVT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ECVT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ECVT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.75 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Debt fell from $852.1M to $392.6M while FCF stayed positive at $69.9M, giving a 6.24% FCF yield.

Long ECVT at $10.12 targeting $12.75. Debt fell from $852.1M to $392.6M while FCF stayed positive at $69.9M, giving a 6.24% FCF yield.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $7.41 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $10.12 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.40 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $10.12

Net income swung from $71.2M in FY 2023 to -$71.1M in FY 2025 with a 1.68 Altman Z-Score and a D-grade RQD verdict.

Fading this rally in ECVT at $10.12. Net income swung from $71.2M in FY 2023 to -$71.1M in FY 2025 with a 1.68 Altman Z-Score and a D-grade RQD verdict.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $10.12 (52-wk range $7.41–$15.09), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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