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Why DVN Stock dropped -6.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$48.63 -6.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.16

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 81/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $57.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DVN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DVN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE: DVN) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $48.63 (-6.75% 1D, market cap $57.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DVN ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DVN compare to FANG and OKE in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DVN carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.8%. By comparison, FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 2.0%, cap $59.39B) and OKE (ONEOK Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DVN?
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Per DVN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001090012), Devon Energy Corporation generated $16.79B in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $2.64B in net income, and $5.96B in free cash flow against $31.60B in total assets and $7.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.16 (-0.97%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 35.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 81/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 8% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510081
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B+
Cash (15)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.3% Base Target
$63 Bull$54 Base$40 Bear
📬 FREE DVN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DVN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (81/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DVN SCORES 81/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.54 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 18.6% operating margin leave 5 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
89
Grade A$49.92-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
86
Grade A$49.87+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
84
Grade A$51.27-5.1% Next Q
Current
81
Grade A-$48.63+8.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (89) → A- (81)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DVN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 81/100 (A-) score, DVN faces multiple-compression risk if 21.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.11) or 200D SMA ($46.20) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($53.66) toward Bear Floor ($39.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DVN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DVN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why DVN Stock dropped -6.75% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) dropped -6.75% to $48.63, trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($31.91 – $52.71). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($31.91 – $52.71) with RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $48.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.0B annual free cash flow.
Live DVN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETradingView • 1d ago
Oil Stocks: Values or Traps?

TradingView report covering Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DVN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DVN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $51.17H $52.15L $48.63C $48.63VOL 9.45M
RES: $52.33SUP: $47.93SMA50: $49.11SMA200: $46.20
$53.23$49.29$45.34$41.39$37.45RES $52.33SUP $47.93$48.632026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DVN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DVN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DVN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DVN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DVN)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (DVN vs. FANG, OKE, CVE, OXY)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) ranks #7 by composite RQD confidence (81/100, grade A-) and #33 by equity capitalization ($57.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 81/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DVN ACTIVE
Devon Energy Corporation
A- 81/100 21.3x — 11.8% -6.75% $57.37B Benchmark Subject
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 69/100 37.4x — 2.0% -5.82% $59.39B /fang-vs-dvn →
OKE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% -4.69% $61.20B /oke-vs-dvn →
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 69/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.26% $61.37B /cve-vs-dvn →
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x — 4.3% -5.12% $63.98B /oxy-vs-dvn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001090012 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) reported GAAP revenue of $16.79B (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.92B , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.64B, operating cash flow of $6.71B, and free cash flow of $5.96B (+1.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DVN closed FY2025 with $31.60B in total assets against $7.39B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.54, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.79B $2.64B $6.71B $5.96B $31.60B $7.39B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.92B $2.89B $6.60B $5.88B $30.49B $8.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.14B $3.74B $6.54B $5.86B $30.96B $7.24B

3. DVN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DVN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE: DVN) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 81/100 at a spot price of $48.63 (-6.75% 1D, market cap $57.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DVN ranks #7 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DVN compare to FANG and OKE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DVN carries a Roarable A- (81/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.8%. By comparison, FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 2.0%, cap $59.39B) and OKE (ONEOK Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $61.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DVN?

Per DVN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001090012), Devon Energy Corporation generated $16.79B in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $2.64B in net income, and $5.96B in free cash flow against $31.60B in total assets and $7.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DVN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DVN last traded at $48.63 (-6.75% on volume of 11,369,682 shares), positioning the stock -0.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($49.11) and +5.26% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.20). Across its 52-week range of $31.91 to $52.71, DVN sits at the 80.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($46.25 to $51.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 81/100 (A-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DVN — Devon Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 81/100, corresponding to a A- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $48.63 (-6.75% 1D, market capitalization $57.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.2%, and free cash flow yield of 10.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.54, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.48x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Devon Energy Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating in the Oil & Gas Production industry. Per the market data, the company reports an operating margin of 19.2% and a net margin of 15.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) reported $16.79B in annual revenue (up from $15.92B in FY2024, +5.4% YoY) and $2.64B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($15.14B revenue, $3.74B net income) through FY2025, DVN scaled operating cash flow to $6.71B and free cash flow to $5.96B, backed by $31.60B in total assets against $7.39B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (A- • RQD 81/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $31.91 – $52.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 21.3x trailing P/E and 16.1x EV/EBITDA against 19.2% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector-level signal in the source is the TradingView framing of the oil sector as a possible value trap or value opportunity. An investor should monitor how commodity price moves propagate to DVN's cash generation, since the FCF yield and ROIC metrics depend on sector economics the source does not quantify.

  • Key Question #1: Can DVN sustain or expand its 19.2% operating margin and 11.8% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $16.79B and free cash flow of $5.96B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.39B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DVN's 19.8x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

DVN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DVN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DVN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $48.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DVN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DVN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $66.23 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 10.58% FCF yield and 17/20 whale-flow score point to strong cash generation and institutional accumulati

Per the Roarable RQD rating, a 10.58% FCF yield and 17/20 whale-flow score point to strong cash generation and institutional accumulation.. When you look under the hood at DVN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 11.8% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (18/20) has been quietly accumulating below $52.71. My 12M target is $66.23.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 81/100 quality, though with 1.08 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $52.15 and keeping dry powder in case we test $48.50.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.63 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $52.15

Per the market data, the price of $51.17 sits near the top of its $31.91 to $52.71 range, and net income fell from $3.74B to $2.64B

Fading this rally in DVN at $52.15. Per the market data, the price of $51.17 sits near the top of its $31.91 to $52.71 range, and net income fell from $3.74B to $2.64B over FY 2023 to FY 2025.. With a beta of 1.08 and the stock sitting at $52.15 (52-wk range $31.91–$52.71), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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