Should I buy, hold, or sell DSGR stock right now?

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 33% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is DSGR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DSGR's 12-month base price target is $35.31 (range $27.54 to $41.67), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DSGR

WLFC (45) PII (39) ADSE (48) DOO (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$35.00 +0.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.94

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.62B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DSGR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DSGR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $35.00 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DSGR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), DSGR carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $949.0M) and PII (Polaris Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $3.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?

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Per DSGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000703604), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $62.8M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $664.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.94 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DSGR SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.45 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.3) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$35.07-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$35.04-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$35.02-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$35.00+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DSGR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, DSGR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.92) or 200D SMA ($30.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.31) toward Bear Floor ($27.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DSGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DSGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

51.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.45>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

9 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE98% OF RANGE

L: $19$35.00H: $35

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DSGR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

4.9% ROIC with 33.4% gross margin and 3.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.45 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DSGR

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DSGR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DSGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.63%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $35.01H $35.01L $34.98C $35.00VOL 429.0K

RES: $35.40SUP: $34.91SMA50: $34.92SMA200: $30.33

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DSGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DSGR Butterfly Map → + Track DSGR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSGR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #328 of 1011 ⚔️ WLFC vs DSGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DSGR vs. WLFC, PII, ADSE, DOO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #445 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLFC leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while WLFC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DSGR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DSGR ACTIVE Distribution Solutions Group Inc.	C-	60/100	—	33.4%	4.9%	+0.06%	$1.62B	Benchmark Subject
WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation	D	45/100	8.4x	—	12.8%	+5.67%	$949.0M	/wlfc-vs-dsgr →
PII Polaris Inc.	D-	39/100	—	19.1%	-11.5%	+5.32%	$3.38B	/pii-vs-dsgr →
ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC	D	48/100	—	—	—	-10.38%	$738.5M	/adse-vs-dsgr →
DOO BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares	D	51/100	—	—	—	+3.41%	$4.35B	/doo-vs-dsgr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000703604

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.98B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $83.8M, and free cash flow of $62.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSGR closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $664.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.45, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.98B	$8.3M	$83.8M	$62.8M	$1.75B	$664.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.80B	-$7.3M	$56.5M	$42.8M	$1.73B	$693.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.57B	-$9.0M	$102.3M	$102.3M	—	—

3. DSGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?

Where is DSGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DSGR last traded at $35.00 (+0.06% on volume of 387,521 shares), positioning the stock +0.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.92) and +15.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.33). Across its 52-week range of $19.02 to $35.30, DSGR sits at the 98.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($34.37 to $35.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: DSGR RQD Cockpit DSGR 12M Forecast DSGR Earnings & Move DSGR Dividends & DRIP DSGR Insiders & 13F DSGR Whale Options DSGR Profit Sankey DSGR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DSGR — Distribution Solutions Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $35.00 (+0.06% 1D, market capitalization $1.62B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.9%, gross margin of 33.4%, operating margin of 4.0%, and free cash flow yield of 3.88%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.45, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.02x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Industrial Specialties industry, with a market capitalization of $1.6B. — regarding specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. The gross margin of 33.4% and operating margin of 4% per the market data indicate a distribution-oriented cost structure, but the source does not describe the products or customers themselves.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) reported $1.98B in annual revenue (up from $1.80B in FY2024, +9.8% YoY) and $8.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.57B revenue, -$9.0M net income) through FY2025, DSGR scaled operating cash flow to $83.8M and free cash flow to $62.8M, backed by $1.75B in total assets against $664.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.88% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.02 – $35.30 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 23.1x EV/EBITDA against 4.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector-level context provided is the Consumer Discretionary / Industrial Specialties classification and a beta of 1.0. The investor should note that the cited bond offering, if completed, would increase the debt-service dependency of the company, a second-order effect on interest expense that the source does not quantify.

Key Question #1: Can DSGR sustain or expand its 4.0% operating margin and 4.9% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.98B and free cash flow of $62.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $664.2M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is DSGR's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DSGR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DSGR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Distribution Solutions Group Announces Proposed $700 Million Senior Notes Offering

Yahoo Finance report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 23h ago

Distribution Solutions Group prices $800M bond offering for buyout

Investing.com report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

2 Reasons to Like DSGR and 1 to Stay Skeptical

Yahoo Finance report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

The business behind Winzer and FastServ has 270 franchisees. Distribution Solutions Group has acquired it.

Stock Titan report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GlobeNewswire • 1d ago

Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) Investor Alert:

GlobeNewswire report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

1 Industrials Stock to Consider Right Now and 2 We Ignore

The Globe and Mail report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Morningstar • 1d ago

Are DSGR, OPCH, PRTH, UTZ Obtaining Fair Deals for their Shareholders?

Morningstar report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Distribution to be taken private as sponsor-led $700M senior notes financing launched for merger

TradingView report covering Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DSGR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $35.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DSGR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.93 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.45 signal a strong forensic balance sheet alongside institutiona

The street is overcomplicating Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR). Per the RQD rating, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and Altman Z-Score of 2.45 signal a strong forensic balance sheet alongside institutional accumulation.. With an RQD score of 60/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $37.78.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 60/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $34.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $32.53.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.03 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $34.98

Per the market data, a 4.9% ROIC and 0.4% net margin against an EV/EBITDA of 23.1 leave thin returns to justify the valuation.

Per the market data, a 4.9% ROIC and 0.4% net margin against an EV/EBITDA of 23.1 leave thin returns to justify the valuation.. Look at the math on DSGR: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 4.9% ROIC and 4.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Specialties demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $30.78 before getting long.