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Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.83 -1.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.76

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.21B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DRTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (NASDAQ: DRTS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $12.83 (-1.76% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, DRTS ranks #502 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DRTS compare to BVS and AORT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), DRTS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.12B) and AORT (Artivion Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 117.0x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BVS leads on earnings multiple (55.0x) while BVS leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRTS?
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Per DRTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001871321), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. generated $118.4M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$42.6M in net income, and -$32.8M in free cash flow against $105.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.76 (-0.51%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$17 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE DRTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DRTS SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$13.74-4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$13.09+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$13.51-5% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$12.83-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DRTS currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.19) and Max Pain ($13.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DRTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DRTS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DRTS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DRTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DRTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +70.39%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $13.23H $13.23L $12.83C $12.83VOL 475.4K
RES: $17.28SUP: $12.21SMA50: $14.19SMA200: $10.65
$16.53$13.48$10.43$7.38$4.33RES $17.28SUP $12.21$12.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRTS)

Health Care Rank #502 of 1015 ⚔️ BVS vs DRTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (DRTS vs. BVS, AORT, PRCT, TNDM)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) ranks #502 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #332 by equity capitalization ($1.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BVS leads on earnings valuation at 55.0x trailing P/E, while BVS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.4% ROIC and 68.3% gross margin. BVS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with DRTS at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRTS ACTIVE
Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -1.76% $1.21B Benchmark Subject
BVS
Bioventus Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 55.0x 68.3% 10.4% -1.31% $1.12B /bvs-vs-drts →
AORT
Artivion Inc.
D- 40/100 117.0x 64.4% 4.5% +4.43% $1.10B /aort-vs-drts →
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation
D- 38/100 — 63.7% -35.0% +1.25% $1.10B /prct-vs-drts →
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care Inc.
E 28/100 — 53.8% -35.0% -2.30% $1.33B /tndm-vs-drts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001871321 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) reported GAAP revenue of $118.4M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $100.9M , and +18.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$42.6M, operating cash flow of -$26.7M, and free cash flow of -$32.8M (-48.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DRTS closed FY2025 with $105.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $118.4M -$42.6M -$26.7M -$32.8M $105.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $100.9M -$31.8M -$19.8M -$22.0M $86.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $99.9M -$29.2M -$18.0M -$18.0M — —

3. DRTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (NASDAQ: DRTS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $12.83 (-1.76% 1D, market cap $1.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, DRTS ranks #502 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRTS compare to BVS and AORT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), DRTS carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.12B) and AORT (Artivion Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 117.0x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BVS leads on earnings multiple (55.0x) while BVS leads on capital efficiency (10.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRTS?

Per DRTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001871321), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. generated $118.4M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), -$42.6M in net income, and -$32.8M in free cash flow against $105.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRTS last traded at $12.83 (-1.76% on volume of 436,875 shares), positioning the stock -9.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.19) and +20.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.65). Across its 52-week range of $3.43 to $15.79, DRTS sits at the 76.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($11.65 to $14.01).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DRTS — Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.83 (-1.76% 1D, market capitalization $1.21B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -2.68%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Medical/Dental Instruments industry..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) reported $118.4M in annual revenue (up from $100.9M in FY2024, +17.3% YoY) and -$42.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($99.9M revenue, -$29.2M net income) through FY2025, DRTS scaled operating cash flow to -$26.7M and free cash flow to -$32.8M, backed by $105.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.68% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.43 – $15.79 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations therefore cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the classification of Health Care / Medical/Dental Instruments. A prospective investor should note that 2nd-order ripple effects, such as dependence on trial sites, partners, or regulators, are not documented in the supplied data.

  • Key Question #1: Can DRTS sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Medical/Dental Instruments peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $118.4M and free cash flow of -$32.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DRTS's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DRTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DRTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DRTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DRTS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DRTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.19 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Expanded FDA-allowed trials across three U.S. centers and a Samsung Medical Center MOU offer clinical catalysts that could support the

Here is why I am bullish on DRTS here at $13.06: Expanded FDA-allowed trials across three U.S. centers and a Samsung Medical Center MOU offer clinical catalysts that could support the valuation if they convert to commercial progress.. Compare DRTS's 0.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Medical/Dental Instruments. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $12.41 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Medical/Dental Instruments. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.58 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $13.06

With zero reported revenue, ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -2.68%, and cash falling to $12.2M against -$42.6M net loss, the company faces c

Careful chasing DRTS at $13.06. With zero reported revenue, ROIC of -35%, FCF yield of -2.68%, and cash falling to $12.2M against -$42.6M net loss, the company faces cash-burn pressure that the market cap of $1.22B may not reflect.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $10.58 on multiple compression.

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