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Stock Ratings / Materials / DRD / dividends
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DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.96 +1.46% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.98

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.96B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DRD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $22.96 (+1.46% 1D, market cap $1.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DRD ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DRD compare to SIND and PPTA in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), DRD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SIND (Sinda Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.86B) and PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PPTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRD?
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For DRDGOLD Limited (DRD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #141 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.98 (+0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$41 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE DRD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DRD SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.4% FCF Margin ($55.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$24.50+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$25.30-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$24.82-7.5% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$22.96-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DRD currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.76) and Max Pain ($24.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.07%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $24.28H $24.28L $22.63C $22.96VOL 313.1K
RES: $31.50SUP: $22.40SMA50: $25.76SMA200: $27.42
$32.24$28.78$25.32$21.86$18.40RES $31.50SUP $22.40$22.962026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DRD Butterfly Map → + Track DRD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRD)

Materials Rank #141 of 270 ⚔️ SIND vs DRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (DRD vs. SIND, PPTA, EXK, SSMR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #112 by equity capitalization ($1.96B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PPTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. DRD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRD ACTIVE
DRDGOLD Limited
D 45/100 — — — +1.46% $1.96B Benchmark Subject
SIND
Sinda Ltd.
D 44/100 — — — -2.31% $1.86B /sind-vs-drd →
PPTA
Perpetua Resources Corp.
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -3.00% $2.08B /ppta-vs-drd →
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)
D 45/100 — — — +0.28% $2.13B /exk-vs-drd →
SSMR
Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company
D- 42/100 — — — -9.77% $1.76B /ssmr-vs-drd →

2. DRD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $1.96B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. DRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $22.96 (+1.46% 1D, market cap $1.96B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DRD ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRD compare to SIND and PPTA in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), DRD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SIND (Sinda Ltd.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.86B) and PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PPTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRD?

For DRDGOLD Limited (DRD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #141 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRD last traded at $22.96 (+1.46% on volume of 237,069 shares), positioning the stock -10.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.76) and -16.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.42). Across its 52-week range of $19.47 to $39.37, DRD sits at the 17.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($21.49 to $24.43).

Direct Sub-Reports: DRD RQD Cockpit DRD 12M Forecast DRD Earnings & Move DRD Dividends & DRIP DRD Insiders & 13F DRD Whale Options DRD Profit Sankey DRD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DRD — DRDGOLD Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $22.96 (+1.46% 1D, market capitalization $1.96B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

DRDGOLD Limited is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry, with a market capitalization of $2.1B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.47 – $39.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. — Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means the source offers no quantified second-order ripple analysis for this name.

  • Key Question #1: Can DRD sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $39.37 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DRD's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DRD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DRD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DRD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.96?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DRD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DRD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.51 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

Long DRD at $22.63 targeting $28.51. Forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $19.47 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Precious Metals. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.56 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $22.63

Zero reported ROIC and FCF yield, with the stock priced at 24.28 near the low end of its $19.47 – $39.37 range.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on DRD: Zero reported ROIC and FCF yield, with the stock priced at 24.28 near the low end of its $19.47 – $39.37 range.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Precious Metals triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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