Should I buy, hold, or sell DQ stock right now?

DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (DQ) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 25/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DQ's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DQ's 12-month base price target is $9.17 (range $7.15 to $38.42), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Technology / DQ

KOPN (28) AOSL (29) TE (35) CSIQ (22) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (DQ) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.77 -4.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.67

DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (DQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $728.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (NYSE: DQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $10.77 (-4.35% 1D, market cap $728.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, DQ ranks #660 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DQ compare to KOPN and AOSL in the Technology sector?

▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), DQ carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -20.7%, and ROIC of -6.0%. By comparison, KOPN (Kopin Corporation) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $704.5M) and AOSL (Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $696.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DQ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency (2.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DQ?

▼

Per DQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001477641), DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five generated $665.4M in revenue (-35.3% YoY), -$170.5M in net income, and -$123.3M in free cash flow against $6.45B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.67 (-0.97%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DQ SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.84 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$11.09-6.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$10.32+6.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$10.99-2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$10.77-10.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DQ currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.50) and Max Pain ($11.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $38.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DQ• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

1.84>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE

L: $10$10.77H: $37

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on DQ

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-6.0% ROIC with -20.7% gross margin and -16.19% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 1.84 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (18)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DQ

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DQ)

✓Walkthrough of DQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $11.26H $11.26L $10.77C $10.77VOL 621.6K

RES: $11.15SUP: $9.62SMA50: $11.50SMA200: $16.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DQ Butterfly Map → + Track DQ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -35.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DQ)

Technology Rank #660 of 715 ⚔️ KOPN vs DQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DQ vs. KOPN, AOSL, TE, CSIQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (DQ) ranks #660 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #383 by equity capitalization ($728.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DQ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSIQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.4% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. TE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 35/100 (D-) compared with DQ at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DQ ACTIVE DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five	E	25/100	—	-20.7%	-6.0%	-4.35%	$728.8M	Benchmark Subject
KOPN Kopin Corporation	E	28/100	—	—	-20.8%	-5.95%	$704.5M	/kopn-vs-dq →
AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	E	29/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	-7.00%	$696.4M	/aosl-vs-dq →
TE T1 Energy Inc.	D-	35/100	—	7.4%	-35.0%	-5.59%	$808.6M	/te-vs-dq →
CSIQ Canadian Solar Inc. (ON)	E	22/100	—	18.3%	2.4%	-0.96%	$628.0M	/csiq-vs-dq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001477641 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (DQ) reported GAAP revenue of $665.4M (-35.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.03B , and -71.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$170.5M, operating cash flow of $49.7M, and free cash flow of -$123.3M (+84.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DQ closed FY2025 with $6.45B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.84, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$665.4M	-$170.5M	$49.7M	-$123.3M	$6.45B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.03B	-$345.2M	-$435.4M	-$794.3M	$6.42B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.31B	$429.5M	$1.62B	$1.62B	—	—

3. DQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DQ compare to KOPN and AOSL in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DQ?

Where is DQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DQ last traded at $10.77 (-4.35% on volume of 621,588 shares), positioning the stock -6.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.50) and -36.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.90). Across its 52-week range of $9.89 to $36.59, DQ sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($9.84 to $11.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: DQ RQD Cockpit DQ 12M Forecast DQ Earnings & Move DQ Dividends & DRIP DQ Insiders & 13F DQ Whale Options DQ Profit Sankey DQ News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DQ — DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

DAQO New Energy Corp. Each representing five (DQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.77 (-4.35% 1D, market capitalization $728.8M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.0%, gross margin of -20.7%, operating margin of -40.6%, and free cash flow yield of -16.19%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.84, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, with a market capitalization of $0.8B. The products sold, customer base, and revenue model are — The sector and industry classification is the only business-descriptive information provided.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), DAQO New Energy Corp. Each representing five (DQ) reported $665.4M in annual revenue (up from $1.03B in FY2024, -35.3% YoY) and -$170.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.31B revenue, $429.5M net income) through FY2025, DQ scaled operating cash flow to $49.7M and free cash flow to -$123.3M, backed by $6.45B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -16.19% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.89 – $36.59 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -40.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), DQ carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of -20.7%.

Key Question #1: Can DQ sustain or expand its -40.6% operating margin and -6.0% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $665.4M and free cash flow of -$123.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is DQ's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five (DQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DQ Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 1d ago

Daqo New Energy - Depositary Receipt Price Target Decreased by 15.60% to $20.91

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 4d ago

Daqo New Energy (DQ) Stock Fair Value Falls As Analysts Split On Recovery Outlook

Daqo New Energy is back in focus after mixed price target moves, with JPMorgan lowering its target from US$35.50 to US$22 and Goldman Sachs cutting its target to US$10 alongside a Sell rating. These shifts reflect a spli

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 4d ago

Daqo New Energy Corp. Announces Unaudited Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 5d ago

JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Daqo New Energy, Lowers Price Target to $18.5

JP Morgan maintains Daqo New Energy (NYSE:DQ) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $22 to $18.5.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 5d ago

Daqo New Energy (DQ) Q3 Results Deepen Focus On Margin Losses

Daqo New Energy came into its Q3 2026 report with a stock that had already cooled, down over the past month and lower again today by about 3% to US$10.69. The solar materials story around Daqo has long been about low cos

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 6d ago

DAQO New Energy Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

DAQO New Energy (NYSE:DQ) reported sharply higher third-quarter revenue and a narrower net loss as polysilicon shipments rose following a shift toward a more market-oriented sales strategy, while management said the comp

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE SeekingAlpha • 7d ago

Daqo New Energy Corp. (DQ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Daqo New Energy Corp. (DQ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 27, 2026 8:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsJessie Zhao - Investor Relations DirectorXiaoyu XuMing Yang...

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 7d ago

DAQO New Energy Corp-ADR (NYSE:DQ) Q3 Revenue Beats Big, Loss Wider Than Expected

DAQO New Energy Q3 2026 revenue beat at $194.2M vs $63.8M consensus, but non-GAAP loss widened to $0.78; shares rose premarket.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.82 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet and institutional-flow pillars score 7/20 each, supported by a reported cash balance of $856.1M against a 0.5 Debt/Eq

Don't sleep on DQ's setup in Technology. The balance sheet and institutional-flow pillars score 7/20 each, supported by a reported cash balance of $856.1M against a 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (25/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $10.77 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.05 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $10.77

Revenue fell from $2.31B in FY 2023 to $665.4M in FY 2025 while operating margin sits at -40.6% and FCF yield at -16.19%.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short DQ above $10.77. Revenue fell from $2.31B in FY 2023 to $665.4M in FY 2025 while operating margin sits at -40.6% and FCF yield at -16.19%.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20) and FCF yield (-16.19%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $36.59.