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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DIS / options
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Walt Disney Company (DIS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$113.11 +1.96% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $113.78

Walt Disney Company (DIS) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $191.56B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $113.11 (+1.96% 1D, market cap $191.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIS ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DIS compare to LYV and TKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), DIS carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.0%. By comparison, LYV (Live Nation Entertainment Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 84.5x, ROIC 29.5%, cap $41.92B) and TKO (TKO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 61.9x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $34.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DIS leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while LYV leads on capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIS?
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Per DIS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0001744489), Walt Disney Company generated $94.42B in revenue (+3.4% YoY), $12.40B in net income, and $10.08B in free cash flow against $202.09B in total assets and $35.82B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $113.78 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (11)Whales (17)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$142 Bull$120 Base$93 Bear
📬 FREE DIS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DIS SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.4% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 18.6% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$108.99+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$111.83-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$109.04+3.7% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$113.11+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, DIS faces multiple-compression risk if 15.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($107.42) or 200D SMA ($103.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($120.24) toward Bear Floor ($92.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DIS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±3.4%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DIS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DIS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DIS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DIS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
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DIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.65%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $110.9H $113.1L $110.9C $113.1VOL 6.34M
RES: $113.7SUP: $103.7SMA50: $107.4SMA200: $103.4
$114.8$108.8$102.7$96.67$90.61RES $113.7SUP $103.7$113.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DIS Butterfly Map → + Track DIS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
7.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #100 of 1011 ⚔️ LYV vs DIS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIS vs. LYV, TKO, WMG, DKNG)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Walt Disney Company (DIS) ranks #100 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #9 by equity capitalization ($191.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DIS leads on earnings valuation at 15.4x trailing P/E, while LYV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.5% ROIC and — gross margin. DIS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DIS ACTIVE
Walt Disney Company
B 72/100 15.4x — 10.0% +1.96% $191.56B Benchmark Subject
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment Inc.
C- 59/100 84.5x — 29.5% -0.42% $41.92B /lyv-vs-dis →
TKO
TKO Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 54/100 61.9x — 9.9% +2.47% $34.20B /tko-vs-dis →
WMG
Warner Music Group Corp.
D+ 54/100 43.7x 45.8% 14.3% +1.14% $16.02B /wmg-vs-dis →
DKNG
DraftKings Inc.
D- 41/100 — 41.3% -1.1% +4.30% $10.38B /dkng-vs-dis →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0001744489

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported GAAP revenue of $94.42B (+3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $91.36B , and +6.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.40B, operating cash flow of $18.10B, and free cash flow of $10.08B (+17.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIS closed FY2025 with $202.09B in total assets against $35.82B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.28, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $94.42B $12.40B $18.10B $10.08B $202.09B $35.82B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $91.36B $4.97B $13.97B $8.56B $197.05B $38.69B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $88.90B $2.35B $9.87B $5.87B $106.68B $24.96B

3. DIS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $113.11 (+1.96% 1D, market cap $191.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIS ranks #100 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DIS compare to LYV and TKO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), DIS carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.0%. By comparison, LYV (Live Nation Entertainment Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 84.5x, ROIC 29.5%, cap $41.92B) and TKO (TKO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 61.9x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $34.20B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DIS leads on earnings multiple (15.4x) while LYV leads on capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIS?

Per DIS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0001744489), Walt Disney Company generated $94.42B in revenue (+3.4% YoY), $12.40B in net income, and $10.08B in free cash flow against $202.09B in total assets and $35.82B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DIS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIS last traded at $113.11 (+1.96% on volume of 7,446,082 shares), positioning the stock +5.30% above its 50-day simple moving average ($107.42) and +9.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($103.44). Across its 52-week range of $92.19 to $117.09, DIS sits at the 84.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.4% ($109.26 to $116.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: DIS RQD Cockpit DIS 12M Forecast DIS Earnings & Move DIS Dividends & DRIP DIS Insiders & 13F DIS Whale Options DIS Profit Sankey DIS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DIS — Walt Disney Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Walt Disney Company (DIS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $113.11 (+1.96% 1D, market capitalization $191.56B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 18.6%, and free cash flow yield of 5.26%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.88x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.28, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.33x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. — for further detail on how the business earns revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-27), Walt Disney Company (DIS) reported $94.42B in annual revenue (up from $91.36B in FY2024, +3.4% YoY) and $12.40B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($88.90B revenue, $2.35B net income) through FY2025, DIS scaled operating cash flow to $18.10B and free cash flow to $10.08B, backed by $202.09B in total assets against $35.82B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $92.19 – $117.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 15.4x trailing P/E and 9.1x EV/EBITDA against 18.6% operating margins and a 0.88x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottlenecks for DIS.

  • Key Question #1: Can DIS sustain or expand its 18.6% operating margin and 10.0% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $94.42B and free cash flow of $10.08B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $35.82B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DIS's 14.3x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.88x)?

DIS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Walt Disney Company (DIS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DIS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DIS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $113.11?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DIS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DIS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $137.57 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional and insider signals are supportive (16/20 each) alongside a sound balance sheet (Altman Z 2.28, Piotroski F 7/9), with a

Here is why I am bullish on DIS here at $110.94: Institutional and insider signals are supportive (16/20 each) alongside a sound balance sheet (Altman Z 2.28, Piotroski F 7/9), with a beta of 0.88.. Compare DIS's 18.6% operating margin and 10.0% ROIC against the rest of Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $105.39 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on 15.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $95.41 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $110.94

Cash-return metrics are only moderate, with ROIC of 10% and FCF yield of 5.26%, earning the lowest pillar score of 11/20.

Careful chasing DIS at $110.94. Cash-return metrics are only moderate, with ROIC of 10% and FCF yield of 5.26%, earning the lowest pillar score of 11/20.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 18.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $95.41 on multiple compression.

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