How profitable is Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), DDL converted $3.5B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0.5% operating margin, and $51.2M in free cash flow (1.5% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DDL / financials

HNST (48) SFIX (19) QVCG (33) BWMX (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.92 +2.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.92

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $444.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DDL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DDL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (NYSE: DDL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.92 (+2.13% 1D, market cap $444.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DDL ranks #486 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DDL compare to HNST and SFIX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), DDL carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 65.3%. By comparison, HNST (The Honest Company Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.2%, cap $447.4M) and SFIX (Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.9%, cap $360.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DDL?

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Per DDL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001854545), Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) generated $3.48B in revenue (+10.2% YoY), $33.1M in net income, and $51.2M in free cash flow against $1.00B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.92 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DDL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DDL SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (34% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.5% FCF Margin ($51.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.20-3.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.13-8.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.95-1.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.92-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DDL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DDL currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.15) and Max Pain ($2.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DDL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DDL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DDL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$51.2M (1.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.81B

FY24

Rev $3.16B

FY25

Rev $3.48B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.48B	52%	0.5%	$33.1M	$51.2M	95%
FY 2024	$3.16B	52%	0.9%	$41.7M	$113.8M	95%
FY 2023	$2.81B	52%	-0.7%	-$12.9M	-$33.0M	65.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DDL)

✓Walkthrough of DDL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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DDL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $1.93H $1.93L $1.88C $1.92VOL 264.9K

RES: $2.17SUP: $1.86SMA50: $2.15SMA200: $2.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DDL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DDL Butterfly Map → + Track DDL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

5.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DDL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DDL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DDL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DDL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #486 of 1009 ⚔️ HNST vs DDL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DDL vs. HNST, SFIX, QVCG, BWMX)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) ranks #486 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #596 by equity capitalization ($444.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DDL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DDL ACTIVE Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )	D+	53/100	13.8x	—	65.3%	+2.13%	$444.1M	Benchmark Subject
HNST The Honest Company Inc.	D	48/100	—	33.3%	-18.2%	+3.12%	$447.4M	/hnst-vs-ddl →
SFIX Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)	E	19/100	—	44.4%	-33.9%	+3.33%	$360.7M	/sfix-vs-ddl →
QVCG QVC Group Inc.	E	33/100	—	33.6%	-35.0%	+10.00%	$345.0M	/qvcg-vs-ddl →
BWMX Betterware de Mexico S.A.P.I. de C.V.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+3.92%	$664.1M	/bwmx-vs-ddl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001854545 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.16B , and +23.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.1M, operating cash flow of $76.6M, and free cash flow of $51.2M (-55.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DDL closed FY2025 with $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.28, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.48B	$33.1M	$76.6M	$51.2M	$1.00B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.16B	$41.7M	$127.3M	$113.8M	$975.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.81B	-$12.9M	-$33.0M	-$33.0M	—	—

3. DDL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DDL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DDL compare to HNST and SFIX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DDL?

Where is DDL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DDL last traded at $1.92 (+2.13% on volume of 173,639 shares), positioning the stock -10.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.15) and -20.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.43). Across its 52-week range of $1.65 to $3.41, DDL sits at the 15.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($1.79 to $2.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: DDL RQD Cockpit DDL 12M Forecast DDL Earnings & Move DDL Dividends & DRIP DDL Insiders & 13F DDL Whale Options DDL Profit Sankey DDL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DDL — Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.92 (+2.13% 1D, market capitalization $444.1M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 65.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.5%, and free cash flow yield of 11.22%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.28, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

DDL is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry, trading on the NYSE. The issuer is a NYSE-listed Dingdong (Cayman) Limited entity. Customer base, product categories, and specific revenue mechanics are — Reported revenue scale appears in the financials section below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) reported $3.48B in annual revenue (up from $3.16B in FY2024, +10.2% YoY) and $33.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.81B revenue, -$12.9M net income) through FY2025, DDL scaled operating cash flow to $76.6M and free cash flow to $51.2M, backed by $1.00B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 11.22% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.65 – $3.41 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 13.8x trailing P/E and 7.4x EV/EBITDA against 0.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary), DDL carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: Can DDL sustain or expand its 0.5% operating margin and 65.3% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.48B and free cash flow of $51.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is DDL's 12.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DDL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three ) (DDL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DDL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 33d ago

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited Announces the Change of Director

Yahoo Finance coverage on DDL stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 75d ago

Dingdong shares rise as profit growth offsets Q2 revenue miss

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (NYSE:DDL) shares gained 2. 18% in premarket trading on Thursday after the fresh grocery e-commerce company delivered strong profit growth in the second quarter, helping offset revenue that fell

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 78d ago

Dingdong to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 20, 2026

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited ("Dingdong" or the "Company") (NYSE: DDL), a leading fresh grocery e-commerce company in China, with advanced supply chain capabilities, today announced that it will report its unaudited financi

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 194d ago

Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. (DDL) Inspires Confidence After Getting Recent Proposals Approved

Yahoo Finance coverage on DDL stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 193d ago

Dingdong Files Its Annual Report on Form 20-F

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 75d ago

Dingdong (Cayman) Limited Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Yahoo Finance coverage on DDL stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 167d ago

3 Promising Penny Stocks With At Least $10M Market Cap

Over the last 7 days, the market has remained flat, but over the past 12 months, it has risen by 24%, with earnings anticipated to grow by 17% per annum in the coming years. For those looking beyond well-known stocks, pe

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 167d ago

Dingdong to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 21, 2026

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DDL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DDL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.22 (+18.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The fundamental cash engine pillar is strongest at 14 of 20, backed by ROIC of 65.3% and an FCF yield of 11.22%, with insider convictio

Here is why I am bullish on DDL here at $1.88: The fundamental cash engine pillar is strongest at 14 of 20, backed by ROIC of 65.3% and an FCF yield of 11.22%, with insider conviction scoring 18 of 20.. Compare DDL's 0.5% operating margin and 65.3% ROIC against the rest of Catalog/Specialty Distribution. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.79 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 53/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.88 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.75.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.58 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $1.88

Whale 13F flow scores only 3 of 20 and the forensic balance sheet scores 10 of 20 with an Altman Z of 1.28, while operating income fell

Careful chasing DDL at $1.88. Whale 13F flow scores only 3 of 20 and the forensic balance sheet scores 10 of 20 with an Altman Z of 1.28, while operating income fell from $29.4M in FY 2024 to $18.8M in FY 2025.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.58 on multiple compression.