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Danaos Corporation (DAC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$153.96 -1.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $153.13

Danaos Corporation (DAC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Danaos Corporation (NYSE: DAC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $153.96 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAC ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DAC compare to CDLR and SBLK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), DAC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAC?
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Per DAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001369241), Danaos Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $494.6M in net income, and $644.8M in free cash flow against $5.11B in total assets and $872.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $153.13 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 61.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$191 Bull$162 Base$126 Bear
📬 FREE DAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DAC SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 9 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$164.93-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$157.43+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$157.47-2.2% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$153.96+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DAC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, DAC faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($158.06) or 200D SMA ($131.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($161.58) toward Bear Floor ($126.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

DAC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (DAC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on DAC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DAC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.82%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $158.9H $158.9L $154.0C $154.0VOL 106.7K
RES: $180.6SUP: $159.9SMA50: $158.1SMA200: $131.3
$177.9$156.7$135.5$114.4$93.19RES $180.6SUP $159.9$154.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DAC Butterfly Map → + Track DAC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #171 of 1009 ⚔️ CDLR vs DAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAC vs. CDLR, SBLK, ZIM, TNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Danaos Corporation (DAC) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #366 by equity capitalization ($2.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. TNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with DAC at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DAC ACTIVE
Danaos Corporation
C+ 69/100 5.8x — 10.9% -1.95% $2.86B Benchmark Subject
CDLR
Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )
C- 59/100 — — — -4.38% $2.78B /cdlr-vs-dac →
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
D+ 55/100 38.3x — 5.5% -4.41% $3.16B /sblk-vs-dac →
ZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — -0.11% $3.42B /zim-vs-dac →
TNK
Teekay Tankers Ltd.
B 72/100 — 66.7% 20.1% -5.29% $3.49B /tnk-vs-dac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001369241 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Danaos Corporation (DAC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $494.6M, operating cash flow of $644.8M, and free cash flow of $644.8M (+3.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAC closed FY2025 with $5.11B in total assets against $872.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.95, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.04B $494.6M $644.8M $644.8M $5.11B $872.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.01B $505.1M $621.8M $621.8M $4.34B $699.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $973.6M $576.3M $576.3M $576.3M — —

3. DAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Danaos Corporation (NYSE: DAC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $153.96 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAC ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DAC compare to CDLR and SBLK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), DAC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAC?

Per DAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001369241), Danaos Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $494.6M in net income, and $644.8M in free cash flow against $5.11B in total assets and $872.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAC last traded at $153.96 (-1.95% on volume of 235,192 shares), positioning the stock -2.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($158.06) and +17.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($131.28). Across its 52-week range of $89.07 to $172.76, DAC sits at the 77.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($147.03 to $160.89).

Direct Sub-Reports: DAC RQD Cockpit DAC 12M Forecast DAC Earnings & Move DAC Dividends & DRIP DAC Insiders & 13F DAC Whale Options DAC Profit Sankey DAC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DAC — Danaos Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Danaos Corporation (DAC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $153.96 (-1.95% 1D, market capitalization $2.86B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 47.8%, and free cash flow yield of 22.30%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.95, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.23x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Danaos Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1.04B, indicating an operating business of meaningful scale, though the revenue sources are not itemized in the provided data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Danaos Corporation (DAC) reported $1.04B in annual revenue (up from $1.01B in FY2024, +2.8% YoY) and $494.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($973.6M revenue, $576.3M net income) through FY2025, DAC scaled operating cash flow to $644.8M and free cash flow to $644.8M, backed by $5.11B in total assets against $872.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 22.30% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $89.07 – $172.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 5.8x trailing P/E and 5.5x EV/EBITDA against 47.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for DAC. The source data therefore does not support any statement about dependency chains or second-order bottlenecks. Investors should note that the Moody's and dividend items in the news wire are catalysts whose transmission to the wider sector is not mapped in the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can DAC sustain or expand its 47.8% operating margin and 10.9% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.04B and free cash flow of $644.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $872.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DAC's 5.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Danaos Corporation (DAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $153.96?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DAC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DAC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $199.42 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 22.3% FCF yield and 5.8x trailing P/E sit alongside an insider conviction pillar scored 17/20 in the RQD rating.

A 22.3% FCF yield and 5.8x trailing P/E sit alongside an insider conviction pillar scored 17/20 in the RQD rating.. When you look under the hood at DAC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 10.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $172.76. My 12M target is $199.42.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — DAC's 11/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $127.19 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $157.02

Operating and net income fell from FY 2023 to FY 2025 even as revenue rose, while debt increased to $872.1M.

Careful chasing DAC at $157.02. Operating and net income fell from FY 2023 to FY 2025 even as revenue rose, while debt increased to $872.1M.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 47.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $127.19 on multiple compression.

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