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Crane NXT Co. (CXT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$60.62 +3.45% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.14

Crane NXT Co. (CXT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42.5% gross margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CXT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CXT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Crane NXT Co. (NYSE: CXT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $60.62 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $3.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CXT ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CXT compare to MWA and CSTM in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CXT carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 42.5%, and ROIC of 19.1%. By comparison, MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B) and CSTM (Constellium SE (France)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 28.7%, cap $3.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while XE leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CXT?
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Per CXT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000025445), Crane NXT Co. generated $1.66B in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $145.1M in net income, and $198.3M in free cash flow against $3.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.14 (+0.86%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 12% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk D+
Cash (16)Whales (17)SEC (11)Macro (11)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$76 Bull$64 Base$50 Bear
📬 FREE CXT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CXT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CXT SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$52.27+6.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$55.87+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$58.44+3.7% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$60.62+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CXT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, CXT faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 40.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.38) or 200D SMA ($47.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($64.44) toward Bear Floor ($49.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CXT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CXT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
62.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.19>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE83% OF RANGE
L: $36$60.62H: $66
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (42.5% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 34 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on CXT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (80)

19.1% ROIC with 42.5% gross margin and 5.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 2.19 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (75)

34/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CXT
  • ✓Strong cash generator (42.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CXT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CXT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.26%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $60.22H $60.62L $58.60C $60.62VOL 745.1K
RES: $60.94SUP: $48.79SMA50: $51.38SMA200: $47.92
$62.55$55.27$48.00$40.73$33.45RES $60.94SUP $48.79$60.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CXT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CXT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CXT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CXT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CXT)

Industrials Rank #29 of 486 ⚔️ MWA vs CXT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CXT vs. MWA, CSTM, XE, SMR)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Crane NXT Co. (CXT) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #175 by equity capitalization ($3.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSTM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while XE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. CXT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CXT ACTIVE
Crane NXT Co.
B 72/100 23.9x 42.5% 19.1% +3.45% $3.37B Benchmark Subject
MWA
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
C- 61/100 18.6x 36.1% 14.0% +5.40% $3.56B /mwa-vs-cxt →
CSTM
Constellium SE (France)
D+ 55/100 11.8x — 28.7% -0.56% $3.11B /cstm-vs-cxt →
XE
X-Energy Inc.
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 38.5% -5.12% $4.44B /xe-vs-cxt →
SMR
NuScale Power Corporation
E 26/100 — 36.3% -35.0% -4.80% $2.42B /smr-vs-cxt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000025445 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Crane NXT Co. (CXT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.66B (+11.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.49B , and +19.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $145.1M, operating cash flow of $241.5M, and free cash flow of $198.3M (+17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CXT closed FY2025 with $3.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.19, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.66B $145.1M $241.5M $198.3M $3.12B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.49B $184.1M $214.1M $168.7M $2.39B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.39B $188.3M $276.3M $276.3M — —

3. CXT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CXT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Crane NXT Co. (NYSE: CXT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $60.62 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $3.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CXT ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CXT compare to MWA and CSTM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CXT carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of 42.5%, and ROIC of 19.1%. By comparison, MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B) and CSTM (Constellium SE (France)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 28.7%, cap $3.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while XE leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CXT?

Per CXT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000025445), Crane NXT Co. generated $1.66B in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $145.1M in net income, and $198.3M in free cash flow against $3.12B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CXT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CXT last traded at $60.62 (+3.45% on volume of 855,596 shares), positioning the stock +17.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.38) and +26.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.92). Across its 52-week range of $35.71 to $65.56, CXT sits at the 83.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($55.83 to $65.41).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CXT — Crane NXT Co.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Crane NXT Co. (CXT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $60.62 (+3.45% 1D, market capitalization $3.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.1%, gross margin of 42.5%, operating margin of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 5.72%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.19, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Crane NXT Co. (CXT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Metal Fabrications industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 42.5%, an operating margin of 14.9%, and a net margin of 8.8%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Crane NXT Co. (CXT) reported $1.66B in annual revenue (up from $1.49B in FY2024, +11.4% YoY) and $145.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.39B revenue, $188.3M net income) through FY2025, CXT scaled operating cash flow to $241.5M and free cash flow to $198.3M, backed by $3.12B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Strong cash generator (42.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $35.71 – $65.56 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 23.9x trailing P/E and 11.4x EV/EBITDA against 14.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE and the butterfly link list is empty. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation data are therefore — The RQD macro pillar notes sector sensitivity as a factor in the score, but the specific ripple channels are — Second-order bottlenecks a prospective investor should monitor cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can CXT sustain or expand its 14.9% operating margin and 19.1% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.66B and free cash flow of $198.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CXT's 22.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CXT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Crane NXT Co. (CXT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CXT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CXT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $60.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CXT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CXT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.39 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash engine strength (ROIC 19.1%, FCF yield 5.72%) combined with 17/20 institutional and insider flow scores supports the B-grade ratin

Cash engine strength (ROIC 19.1%, FCF yield 5.72%) combined with 17/20 institutional and insider flow scores supports the B-grade rating.. When you look under the hood at CXT, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 42.5% gross margins and 19.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $65.56. My 12M target is $67.39.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 23.9x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Fabrications. If gross margin (42.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.81 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $58.60

Net income fell from $188.3M in FY 2023 to $145.1M in FY 2025 while the P/E sits at 23.9, leaving limited earnings-based valuation cush

Fading this rally in CXT at $58.60. Net income fell from $188.3M in FY 2023 to $145.1M in FY 2025 while the P/E sits at 23.9, leaving limited earnings-based valuation cushion.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $58.60 (52-wk range $35.71–$65.56), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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